3324 Hunting Bay Dr · Spring Lake, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
-Reduced price for this well maintained 3 bedrm, 2 full bath home featuring new carpet, freshly painted interior walls, new blinds and inside laundry room. . Fenced yard and storage in rear of carport. -Cute Cute 3 bdrm, 2 full bath home featuring new carpet, interior painted walls, new blinds, inside laundry room, fenced yard, storage room in rear of sngl carport. .. .Get PRICE!
Key facts
- Storage room
- Water heater
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Site-built single-story home; Entry at side door; One level; Residential multi-family zoning
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; No common walls; Built on conventional foundation (site built)
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced backyard (wood); Private yard; Storage shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl; Vinyl; Wood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric and heat pump heating (no separate heating system listed); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room with washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($927/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (9.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.9% in Spring Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#543 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Manchester Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Spring Lake Middle (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #406 of 475 statewide, top 86%, 512 students, 99% FRL); Pine Forest High (math 73% / reading 51%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,572 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 55% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $175k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.89%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,800
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3333 Red Fox Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 954 (-1%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $157 | 84 |
| 3340 Hunting Bay Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (+12%) | 4mo | $193,000 | $180 | 71 |
| 3324 Balero Ct | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 4mo | $197,500 | $187 | 71 |
| 3305 Hunting Bay Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,101 (+15%) | 1mo | $202,000 | $183 | 70 |
| 119 Deerfield Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,058 (+10%) | 10mo | $202,000 | $191 | 68 |
| 3327 Balero Ct | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,037 (+8%) | 19mo | $183,000 | $176 | 62 |
| 3334 Antler Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,066 (+11%) | 17mo | $190,000 | $178 | 60 |
| 3330 Balero Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,061 (+10%) | 16mo | $214,600 | $202 | 58 |
| 240 Eppingdale Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 11mo | $186,500 | $177 | 58 |
| 3332 Annawood Ct | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+14%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 3326 Donnett Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (+15%) | 11mo | $204,000 | $185 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-21,007
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,678
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28390
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,593 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $176 | -5% $127 | +0% $77 | +5% $28 | +10% $-22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-49 | -5% $14 | +0% $77 | +5% $140 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $122 | base $77 | +0.5pp $32 | +1.0pp $-14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Wapiti Dr Spring Lake, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 415 Vass Rd Spring Lake, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 222-232 W Manchester Rd Unit Manchester Arms Apartments Spring Lake, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 222 W Manchester Rd Unit 222 Spring Lake, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 222 W Manchester Rd Unit 222 Spring Lake, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-21$175,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,287 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,287 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,287
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,529
- − Management
- −$1,529
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,998
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$480
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,407/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Spring Lake
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #543
- US rank
- #19811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Lake, NC
- County
- Harnett County · 125,715 people
- City population
- 24,000
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,000
- Household income
- $62,972
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 811.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.43%
- Current HPI
- 207.9349
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.49%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+268.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $175,000 TMLS
- 2019-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-01 Sold (MLS) $59,950 LPRMLS
- 2016-01-12 Listed $59,950 LPRMLS
- 2015-12-24 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2015-06-23 Listed $62,500 TMLS
- 1986-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $47,470 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,287 · +65.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…