🏷️ Likely Rental
2955-2957 Pa-42 · Iola, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Here is a great duplex to add to your collection, or live in one unit and rent the other to pay your mortgage! Each unit is currently occupied on mo-mo leases at $650/mo with landlord paying water and sewer. Call or Text 570-633-6700 today for your private tour.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $246/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,702 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: housing D+, health & safety D, schools F.
- Millville Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #243 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $110k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.75%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,352
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -41.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $91,468
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.96×
- Total profit
- $245,319
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17846
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,097 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $491
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,096 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,048 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,048 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,097 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $110,000 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Here is a great duplex to add to your collection, or live in one unit and rent the other to pay your mortgage! Each unit is currently occupied on mo-mo leases at $650/mo with landlord paying water and sewer. Call or Text 570-633-6700 today for your private tour.
-
2026-02-04$120,000 Active 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Here is a great duplex to add to your collection, or live in one unit and rent the other to pay your mortgage! Each unit is currently occupied on mo-mo leases at $650/mo with landlord paying water and sewer. Call or Text 570-633-6700 today for your private tour.
-
2014-10-29soldstatus $46,900 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
A 1st and 2nd floor apartment building with new electrical services; garage. 1st level is 3BR, 2nd floor 2BR, 1 bath. Long term tenants.
-
2013-07-01$50,000 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
A 1st and 2nd floor apartment building with new electrical services; garage. 1st level is 3BR, 2nd floor 2BR, 1 bath. Long term tenants.
-
2008-02-25soldstatus $47,000
-
2002-10-01soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,396 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,567 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$171/yr (+$14/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,164
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,396
- − Insurance
- −$5,668
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,013
- − Management
- −$2,013
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,712
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,131
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215450
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,703
- Composite
- 39.96/100
- National rank
- #3839
- State rank
- #243 of 539 in PA
Livability — Iola
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #1702
- US rank
- #25514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iola, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,796
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,170 people
- By 2030
- 64,054 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 61,131 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 57,526 · -11.7%
- By 2075
- 50,259 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 44,756 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 56.71%
- Current HPI
- 215.26
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+161.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $110,000 CSVBR
- 2026-02-04 Listed $120,000 CSVBR
- 2014-10-29 Sold (MLS) $46,900 CSVBR
- 2013-07-01 Listed $50,000 CSVBR
- 2008-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,396 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…