10166 Matador St · El Paso, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent value on this duplex in a well-established neighborhood! Priced to sell, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants seeking affordability and versatility. This unit features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with functional layouts including living/dining combo, walk-in closets, and utility room. Tall cathedral ceilings enhance the space, creating a brighter, more open feel throughout. Situated on a cul-de-sac, the location provides added privacy and reduced through traffic. The property is on an oversized lot and includes a walled backyard. It is conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roadways. This duplex offers solid potential. Informati
Key facts
- Utility room
- Walk-in closets
- Living dining combo
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property currently in foreclosure
Exterior
- Home design: Duplex; Single-story; Pitched shingle roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Built with foundation consistent with single-story duplex
- Exterior features: Walled backyard with back yard access; Fenced backyard; Covered and open patio/porch areas
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; Drapes; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Ysleta ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #626 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $115k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.03%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,693
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $37,064
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79924
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,546 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$274 /mo · $3,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10202 Niagara Falls Pl El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1077 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5741 Arrowhead Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,175 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5732 Arrowhead Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5140 Tropicana Ave El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5140 Tropicana Ave El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 12d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10800 McCombs St El Paso, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1067 | $1,970 | $1.85 | 2d | 12 | 1.44mi |
| 10708 Levelland Pl El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,400 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10708 Levelland Pl El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,400 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10037 Oakwood Dr El Paso, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1039 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11$129,999 Active 737-char remark
-
2016-05-04historical
-
2016-04-06$69,900 Active
-
1987-09-16soldstatus $34,150
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,288 · $274/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,288 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,288
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,484
- − Management
- −$1,484
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,930
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$463
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ysleta ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846680
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,826
- Composite
- 25.65/100
- National rank
- #7400
- State rank
- #626 of 826 in TX
Livability — El Paso
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #1375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Paso, TX
- County
- El Paso County · 761,266 people
- City population
- 630,223
- Metro
- El Paso, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,364
- Household income
- $56,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1903.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 897,899 people
- By 2030
- 922,694 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 960,492 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 982,919 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 997,266 · +11.1%
- By 2100
- 900,630 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 35% White 16% Black 7% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 56% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.46%
- Current HPI
- 265.8729
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.50%
- Metro
- El Paso, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+236.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $114,999 GEPARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $129,999 GEPARMLS
- 2016-05-04 Listing Removed — GEPARMLS
- 2016-04-06 Listed $69,900 GEPARMLS
- 1987-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $34,150 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,288 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…