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1441 S Paso Real Ave #306
B Composite 73.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$198,880

1441 S Paso Real Ave #306 · Rowland Heights, CA 91748
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 140 Days on market
Built 1973 $148/sqft · at area comps Est $204k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * Located on the north side, facing south, a private corner unit on a quiet street with only one neighbor. * * * Well-maintained * * * Living area: 1,344Sq. Ft. (56 feet x 24 feet), bright and airy open floor plan. Laminate flooring throughout the house. Spacious 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, separate family room and living room. Beautiful kitchen with built-in oven and stove-top. Dining area. Spacious master suite. Indoor laundry room, central air conditioning and heating system. 3 covered parking spaces, comfortable porch. Community amenities include a swimming pool, clubhouse, and visitor parking. Within walking distance to supermarkets, schools, bus stops, post office, and shops. Convenient access to Highways 60, 57, and 605. * * * Don't miss this opportunity! * * *

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Private corner unit
  • Clubhouse

Tags

PRIVATE CORNER UNITLAMINATE FLOORINGBUILT-IN OVENSWIMMING POOLCLUBHOUSECONVENIENT ACCESS TO HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 2.7% in Rowland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,123 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rowland Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #134 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.3%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,475/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 1440% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $199k implies a 342% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,014 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
15.84%
Cash-on-cash
34.09%
DSCR
2.52
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,689
List price
$198,880
Delta
-2.36%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1441 Paso Real Ave #119 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+4%) 4mo $220,000 $158 90
1440 Paso Real Ave #37 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (0%) 2mo $175,000 $130 90
1441 Paso Real Ave #327 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 1mo $200,000 $139 87
1441 Paso Real Ave #255 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 8mo $193,000 $134 82
1441 Paso Real Ave #246 0.00mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 0mo $210,000 $146 79
1441 S Paso Real Ave #27 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 5mo $195,000 $135 79
1441 Paso Real Ave #203 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,493 (+11%) 4mo $230,000 $154 74
1441 Paso Real Ave #198 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (-14%) 1mo $85,000 $74 70
1441 Paso Real Ave #184 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,493 (+11%) 9mo $285,470 $191 70
1441 Paso Real Ave #186 0.10mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,208 (-10%) 6mo $220,000 $182 65
1560 Otterbein Ave #12 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,414 (+5%) 4mo $365,000 $258 62
1560 S Otterbein Ave #58 0.56mi 3/3.0 1,440 (+7%) 8mo $345,000 $240 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$86,801
Equity at exit
$29,654
10-year hold
IRR
43.9%
Equity multiple
6.18×
Total profit
$288,572
Equity at exit
$17,196

Cash invested: $55,686 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91748

Rents YoY
10.3%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,475 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,043
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $451/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$730
Net cashflow
$1,582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,473
Max offer price $198,880
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,720
Closing costs
$5,966
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18567 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $2,400 $2.84 3d 26 0.29mi
18617 Trot Ave Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1251 $3,350 $2.68 17d 1 0.33mi
1809 Paso Real Ave Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1259 $3,500 $2.78 24d 1 0.33mi
1808 Santa Ysabela Dr Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1175 $3,500 $2.98 20d 1 0.41mi
1439 S Jellick Ave Unit B Rowland Heights, CA 2.0 1.5 1049 $2,300 $2.19 4d 1 0.42mi
19050 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $2,595 $3.12 21d 2 0.45mi
1316 Raleo Ave Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1200 $5,000 $4.17 15d 1 0.52mi
18417 Santar St Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1142 $3,300 $2.89 16d 1 0.52mi
19231 Tranbarger St Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1170 $3,200 $2.74 43d 1 0.62mi
18573 Farjardo St Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $3,750 $2.88 43d 1 0.74mi
18658 Mescalero St Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1352 $3,800 $2.81 21d 1 0.78mi
19319 Pilario St Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1480 $3,750 $2.53 43d 1 0.80mi
2240 Electra Ave Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1256 $3,200 $2.55 17d 1 0.99mi
2415 Los Padres Dr Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1120 $3,300 $2.95 16d 1 1.00mi
2601 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,650 $2.86 7d 3 1.00mi
2243 Otterbein Ave Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1286 $3,600 $2.80 43d 1 1.01mi
18626 Barroso St Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1446 $3,890 $2.69 2d 1 1.04mi
2817 E Valley Blvd West Covina, CA 3.0 2.0 1050 $3,100 $2.95 43d 1 1.08mi
2847 Valley Blvd West Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 879 $3,040 $3.46 1d 7 1.09mi
4037 S Ellesford Ave West Covina, CA 4.0 2.0 1790 $4,195 $2.34 1d 1 1.13mi
1862 Hollandale Ave Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1588 $4,250 $2.68 16d 1 1.13mi
18448 La Guardia St Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1386 $6,900 $4.98 1d 1 1.15mi
19358 Alcona St Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1613 $3,950 $2.45 43d 1 1.16mi
684 Panorama Ln La Puente, CA 3.0 3.5 1683 $3,600 $2.14 20d 1 1.17mi
684 Panorama Ln La Puente, CA 3.0 3.5 1683 $3,600 $2.14 17d 1 1.17mi
2143 Arcdale Ave Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.0 1386 $3,500 $2.53 24d 1 1.20mi
19307 Oakview Ln Rowland Heights, CA 4.0 2.0 1789 $3,850 $2.15 43d 1 1.26mi
17800 Colima Rd Rowland Heights, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $2,880 $3.72 5d 8 1.34mi
2454 Hillman Ln Rowland Heights, CA 3.0 2.5 1506 $3,800 $2.52 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $198,880 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $198,880 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $198,880 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $198,880 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $198,880 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $198,880 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $198,880 Active 131 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $198,880 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $198,880 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $198,880 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $198,880 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $198,880 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $198,880 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $198,880 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-01-29
    listed $218,880 Active 791-char remark
    Show marketing remark (791 chars)

    * * * Located on the north side, facing south, a private corner unit on a quiet street with only one neighbor. * * * Well-maintained * * * Living area: 1,344Sq. Ft. (56 feet x 24 feet), bright and airy open floor plan. Laminate flooring throughout the house. Spacious 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, separate family room and living room. Beautiful kitchen with built-in oven and stove-top. Dining area. Spacious master suite. Indoor laundry room, central air conditioning and heating system. 3 covered parking spaces, comfortable porch. Community amenities include a swimming pool, clubhouse, and visitor parking. Within walking distance to supermarkets, schools, bus stops, post office, and shops. Convenient access to Highways 60, 57, and 605. * * * Don't miss this opportunity! * * *

  16. 2019-02-05
    historical
  17. 2018-10-19
    price $145,000
  18. 2018-08-30
    price $138,000
  19. 2018-08-28
    price $145,000
  20. 2018-08-21
    price $153,000
  21. 2018-08-06
    listed $168,000 Active
  22. 2010-08-20
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed
  23. 2010-08-10
    status Pending
  24. 2010-07-31
    listed $48,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$451 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,511 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$1,061/yr (+$88/mo · 235.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,698
− Mortgage interest
−$11,140
− Property taxes
−$451
− Insurance
−$994
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,336
− Management
−$3,336
− Depreciation
−$5,786
Taxable income
$16,655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,997
After-tax cash flow
$14,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rowland Unified
NCES district ID
0633750
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$63,667
Composite
44.83/100
National rank
#2733
State rank
#134 of 517 in CA

Livability — Rowland Heights

Score
50/100
State rank
#1123
US rank
#25637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C- Employment A Housing C Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rowland Heights, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
42,463
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,463
Household income
$83,428
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Asian (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 59% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 6% White 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Foreign-born
55% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
25% English-only · Chinese 37% Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -754.24%
Current HPI
364.5923
Rent YoY
▲ 10.27%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+356.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $218,880 CRMLS
  • 2019-02-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-10-19 Price Changed $145,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-08-30 Price Changed $138,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-08-28 Price Changed $145,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-08-21 Price Changed $153,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-08-06 Listed $168,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-08-20 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-08-10 Pending CRMLS
  • 2010-07-31 Listed $48,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $451 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…