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523 Tennessee St
B- Composite 65.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

523 Tennessee St · Florence, AL 35630
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1960 7,405 sqft lot Est $155k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 BEDROOM HOME IN DOWNTOWN FLORENCE. PERFECT LOCATION FOR UNA STUDENT. WALK TO FIRST FRIDAYS IN DOWNTOWN FLORENCE. HARDWOODS THROUGHOUT, FENCED BACKYARD AND A ATTACHED CARPORT

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • Hardwood floors
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: 1,260 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 150 (0.17 acres); Zoned R1

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Florence Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 689 students, 51% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $120k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.66%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
536 W Tennessee St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-5%) 1mo $199,000 $166 86
528 W Tennessee St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-5%) 5mo $189,900 $158 82
117 Fayette St 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,263 (+0%) 5mo $62,000 $49 73
501 W Irvine Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,221 (-3%) 10mo $105,000 $86 63
751 W Alabama St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-6%) 10mo $156,000 $132 62
467 Locust St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,221 (-3%) 12mo $149,900 $123 62
101 White St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,404 (+11%) 7mo $125,000 $89 60
931 W Mobile St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,088 (-14%) 4mo $48,000 $44 54
327 Hillcrest Cir 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,360 (+8%) 16mo $164,000 $121 52
910 College St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,085 (-14%) 14mo $50,000 $46 44
345 Beverly Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,410 (+12%) 16mo $192,000 $136 36
217 Beverly Ave 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,093 (-13%) 14mo $146,900 $134 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-26
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$37,245
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35630

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,216 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $476/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
301 N Court St Unit 1 Florence, AL 2.0 1.5 1000 $850 $0.85 43d 1 0.38mi
418 N Poplar St Florence, AL 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 43d 1 0.77mi
520 E Tuscaloosa St Unit 520-C Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 43d 1 0.78mi
602 E Tuscaloosa St Unit 602 Florence, AL 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,600 $0.91 43d 1 0.83mi
939 N Royal Ave Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 43d 1 1.11mi
530 N Royal Ave Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 1.17mi
1034 N Royal Ave Unit 2 Florence, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 43d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 307-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$476 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$492 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$15/yr (+$1/mo · 3.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,594
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$476
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$235
After-tax cash flow
$2,674/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence City
NCES district ID
0101530
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,997
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#6456
State rank
#44 of 129 in AL

Livability — Florence

Score
82/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1140

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, AL
County
Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
City population
34,028
Metro
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
Population (ZIP)
34,028
Household income
$46,304
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
1516.0

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,386 people
By 2030
93,634 · +0.3%
By 2040
93,114 · -0.3%
By 2050
91,586 · -1.9%
By 2075
88,667 · -5.1%
By 2100
81,098 · -13.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.78%
Current HPI
206.1364
Rent YoY
▲ 6.18%
Metro
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $119,900 SAARMLS
  • 2015-04-28 Sold (MLS) $38,000 SAARMLS
  • 2014-12-23 Listed $44,900 SAARMLS
  • 2014-05-09 Listed $49,900 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $476 · -19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…