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2955-2957 Pa-42 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 86.5
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

2955-2957 Pa-42 · Iola, PA 17846
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,448 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1900 5,662 sqft lot $45/sqft · 42% below area Est $189k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Here is a great duplex to add to your collection, or live in one unit and rent the other to pay your mortgage! Each unit is currently occupied on mo-mo leases at $650/mo with landlord paying water and sewer. Call or Text 570-633-6700 today for your private tour.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $110,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$189,352) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $246/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,702 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: housing D+, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Millville Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #243 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $110k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
16.30%
Cash-on-cash
35.75%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,352
List price
$110,000
Delta
-41.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$91,468
Equity at exit
$99,097
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
8.96×
Total profit
$245,319
Equity at exit
$213,706

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17846

Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,097 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,475
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 72%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,097

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    price $110,000 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Here is a great duplex to add to your collection, or live in one unit and rent the other to pay your mortgage! Each unit is currently occupied on mo-mo leases at $650/mo with landlord paying water and sewer. Call or Text 570-633-6700 today for your private tour.

  17. 2026-02-04
    listed $120,000 Active 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Here is a great duplex to add to your collection, or live in one unit and rent the other to pay your mortgage! Each unit is currently occupied on mo-mo leases at $650/mo with landlord paying water and sewer. Call or Text 570-633-6700 today for your private tour.

  18. 2014-10-29
    soldstatus $46,900 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    A 1st and 2nd floor apartment building with new electrical services; garage. 1st level is 3BR, 2nd floor 2BR, 1 bath. Long term tenants.

  19. 2013-07-01
    listed $50,000 136-char remark
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    A 1st and 2nd floor apartment building with new electrical services; garage. 1st level is 3BR, 2nd floor 2BR, 1 bath. Long term tenants.

  20. 2008-02-25
    soldstatus $47,000
  21. 2002-10-01
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,396 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,567 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$171/yr (+$14/mo · 12.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,164
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,396
− Insurance
−$5,668
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,013
− Management
−$2,013
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$4,712
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$4,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millville Area SD
NCES district ID
4215450
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$47,703
Composite
39.96/100
National rank
#3839
State rank
#243 of 539 in PA

Livability — Iola

Score
50/100
State rank
#1702
US rank
#25514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iola, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,796

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,170 people
By 2030
64,054 · -1.7%
By 2040
61,131 · -6.2%
By 2050
57,526 · -11.7%
By 2075
50,259 · -22.9%
By 2100
44,756 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 56.71%
Current HPI
215.26
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+161.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $110,000 CSVBR
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $120,000 CSVBR
  • 2014-10-29 Sold (MLS) $46,900 CSVBR
  • 2013-07-01 Listed $50,000 CSVBR
  • 2008-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,396 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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