414 Harbor · Conneaut, OH 44030

$179,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,898 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1910 6,969 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Vinyl sided 2 family with a $1,275/month gross income. Owner pays trash ($250/annually) and water/sewer (averages $92 per month).

Key facts

• New stove
• New refrigerator
• Updated kitchen

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• UPDATED BATHROOM
• NEW REFRIGERATOR
• NEW STOVE
• NEW MICROWAVE
• CONVENIENT LAUNDRY ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $179k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $161/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (1.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $176k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Conneaut — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#808 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety D.
• Conneaut Area City (town): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #527 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $55k; list at $179k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $176,315 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.73%
• DSCR: 1.34
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.83×
• Total profit: $-8,528
• Equity at exit: $26,689

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.37×
• Total profit: $18,738
• Equity at exit: $15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44030

• Home prices YoY: -10.8%
• Active inventory: 59
• Price-to-rent: 16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,768 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$939
• Tax from tax record: −$61 /mo · $729/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$371
• Net cashflow: $323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,360

Max offer price $179,000

Occupancy floor 77%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$1,768
Total (2 units)			$1,768

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,750
• Closing costs: $5,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $179,000 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $179,000 Active 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $179,000 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $179,000 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $179,000 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $179,000 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,000 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
13. 2026-06-02
    listed $179,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $729 · $61/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,761 · $147/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,032/yr (+$86/mo · 141.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,216
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,027
• − Property taxes: −$729
• − Insurance: −$895
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,697
• − Management: −$1,697
• − Depreciation: −$5,207
• Taxable income: $963
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$231
• After-tax cash flow: $3,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Conneaut Area City
• NCES district ID: 3904381
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $38,064
• Composite: 35.37/100
• National rank: #4953
• State rank: #527 of 656 in OH

Livability — Conneaut

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #808
• US rank: #14907

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Conneaut, OH
• County: Ashtabula · 97,617 people
• City population: 16,317
• Metro: Cleveland, OH
• Population (ZIP): 16,317
• Household income: $57,264
• Rent vs Own: 25.9% rent · 74.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 11.2

Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 92,950 people
• By 2030: 89,146 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 80,715 · -13.2%
• By 2050: 72,270 · -22.2%
• By 2075: 55,780 · -40.0%
• By 2100: 40,928 · -56.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -32.21%
• Current HPI: 265.5019
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+297.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $179,000 MLSNOW
• 2023-12-19 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2023-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
• 2023-12-18 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MLSNOW
• 2023-11-09 Contingent — MLSNOW
• 2023-10-23 Listed $54,999 MLSNOW
• 2021-05-19 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLSNOW
• 2021-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
• 2021-04-12 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2021-02-05 Price Changed $49,900 MLSNOW
• 2020-12-16 Listed $54,900 MLSNOW
• 2004-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $729 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.