2175 Doe Run Dr · Davenport, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction. Welcome to Deer Run! Located just minutes from world class theme parks and attractions, Deer Run is the perfect community to call home with its beautiful Florida lifestyle near Downtown Davenport. Let me Introduce you to this Express Series Cali Home, it is 1828 sqft. 4 Bedroom 2 Bath and is our #1 Selling Home. This home includes 18x18 Ceramic Tile in all the wet areas, Granite Counter Tops in the Kitchen and bathrooms, Home Smart System, Stainless Steel Whirlpool Appliances (including Fridge, Vented Microwave, Stove and Dishwasher). The Cali is an Open floor Plan that allows you to entertain guest from the kitchen even if they are in the living or dining room. 3 Spacious bedrooms and an Owners Suite that can easily fit a King size bed. If you like sitting outside, you have a Covered Lanai that is perfect for BBQing. * Photos are of similar model but not that of the exact house. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Please note that no representations or warranties are made regarding school districts or school assignments; you should conduct your own investigation regarding current and future schools and school boundaries.
Key facts
- Energy efficiency
- Solar panels
- 5,536 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-362 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (24.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#423 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 33% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 615 students, 66% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Ridge Community High School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 2,711 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 2025 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.97%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $354,000
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -26.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3126 Rein Ave #32 | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (+1%) | 1mo | $364,990 | $201 | 79 |
| 3135 Rein Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,833 (+1%) | 0mo | $354,990 | $194 | 77 |
| 3119 Rein | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,833 (+1%) | 1mo | $359,990 | $196 | 76 |
| 1233 Merrimack Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,846 (+2%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $149 | 70 |
| 165 Cloverbrook Trl | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 2,029 (+12%) | 0mo | $389,890 | $192 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-71,738
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -60.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-117,383
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 57 active · 35 under contract
- Months of supply
- 21.4 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $355,000 ($193/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 79 d
- This list price
- 4% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33837
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2025
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$673 /mo · $8,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$56
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $-362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-215 | -5% $-289 | +0% $-362 | +5% $-436 | +10% $-509 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-546 | -5% $-454 | +0% $-362 | +5% $-270 | +10% $-178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-231 | -0.5pp $-296 | base $-362 | +0.5pp $-430 | +1.0pp $-498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2147 Doe Run Dr Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 9d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2339 White Tail St Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2343 | $2,290 | $0.98 | 9d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2606 Irish Elk Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,925 | $1.13 | 9d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2606 Irish Elk Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 98d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2622 Irish Elk Ave Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 119d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2401 White Tail St Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2340 | $2,250 | $0.96 | 6d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2404 White Tail St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,795 | $1.06 | 9d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2404 White Tail St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1695 | $1,795 | $1.06 | 6d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1258 Merrimack Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2232 | $1,900 | $0.85 | 9d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 145 Silver Maple Bnd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 87d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1016 Gotts Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2096 | $2,150 | $1.03 | 119d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 181 Silver Maple Bnd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2232 | $2,100 | $0.94 | 78d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1391 Mountain Flower Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1855 | $2,400 | $1.29 | 119d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1387 Mountain Flower Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 73d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1391 Mountain Flower Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1855 | $2,350 | $1.27 | 73d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1678 Swan Swim Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $2,395 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2007 Handsome Hill Ln Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2287 | $2,250 | $0.98 | 65d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1673 Swan Swim Dr Davenport, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2287 | $2,295 | $1.00 | 9d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1364 Conch Key Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,150 | $1.45 | 98d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 607 Lindbergh Way Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,851 | $1.32 | 98d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 16 E Murphy St Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 9d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 422 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,001 | $0.95 | 109d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1387 Berry Ln Davenport, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2522 | $2,500 | $0.99 | 110d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1444 Berry Ln Davenport, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2522 | $2,400 | $0.95 | 9d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 610 Lindbergh Way Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,641 | $1.17 | 9d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3140 Goose Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2613 | $2,200 | $0.84 | 65d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 445 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $1,986 | $0.94 | 92d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2442 Matterhorn Trl Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2029 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 119d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 449 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1938 | $2,311 | $1.19 | 65d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3156 Goose Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 9d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2624 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $2,050 | $1.30 | 119d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 462 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $1,916 | $1.20 | 65d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2612 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 119d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3176 Goose Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 78d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 466 Earheart Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,046 | $0.97 | 65d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 646 Lindbergh Way Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,836 | $1.30 | 98d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1497 Fleur Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2029 | $2,150 | $1.06 | 98d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2576 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 9d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1701 Astrid Rd Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2029 | $2,450 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2730 Puffin Pl Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 92d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners Association (monthly HOA approx. $56.44; quarterly association fee $169.31)Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilities
- Home design
- Single Family ResidenceOne storyNorth-facing
- Construction
- Stucco constructionShingle roofConcrete perimeter and slab foundationBuilt on a 0.13-acre lot
- Exterior features
- PlaygroundSidewalkAsphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Thermostat
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundry
HOA detail $56/mo · $672/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-05days on market $260,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $260,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $260,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $260,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $260,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $260,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $260,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $260,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $260,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $260,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $260,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $260,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $260,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $260,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $260,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $260,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $260,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $260,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $260,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $260,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $260,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $260,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $260,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $260,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $260,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $260,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $260,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $260,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $260,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $260,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $260,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $260,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $260,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $260,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-22pricedays on market $260,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $280,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-19days on market $280,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $280,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $280,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $280,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $280,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $280,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $280,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $280,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $280,000 Active 36 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,080 · $673/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,080 · $673/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$8,080
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,235
- − Management
- −$2,235
- − HOA
- −$672
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$8,716
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,092
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
The home presents a fair condition with average exterior and interior features. It requires minor landscaping and major interior painting to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Some areas of the lawn appear slightly overgrown, indicating minor maintenance needs.
- Major Interior paint — No interior photos are provided, but the exterior suggests a need for fresh paint to enhance the home's appearance.
- Moderate Interior systems — No photos of the interior systems are provided, but the home is equipped with solar panels, which may require maintenance or updates to maximize efficiency.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Rental Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can attract more renters and increase rental value. ↑
- Both Interior painting — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and appeal to both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Interior system updates — Updating the interior systems can improve the home's functionality and energy efficiency, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #7541
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davenport, FL
- County
- Polk County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 104,279
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,389
- Household income
- $81,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.62%
- Current HPI
- 256.8165
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.73%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-18.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $280,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $339,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-09 Price Changed $339,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-31 Price Changed $343,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-24 Listed $344,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+121.7%/yrLatest (2025): $8,080 · +121.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…