CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1102 Olivia St SE
D- Composite 39.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$394,900

1102 Olivia St SE · New Prague, MN 56071
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,319 sqft · Other · 64 Days on market
Built 2026 0.35 ac lot $299/sqft · 28% below area Est $551k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!

Key facts

  • 0.35 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $395k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-511 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (22.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (41.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (41.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.8% in New Prague — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#86 in MN, #1,971 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • New Prague Area Schools (town): math 57% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #36 of 301 in MN (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 60 units permitted in Le Sueur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Le Sueur County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $270k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $230,000 (41.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.55%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
14.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$550,983
List price
$394,900
Delta
-28.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-96,755
Equity at exit
$58,881
10-year hold
IRR
-22.7%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-127,029
Equity at exit
$34,144

Cash invested: $110,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56071

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,071
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
Insurance
$165
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$-511

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,947
Max offer price $304,611
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,725
Closing costs
$11,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Chalupsky Ave SE New Prague, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 839 $2,300 $2.74 1d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $394,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $394,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $394,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $394,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $394,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $394,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $394,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $394,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $394,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $394,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $394,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $394,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $394,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $394,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    status Active 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!

  16. 2026-04-30
    historical 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!

  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $394,900 Active 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Welcome to the Grant! This split entry model has a large open floor plan on the main level with plenty of natural light. This level has the kitchen, dining area and large living room just a few steps up from the front and garage entry landing with a nice closet. Heading up the steps from the kitchen is a bathroom and 3 bedrooms including the primary suite with a private 3/4 bathroom. Make your preferred selections for your new home at our design center! We are happy to provide info on other lots and models available!

  18. 2026-04-09
    soldstatus $269,700
  19. 2021-01-31
    status Pending
  20. 2021-01-27
    status Pending
  21. 2021-01-26
    status Pending
  22. 2020-12-23
    status Pending
  23. 2020-12-23
    historical
  24. 2020-12-07
    price $65,900
  25. 2020-07-21
    price $62,900
  26. 2018-12-11
    listed $59,900 Active
  27. 2013-04-08
    historical
  28. 2013-03-29
    listed $235,190
  29. 2013-03-04
    historical
  30. 2012-12-07
    listed $215,800
  31. 2012-11-25
    historical
  32. 2012-08-25
    listed $215,800
  33. 2010-09-16
    historical
  34. 2010-09-14
    listed $39,900
  35. 2010-06-11
    historical
  36. 2010-03-08
    listed $53,900
  37. 2010-03-05
    historical
  38. 2009-03-18
    listed $64,900
  39. 2009-03-11
    historical
  40. 2008-03-11
    listed $74,900
  41. 2007-12-01
    historical
  42. 2006-12-01
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,767 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$1,655/yr (+$138/mo · 148.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,600
− Mortgage interest
−$22,121
− Property taxes
−$1,112
− Insurance
−$1,974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,208
− Management
−$2,208
− Depreciation
−$11,488
Taxable loss
−$13,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,243
After-tax cash flow
$-2,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Prague Area Schools
NCES district ID
2723430
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$80,742
Composite
52.77/100
National rank
#1543
State rank
#36 of 301 in MN

Livability — New Prague

Score
80/100
State rank
#86
US rank
#1971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Prague, MN
City population
13,015
Population (ZIP)
13,015

Population outlook (Le Sueur County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,622 people
By 2030
27,346 · -1.0%
By 2040
26,451 · -4.2%
By 2050
25,299 · -8.4%
By 2075
23,188 · -16.1%
By 2100
21,103 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Le Sueur

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.4% · R 66.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -33.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.7 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.45%
Current HPI
275.353
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+427.2% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $394,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $269,700 Public Records
  • 2021-01-31 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-27 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-26 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-23 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-23 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-07 Price Changed $65,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-21 Price Changed $62,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-11 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-29 Listed $235,190 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-04 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-07 Listed $215,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-25 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-08-25 Listed $215,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-16 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-14 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-08 Listed $53,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-05 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-18 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-11 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-12-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-12-01 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,112 · +14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…