20802 N Grayhawk Dr #1184 · Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$760,000

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,954 sqft · Condo public records · 90 Days on market

Built 2002 $389/sqft · 7% above area Est $709k · 7% over $657/mo HOA · 12% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +7.9/30.0
• Appreciation +7.8/10.0
• ARV discount +4.2/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.4/10.0
• DSCR +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to the highly sought-after guard-gated community of Avian at Grayhawk. Rare single-level, 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner residence offers ultimate convenience with no interior steps. Major systems have been recently updated, including a new HVAC system, water heater, and water softener (within 5 years). Open-floor plan features an open kitchen with central island seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas, highlighted by a two-way fireplace. Spacious primary suite offers an ensuite bath and large closet. Enjoy Arizona living year-round on the large, south-facing covered patio. 2-car garage with epoxy flooring and built-in cabinetry. Ideally located within walking distance to Grayhawk Golf Club, shopping, and dining. Community features include pool and spa, tennis courts, scenic walking trails, and multiple parks.

Key facts

• New water softener
• No interior steps
• New water heater

Tags

• GUARD GATED COMMUNITY
• SINGLE LEVEL RESIDENCE
• NO INTERIOR STEPS
• NEW HVAC SYSTEM
• NEW WATER HEATER
• NEW WATER SOFTENER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $760k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-805 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $618k (18.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $559k (26.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $559k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
• Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 720 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,590/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($141k/yr) (locally 1034% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $48k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($714k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $435k; list at $760k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $559,032 (26.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.74% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.02%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.54%
• DSCR: 0.80
• GRM: 11.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $708,645
• List price: $760,000
• Delta: 7.25%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.64% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.75×
• Total profit: $160,072
• Equity at exit: $460,451

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.51×
• Total profit: $533,199
• Equity at exit: $820,453

Cash invested: $212,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85255

• Home prices YoY: 1.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.4%
• Active inventory: 720
• Price-to-rent: 11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,590 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,986
• Tax from tax record: −$262 /mo · $3,141/yr
• Insurance: −$317
• HOA: −$657
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,174
• Net cashflow: $-805

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,609

Max offer price $617,866

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-374	-5% $-589	+0% $-805	+5% $-1,020	+10% $-1,235
Rent	-10% $-1,246	-5% $-1,025	+0% $-805	+5% $-584	+10% $-363
Rate	-1.0pp $-422	-0.5pp $-611	base $-805	+0.5pp $-1,002	+1.0pp $-1,202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $190,000
• Closing costs: $22,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
20458 N 78th Way Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.0	1834	$4,500	$2.45	25d	1	0.20mi
20394 N 78th St Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.5	2441	$8,500	$3.48	44d	1	0.25mi
7798 E Buteo Dr Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.5	2575	$4,600	$1.79	6d	1	0.26mi
20802 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.5	2295	$6,000	$2.61	2d	2	0.27mi
20802 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.5	2030	$8,000	$3.94	44d	4	0.27mi
7789 E Journey Ln Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1634	$4,700	$2.88	44d	1	0.27mi
8228 E Mohawk Ln Scottsdale, AZ	2.0	2.0	2306	$8,500	$3.69	44d	1	0.29mi
8224 E Angel Spirit Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	2306	$9,500	$4.12	4d	1	0.31mi
8227 E Angel Spirit Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	2366	$4,000	$1.69	44d	1	0.32mi
7725 E Journey Ln Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1882	$4,250	$2.26	6d	1	0.35mi
7689 E Quill Ln Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	3.0	2319	$8,000	$3.45	44d	1	0.38mi
7711 E Thunderhawk Rd Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	3.0	2538	$3,895	$1.53	15d	1	0.39mi
8184 E Beardsley Rd Scottsdale, AZ	2.0	2.5	2244	$8,500	$3.79	44d	1	0.40mi
7729 E Tailspin Ln Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1634	$3,400	$2.08	8d	1	0.41mi
8136 E Beardsley Rd Scottsdale, AZ	2.0	2.5	2244	$5,950	$2.65	44d	1	0.42mi
7746 E Nestling Way Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.5	2575	$3,995	$1.55	44d	1	0.43mi
7743 E Nestling Way Scottsdale, AZ	4.0	2.5	2440	$9,000	$3.69	44d	1	0.44mi
8182 E Sierra Pinta Dr Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	3.0	2476	$3,950	$1.60	45d	1	0.47mi
20121 N 76th St #2043 Scottsdale, AZ	2.0	2.0	1854	$3,550	$1.91	44d	1	0.58mi
20121 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0	1453	$3,000	$2.06	0d	2	0.58mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ	2.0	2.0	1202	$3,925	$3.26	44d	5	0.63mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1043	$4,650	$4.46	0d	18	0.63mi
20100 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1043	$4,650	$4.46	20d	15	0.63mi
19777 N 76th St Unit 1546393P Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1323	$3,109	$2.35	8d	1	0.66mi
19838 N 84th St Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	3.0	2549	$12,000	$4.71	14d	1	0.72mi
19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–2.5	1293	$8,000	$6.19	44d	9	0.73mi
19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.5	1324	$5,000	$3.78	11d	19	0.73mi
19777 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.5	1324	$6,900	$5.21	0d	17	0.73mi
19700 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0	1633	$6,500	$3.98	5d	14	0.76mi
19700 N 76th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0	1633	$6,500	$3.98	44d	7	0.76mi
7435 E Rustling Pass Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	1804	$8,500	$4.71	44d	1	0.84mi
19700 N 76th St Unit 1546077P Scottsdale, AZ	2.0	2.0	1722	$3,226	$1.87	15d	1	0.87mi
7323 E Wing Shadow Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0	2.0	2280	$5,000	$2.19	12d	1	0.88mi
7355 E Thompson Peak Pkwy Scottsdale, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1045	$2,510	$2.40	0d	40	0.91mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.0	1930	$7,500	$3.89	22d	9	0.94mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.0	1930	$7,500	$3.89	0d	9	0.94mi
20750 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.0	1930	$7,500	$3.89	25d	8	0.94mi
7340 E Legacy Blvd Scottsdale, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1045	$2,380	$2.28	0d	20	0.97mi
7500 E Deer Valley Rd Scottsdale, AZ	3.0–4.0	2.5–3.0	2110	$2,300	$1.09	4d	2	0.98mi
19550 N Grayhawk Dr Scottsdale, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.5	1814	$7,150	$3.94	44d	4	1.02mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $657 · $7,884/yr
• Likely covers: waterpoolsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $760,000 Active 90 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $760,000 Active 89 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $760,000 Active 88 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $760,000 Active 87 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $760,000 Active 85 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $760,000 Active 84 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $760,000 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $760,000 Active 80 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $760,000 Active 79 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $760,000 Active 76 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $760,000 Active 75 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $760,000 Active 74 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $760,000 Active 73 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $760,000 Active 72 DOM
15. 2026-05-09
    price $775,000 840-char remark

    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    Welcome home to the highly sought-after guard-gated community of Avian at Grayhawk. Rare single-level, 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner residence offers ultimate convenience with no interior steps. Major systems have been recently updated, including a new HVAC system, water heater, and water softener (within 5 years). Open-floor plan features an open kitchen with central island seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas, highlighted by a two-way fireplace. Spacious primary suite offers an ensuite bath and large closet. Enjoy Arizona living year-round on the large, south-facing covered patio. 2-car garage with epoxy flooring and built-in cabinetry. Ideally located within walking distance to Grayhawk Golf Club, shopping, and dining. Community features include pool and spa, tennis courts, scenic walking trails, and multiple parks.

16. 2026-04-18
    price $785,000 840-char remark

    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    Welcome home to the highly sought-after guard-gated community of Avian at Grayhawk. Rare single-level, 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner residence offers ultimate convenience with no interior steps. Major systems have been recently updated, including a new HVAC system, water heater, and water softener (within 5 years). Open-floor plan features an open kitchen with central island seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas, highlighted by a two-way fireplace. Spacious primary suite offers an ensuite bath and large closet. Enjoy Arizona living year-round on the large, south-facing covered patio. 2-car garage with epoxy flooring and built-in cabinetry. Ideally located within walking distance to Grayhawk Golf Club, shopping, and dining. Community features include pool and spa, tennis courts, scenic walking trails, and multiple parks.

17. 2026-03-20
    listed $799,000 Active 840-char remark

    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    Welcome home to the highly sought-after guard-gated community of Avian at Grayhawk. Rare single-level, 3-bedroom, 2-bath corner residence offers ultimate convenience with no interior steps. Major systems have been recently updated, including a new HVAC system, water heater, and water softener (within 5 years). Open-floor plan features an open kitchen with central island seamlessly flowing into the dining and living areas, highlighted by a two-way fireplace. Spacious primary suite offers an ensuite bath and large closet. Enjoy Arizona living year-round on the large, south-facing covered patio. 2-car garage with epoxy flooring and built-in cabinetry. Ideally located within walking distance to Grayhawk Golf Club, shopping, and dining. Community features include pool and spa, tennis courts, scenic walking trails, and multiple parks.

18. 2023-10-06
    historical $3,500
19. 2023-09-27
    listed $3,500
20. 2018-04-27
    soldstatus $435,000 Closed 783-char remark

    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    This stunningly appointed 3 bed / 2 bath single story corner unit is ideal for busy professionals or empty nesters seeking a low care lifestyle. Lightly lived in light + bright floorplan features split bedrooms all with generous walk-in closets. Large master with ensuite bath and gigantic walk in closet. New carpet and paint in 2018 complement plantation shutters and tile in all high traffic areas. Large covered South facing patio is stubbed for gas BBQ. Garage includes epoxy flooring with tons of built-in cabinets. Wonderful unobstructed South facing views from living, dining and patio. This home shows true pride of ownership and enjoys meticulously maintained common areas + 2 heated pools & spas and access to world class golf. Bring your most discerning buyers.

21. 2018-04-27
    soldstatus $435,000

    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    This stunningly appointed 3 bed / 2 bath single story corner unit is ideal for busy professionals or empty nesters seeking a low care lifestyle. Lightly lived in light + bright floorplan features split bedrooms all with generous walk-in closets. Large master with ensuite bath and gigantic walk in closet. New carpet and paint in 2018 complement plantation shutters and tile in all high traffic areas. Large covered South facing patio is stubbed for gas BBQ. Garage includes epoxy flooring with tons of built-in cabinets. Wonderful unobstructed South facing views from living, dining and patio. This home shows true pride of ownership and enjoys meticulously maintained common areas + 2 heated pools & spas and access to world class golf. Bring your most discerning buyers.

22. 2018-04-07
    status Pending 783-char remark

    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    This stunningly appointed 3 bed / 2 bath single story corner unit is ideal for busy professionals or empty nesters seeking a low care lifestyle. Lightly lived in light + bright floorplan features split bedrooms all with generous walk-in closets. Large master with ensuite bath and gigantic walk in closet. New carpet and paint in 2018 complement plantation shutters and tile in all high traffic areas. Large covered South facing patio is stubbed for gas BBQ. Garage includes epoxy flooring with tons of built-in cabinets. Wonderful unobstructed South facing views from living, dining and patio. This home shows true pride of ownership and enjoys meticulously maintained common areas + 2 heated pools & spas and access to world class golf. Bring your most discerning buyers.

23. 2018-03-22
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 783-char remark

    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    This stunningly appointed 3 bed / 2 bath single story corner unit is ideal for busy professionals or empty nesters seeking a low care lifestyle. Lightly lived in light + bright floorplan features split bedrooms all with generous walk-in closets. Large master with ensuite bath and gigantic walk in closet. New carpet and paint in 2018 complement plantation shutters and tile in all high traffic areas. Large covered South facing patio is stubbed for gas BBQ. Garage includes epoxy flooring with tons of built-in cabinets. Wonderful unobstructed South facing views from living, dining and patio. This home shows true pride of ownership and enjoys meticulously maintained common areas + 2 heated pools & spas and access to world class golf. Bring your most discerning buyers.

24. 2018-03-16
    listed $439,900 Active 783-char remark

    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    This stunningly appointed 3 bed / 2 bath single story corner unit is ideal for busy professionals or empty nesters seeking a low care lifestyle. Lightly lived in light + bright floorplan features split bedrooms all with generous walk-in closets. Large master with ensuite bath and gigantic walk in closet. New carpet and paint in 2018 complement plantation shutters and tile in all high traffic areas. Large covered South facing patio is stubbed for gas BBQ. Garage includes epoxy flooring with tons of built-in cabinets. Wonderful unobstructed South facing views from living, dining and patio. This home shows true pride of ownership and enjoys meticulously maintained common areas + 2 heated pools & spas and access to world class golf. Bring your most discerning buyers.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,141 · $262/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,016 · $418/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,875/yr (+$156/mo · 59.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $67,084
• − Mortgage interest: −$42,572
• − Property taxes: −$3,141
• − Insurance: −$3,800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,367
• − Management: −$5,367
• − HOA: −$7,884
• − Depreciation: −$22,109
• Taxable loss: −$23,155
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$5,557
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
• NCES district ID: 0405930
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $64,106
• Composite: 37.89/100
• National rank: #4316
• State rank: #56 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #4
• US rank: #1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Scottsdale, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 290,846
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 45,346
• Household income: $140,616
• Rent vs Own: 26.9% rent · 73.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1034.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, South Korea, China
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.64%
• Current HPI: 330.9931
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.42%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+76.2% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-09 Price Changed $775,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-18 Price Changed $785,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-20 Listed $799,000 ARMLS
• 2023-10-06 Rental Removed $3,500 ARMLS
• 2023-09-27 Listed for Rent $3,500 ARMLS
• 2018-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $435,000 Public Records
• 2018-04-27 Sold (MLS) $435,000 ARMLS
• 2018-04-07 Pending — ARMLS
• 2018-03-22 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2018-03-16 Listed $439,900 ARMLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,141 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.