226 Crim St · Bowling Green, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
small, quaint home in great shape. Close to schools, town and university
Key facts
- Built 1935
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-30/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (0.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $99k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#8 in OH, #71 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment F.
- Bowling Green City School District (town): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #469 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 493 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $100k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.09%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,220
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 Derby Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 614 (-7%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $117 | 64 |
| 724 1/2 S Summit St | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 720 (+9%) | 18mo | $82,500 | $115 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-19,618
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-17,341
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43402
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $990 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-01soldstatus $100,000
-
2015-05-27soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,566 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$306/yr (+$25/mo · 24.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,876
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$2,098
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$503
- After-tax cash flow
- $473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowling Green City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904363
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,785
- Composite
- 40.72/100
- National rank
- #3661
- State rank
- #469 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bowling Green
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #71
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowling Green, OH
- County
- Wood County · 75,163 people
- City population
- 31,393
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,393
- Household income
- $52,426
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2629.0
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,744 people
- By 2030
- 143,189 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 150,896 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 158,589 · +14.3%
- By 2075
- 182,166 · +31.3%
- By 2100
- 196,533 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.2) · D 44.4% · R 54.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.2 2020: R+7.6 2016: R+8.5 2012: D+4.2 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.67%
- Current HPI
- 179.1826
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+53.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,260 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…