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Franklin Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$252,990

Franklin Plan · Temple, TX 76502
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,892 sqft · SingleFamily · 72 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into the stunning Franklin floorplan at Pepper Creek Crossing in Jarrell, Texas. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,892 sq. ft. of meticulously crafted living space, this home is perfect for you. On the first floor, you'll find a spacious, open concept living area ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying family time. The beautifully designed kitchen is the heart of the home, showcasing a large island, sleek stainless-steel appliances, and generous counter space-perfect for cooking, serving, and gathering. A conveniently located half bath sits near the stairs for added ease. Upstairs, all five bedrooms are thoughtfully arranged alongside the laundry room for easy access. The secondary bedrooms feature carpet flooring, ample closet space, and easy access the secondary bathroom. The primary bedroom offers a relaxing retreat with its own bathroom that features a walk-in shower, walk-in closet, and plenty of room for your personal touches. The Franklin floorplan was created with your lifestyle in mind, offering room to grow, space to gather, and comfort at every turn. Plus, with the included smart home package, you can control and secure your home through the Qolsys smart panel, your smartphone, or even your voice. With its blend of style, convenience, and modern technology, the Franklin is living at its finest. Contact us today to learn more about making the Franklin your new home!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 72 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $252,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $282,648.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $253k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (1.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
  • Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 1126 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $218,283 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.47%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,648
List price
$252,990
Delta
-10.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7429 Garden Glen Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,882 (-0%) 4mo $279,499 $149 66
7719 Krenek Tap Dr 0.48mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,043 (+8%) 2mo $309,900 $152 56
2205 Koppe Tap Ln 0.44mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,043 (+8%) 5mo $305,900 $150 55
8202 Dominik Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,878 (-1%) 8mo $274,900 $146 53
2213 Koppe Tap Ln 0.45mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,662 (-12%) 3mo $268,255 $161 50
2313 Helena Dr 0.60mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,043 (+8%) 3mo $316,750 $155 49
7824 Krenek Tap Dr 0.54mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,043 (+8%) 8mo $313,400 $153 48
2303 Koppe Tap Ln 0.47mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,662 (-12%) 4mo $280,900 $169 48
8109 Northgate Loop 0.54mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,690 (-11%) 4mo $245,000 $145 46
7823 Krenek Tap Dr 0.52mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,662 (-12%) 5mo $280,900 $169 44
1643 Hillside Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,610 (-15%) 4mo $249,900 $155 44
1030 Aurora Grove Bnd 0.61mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,634 (-14%) 24mo $290,000 $177 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.5%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-66,743
Equity at exit
$42,144
10-year hold
IRR
-35.1%
Equity multiple
-0.28×
Total profit
$-101,477
Equity at exit
$24,438

Cash invested: $79,141 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76502

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
1126
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,183 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,482
Tax est. 1.5%
$353 /mo · $4,240/yr
Insurance
$118
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$-229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,473
Max offer price $249,529
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-34 -5% $-131 +0% $-229 +5% $-327 +10% $-424
Rent -10% $-401 -5% $-315 +0% $-229 +5% $-143 +10% $-56
Rate -1.0pp $-87 -0.5pp $-157 base $-229 +0.5pp $-302 +1.0pp $-377

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,662
Closing costs
$8,479
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7809 Montclair Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1818 $1,875 $1.03 25d 1 0.43mi
2231 Hornbeam St Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1639 $2,123 $1.30 23d 1 0.87mi
2204 Hornbeam St Temple, TX 4.0 3.0 2012 $2,123 $1.06 45d 1 0.88mi
8515 Chena Ridge Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,100 $1.24 15d 1 0.92mi
8015 Pineridge Way Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1700 $1,850 $1.09 45d 1 0.98mi
8614 Glade Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1552 $3,200 $2.06 45d 1 0.98mi
917 Hollyhock Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,900 $1.19 15d 1 1.00mi
717 Hollyhock Dr Temple, TX 4.0 3.0 2612 $2,495 $0.96 15d 1 1.07mi
1211 Fawn Lily Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.5 2077 $2,145 $1.03 15d 1 1.09mi
8612 Cantera Ridge Rd Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,895 $1.05 25d 1 1.36mi
1129 Stone Valley Rd Unit B Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1479 $1,699 $1.15 45d 1 1.39mi
1119 Stone Valley Rd Unit B Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1479 $1,699 $1.15 45d 1 1.41mi
1012 Ribeye Rd Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1612 $1,850 $1.15 45d 1 1.42mi
1126 Stone Valley Rd Unit A Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1479 $1,800 $1.22 45d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $252,990 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $252,990 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $252,990 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $252,990 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $252,990 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $252,990 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $252,990 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $252,990 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $252,990 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $252,990 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $252,990 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $252,990 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $252,990 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $252,990 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $252,990 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $252,990 Active 1428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1428 chars)

    Step into the stunning Franklin floorplan at Pepper Creek Crossing in Jarrell, Texas. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,892 sq. ft. of meticulously crafted living space, this home is perfect for you. On the first floor, you'll find a spacious, open concept living area ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying family time. The beautifully designed kitchen is the heart of the home, showcasing a large island, sleek stainless-steel appliances, and generous counter space-perfect for cooking, serving, and gathering. A conveniently located half bath sits near the stairs for added ease. Upstairs, all five bedrooms are thoughtfully arranged alongside the laundry room for easy access. The secondary bedrooms feature carpet flooring, ample closet space, and easy access the secondary bathroom. The primary bedroom offers a relaxing retreat with its own bathroom that features a walk-in shower, walk-in closet, and plenty of room for your personal touches. The Franklin floorplan was created with your lifestyle in mind, offering room to grow, space to gather, and comfort at every turn. Plus, with the included smart home package, you can control and secure your home through the Qolsys smart panel, your smartphone, or even your voice. With its blend of style, convenience, and modern technology, the Franklin is living at its finest. Contact us today to learn more about making the Franklin your new home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,194
− Mortgage interest
−$15,833
− Property taxes
−$4,240
− Insurance
−$1,413
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,096
− Management
−$2,096
− Depreciation
−$8,222
Taxable loss
−$7,705
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,849
After-tax cash flow
$-897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This Franklin Plan home in Temple, TX is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates to the exterior and interior that can significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances upgrade — Modernizes the kitchen and can attract more buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom updates — Modernizes the bathrooms and can attract more buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Kitchen appliances upgrade — Modernizes the kitchen and can attract more buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom updates — Modernizes the bathrooms and can attract more buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Temple ISD
NCES district ID
4842330
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,120
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7123
State rank
#590 of 826 in TX

Livability — Temple

Score
75/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#3814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Temple, TX
County
Bell County · 345,090 people
City population
96,587
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,669
Household income
$82,088
Rent vs Own
35.9% rent · 64.1% own
Severe rent burden
1890.0

Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
371,114 people
By 2030
389,104 · +4.8%
By 2040
420,592 · +13.3%
By 2050
447,779 · +20.7%
By 2075
499,130 · +34.5%
By 2100
505,680 · +36.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bell

2024 margin
R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -216.80%
Current HPI
166.927
Rent YoY
▼ -0.79%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $252,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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