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13 Mill St
C- Composite 52.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

13 Mill St · Bonne Terre, MO 63628
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,304 sqft · Other public records · 236 Days on market
Built 1890 0.73 ac lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special with serious upside in the heart of Bonne Terre! This 1890-built two-story offers over 2,300 sq ft on a large 0.73-acre city lot—now priced to allow room for renovation and profit. With strong bones and standout historic features like original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, detailed millwork, and cast-iron radiators, this property is a prime candidate for a flip, rental conversion, or long-term hold. The layout includes 4 large bedrooms, 2 full baths (upper bath needs repair), formal living and dining areas, and a spacious kitchen ready for updates. Generous room sizes and flexible spaces make it ideal for maximizing after-repair value. Main-level laundry and a funct

Key facts

  • 0.73 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1890

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Additional carports
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric with 220 volts; Cable available, Phone available, Electricity connected, Natural gas connected, Sewer connected, Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and slate roof
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Side porch; Wrap-around porch; Patio; Exterior storage; Workshop; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven, Gas range, Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total — 1 on the main level, 3 on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; Additional upper-level bathroom needs repair/updating
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with radiant system; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.4% in Bonne Terre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#721 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • North St. Francois County R-I (town): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #214 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Co. Sr. High (math 25% / reading 56%, grade F, #240 of 521 statewide, top 46%, 873 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 236 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 236 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.79%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-7,663
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$9,469
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63628

Home prices YoY
-7.2%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $989/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,000
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 236 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 235 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 234 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 233 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $125,000 Active 231 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,900 Active 230 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 226 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 225 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 224 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 221 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 220 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 219 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 218 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    status Active
  16. 2026-03-20
    price $149,900
  17. 2025-11-15
    price $175,000
  18. 2025-10-24
    listed $199,900 Active
  19. 2025-10-11
    historical $199,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$989 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$224/yr (+$19/mo · 22.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,009
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$989
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$85
After-tax cash flow
$2,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North St. Francois County R-I
NCES district ID
2905430
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,156
Composite
29.77/100
National rank
#6431
State rank
#214 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bonne Terre

Score
56/100
State rank
#721
US rank
#23087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bonne Terre, MO
Population (ZIP)
15,864

Population outlook (St. Francois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,683 people
By 2030
69,574 · +1.3%
By 2040
70,665 · +2.9%
By 2050
70,708 · +2.9%
By 2075
67,917 · -1.1%
By 2100
56,563 · -17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Francois

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.8% · R 75.2%
2008→2024 swing
-46.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.15%
Current HPI
234.0946
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-15 Price Changed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-11 Coming Soon $199,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $989 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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