10738 N Bennett Rd · Grand Bay, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- 0.54 acre lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing office: Wellhouse Real Estate Eastern
- HOA & community: No community features listed; No transfer fees
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable connected
- Home design: Single-story (one level); Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area reported as 1,005 (assessor)
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Less than 1 acre lot; No waterfront; Whole/Full ownership
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); No fireplace; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 2.5% in Grand Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#103 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $612 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $72k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.68%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,480
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10751 Somerset Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,066 (+11%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $188 | 66 |
| 8357 Bennett Rd W | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,097 (+14%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $128 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $7,555
- Equity at exit
- $13,196
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $34,664
- Equity at exit
- $7,652
Cash invested: $24,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36541
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$464
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $242/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,125
- Closing costs
- $2,655
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $88,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 53-char remark
-
2026-06-03$89,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $242 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $363 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 49.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,957
- − Property taxes
- −$242
- − Insurance
- −$442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,052
- − Management
- −$1,052
- − Depreciation
- −$2,575
- Taxable income
- $2,827
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$679
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Grand Bay
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #11625
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 16,353
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,353
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.38%
- Current HPI
- 208.4722
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+22.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $89,000 BCAR
- 2019-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $242 · -23.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…