1102 Olivia St SE · New Prague, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$394,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-511 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (22.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (41.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (41.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.8% in New Prague — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#86 in MN, #1,971 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- New Prague Area Schools (town): math 57% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #36 of 301 in MN (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 60 units permitted in Le Sueur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Le Sueur County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $270k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.55%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 14.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $550,983
- List price
- $394,900
- Delta
- -28.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-96,755
- Equity at exit
- $58,881
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-127,029
- Equity at exit
- $34,144
Cash invested: $110,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56071
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 14.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-511
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,725
- Closing costs
- $11,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Chalupsky Ave SE New Prague, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $2,300 | $2.74 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $394,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $394,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $394,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $394,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $394,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $394,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $394,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $394,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $394,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $394,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $394,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $394,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $394,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $394,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!
-
2026-04-30historical 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!
-
2026-04-10$394,900 Active 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!
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2026-04-09soldstatus $269,700
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2021-01-31status Pending
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2021-01-27status Pending
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2021-01-26status Pending
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2020-12-23status Pending
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2020-12-23historical
-
2020-12-07price $65,900
-
2020-07-21price $62,900
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2018-12-11$59,900 Active
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2013-04-08historical
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2013-03-29$235,190
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2013-03-04historical
-
2012-12-07$215,800
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2012-11-25historical
-
2012-08-25$215,800
-
2010-09-16historical
-
2010-09-14$39,900
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2010-06-11historical
-
2010-03-08$53,900
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2010-03-05historical
-
2009-03-18$64,900
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2009-03-11historical
-
2008-03-11$74,900
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2007-12-01historical
-
2006-12-01$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,767 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,655/yr (+$138/mo · 148.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,121
- − Property taxes
- −$1,112
- − Insurance
- −$1,974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$11,488
- Taxable loss
- −$13,511
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,243
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,891/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Prague Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2723430
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,742
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #1543
- State rank
- #36 of 301 in MN
Livability — New Prague
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #1971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Prague, MN
- City population
- 13,015
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,015
Population outlook (Le Sueur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,622 people
- By 2030
- 27,346 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 26,451 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 25,299 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 23,188 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 21,103 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 3% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Le Sueur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.4% · R 66.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -33.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.7 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.45%
- Current HPI
- 275.353
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+427.2% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $394,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $269,700 Public Records
- 2021-01-31 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-27 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-26 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-23 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-07 Price Changed $65,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-21 Price Changed $62,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-11 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-29 Listed $235,190 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-07 Listed $215,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-25 Listed $215,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-16 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-14 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-08 Listed $53,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-05 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-18 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-11 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-01 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,112 · +14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…