8681 Katella Ave #861 · Stanton, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept Mobile Home. Nice and Big 24'X 56'(seller). You've got to look at this to believe! This beauty was built in 1996 and kept very nicely by the owners. Come on in and claim it as your home!
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Central a/c
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $1,950 (park-managed)
- HOA & community: Rent includes pool; Park name: Katella Estates; Manager approval required; Pet policy: contact manager
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public/District water; Public sewer (connected)
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Entry level 1, front entry; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Estimated year built; Composition roofing
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Shed on property; Community pool; Park nearby; Street lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: One-level home (Entry on front)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms with bathtub and shower-in-tub; Bathroom closet(s) and exhaust fan(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Double-pane windows; Community spa
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 2.5% in Stanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#468 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Magnolia Elementary (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #397 of 517 in CA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 48 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,803/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 1745% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 407 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $230k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 407 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.39%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,584
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10800 Dale Ave #705 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-3%) | 5mo | $197,500 | $158 | 77 |
| 10800 Dale Ave #412 | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $193 | 76 |
| 8681 Katella Ave #897 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-11%) | 2mo | $224,900 | $195 | 75 |
| 10800 Dale Ave #131 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+1%) | 15mo | $259,000 | $200 | 73 |
| 8681 Katella Ave #883 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 8681 Katella Ave #841 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-3%) | 22mo | $220,000 | $176 | 71 |
| 8681 Katella Ave #898 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+12%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $160 | 68 |
| 8681 Katella Ave #865 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+12%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $198 | 58 |
| 10800 Dale Ave #125 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+12%) | 11mo | $222,500 | $155 | 58 |
| 8681 Katella Ave #802 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-13%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $210 | 57 |
| 10800 Dale Ave #217 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-13%) | 19mo | $230,000 | $205 | 50 |
| 11250 Beach Blvd #144 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-11%) | 16mo | $200,000 | $175 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $50,431
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $149,950
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90680
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,803 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$799
- Net cashflow
- $1,416
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,575 | -5% $1,495 | +0% $1,416 | +5% $1,336 | +10% $1,257 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,115 | -5% $1,266 | +0% $1,416 | +5% $1,566 | +10% $1,716 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,532 | -0.5pp $1,474 | base $1,416 | +0.5pp $1,356 | +1.0pp $1,296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9014 Stacie Ln #28 Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $3,095 | $2.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8853 Stardust Ln Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1126 | $3,875 | $3.44 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9313 Marchand Ave Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $4,500 | $3.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 11893 Macduff St Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,100 | $2.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7765 Beechwood Way Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $3,750 | $3.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7684 Ruthann Ave Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,650 | $3.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 12101 Dale Ave #80 Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10321 Courtright Rd Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $3,700 | $3.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 10361 Iona Way Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1149 | $3,500 | $3.05 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10250 Masterson Ave Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $3,750 | $2.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10070 Gilbert St Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,095 | $2.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10572 Chamberlain Ave Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,500 | $3.50 | 11d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2551 W Rome Ave Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $3,850 | $3.41 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 12312 Louise St Garden Grove, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 33 Bigsby Dr Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1625 | $3,950 | $2.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3 Bigsby Dr Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1355 | $3,950 | $2.92 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 35 Bigsby Dr Stanton, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1355 | $4,000 | $2.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 12112 Spencer Dr Garden Grove, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $4,500 | $2.71 | 19d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3208 W Ravenswood Dr Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $4,000 | $2.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,900 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,900 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,900 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,900 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,900 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,900 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,900 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,900 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $229,900 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,900 Active Under Contract 393 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active Under Contract 392 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active Under Contract 391 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active Under Contract 390 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active Under Contract 389 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-18status Active
-
2026-04-11historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-25price $229,900
-
2025-11-06status Active
-
2025-11-06price $255,000
-
2025-10-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-07status Active
-
2025-09-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-08-02price $269,900
-
2025-05-07$290,000 Active
-
2005-12-31soldstatus $65,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Well kept Mobile Home. Nice and Big 24'X 56'(seller). You've got to look at this to believe! This beauty was built in 1996 and kept very nicely by the owners. Come on in and claim it as your home!
-
2005-10-25$65,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Well kept Mobile Home. Nice and Big 24'X 56'(seller). You've got to look at this to believe! This beauty was built in 1996 and kept very nicely by the owners. Come on in and claim it as your home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,651
- − Management
- −$3,651
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable income
- $14,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,402
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Magnolia Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0623430
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,320
- Composite
- 22.09/100
- National rank
- #8181
- State rank
- #397 of 517 in CA
Livability — Stanton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #468
- US rank
- #15945
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stanton, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 31,991
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,991
- Household income
- $85,592
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1745.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Asian 27% White 17% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 39% Vietnamese 17% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -529.54%
- Current HPI
- 447.9557
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+253.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-04-18 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-11 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $229,900 CRMLS
- 2025-11-06 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $255,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-12 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-09-23 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-08-02 Price Changed $269,900 CRMLS
- 2025-05-07 Listed $290,000 CRMLS
- 2005-12-31 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CRMLS
- 2005-10-25 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $201 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…