🌊 Lakefront
24 Azul · Lakewood Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$172,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced for a quick sale! One of a kind home, with beautiful lake view, close to the clubhouse, tile through the main area, carpet in the bedrooms, fabulous location well maintained!
Key facts
- Lakefront
- Durable metal roof
- Accordion shutters
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- HOA & community: Association with community amenities including pool, clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball, shuffleboard court, golf course, dog park, cabana, billiard room, game room, workshop area, library, community room, manager on site, on-site management
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with garage door opener; 1 garage space; 1 covered space
- Utilities: Three-phase electric
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Resale condition; Faces east
- Construction: CBS construction; Built by Wynne Building Corporation; Shingle roof not specified
- Exterior features: Waterfront property (no specific waterfront features listed)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedroom layout; French doors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $692 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $172k).
- Recommended offer: $151k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.7% in Lakewood Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#719 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weatherbee Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 672 students, 90% FRL); Dan Mccarty Middle School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #542 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 747 students, 88% FRL); Fort Pierce Westwood Academy The W.E.S.T. Prep Magnet (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 2,010 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Lucie average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.23%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $314,154
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Villa Blanca | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 | 1,840 (+9%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $98 | 78 |
| 65 Lavilla Way | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,687 (-0%) | 6mo | $299,000 | $177 | 71 |
| 5902 Walnut Park Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,766 (+5%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $226 | 68 |
| 16 Danzar | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,439 (-15%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $115 | 61 |
| 44 Ecuador Way | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,767 (+5%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 5817 Spanish River Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,766 (+5%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $184 | 53 |
| 5704 Spanish River Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,609 (-5%) | 11mo | $331,500 | $206 | 50 |
| 18 Montoya | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,446 (-14%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $200 | 50 |
| 6505 Citrus Park Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,548 (-8%) | 9mo | $345,000 | $223 | 44 |
| 6136 Spring Lake Ter | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,437 (-15%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $209 | 44 |
| 21 Lavilla Way | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,446 (-14%) | 7mo | $269,000 | $186 | 41 |
| 5707 Eagle Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,535 (-9%) | 14mo | $260,000 | $169 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $16,134
- Equity at exit
- $25,646
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $70,586
- Equity at exit
- $14,871
Cash invested: $48,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34951
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,216 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$902
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,022/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $692
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,000
- Closing costs
- $5,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5642 Sunberry Cir Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6906 Ocala Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,955 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5510 Shannon Dr Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $2,350 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2450 8th Ave SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7403 Winter Garden Pkwy Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7500 Pensacola Rd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2320 Water Oaks Ln Unit 111 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1811 | $3,500 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7503 Paso Robles Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 985 23rd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,200 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3766 Harborside Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $2,160 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7704 Pacific Ave Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6602 Palomar Pkwy Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5010 Killarney Ave Unit A Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1720 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $172,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $172,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $172,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $172,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $172,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $172,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,500 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,500 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,500 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,500 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $174,500
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-02-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-05$175,000 Active
-
2023-12-18soldstatus $182,500
-
2023-12-01soldstatus $185,000 Closed 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Priced for a quick sale! One of a kind home, with beautiful lake view, close to the clubhouse, tile through the main area, carpet in the bedrooms, fabulous location well maintained!
-
2023-10-23status Pending 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Priced for a quick sale! One of a kind home, with beautiful lake view, close to the clubhouse, tile through the main area, carpet in the bedrooms, fabulous location well maintained!
-
2023-10-21$185,000 Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Priced for a quick sale! One of a kind home, with beautiful lake view, close to the clubhouse, tile through the main area, carpet in the bedrooms, fabulous location well maintained!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,022 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,428 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$406/yr (+$34/mo · 39.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,589
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,022
- − Insurance
- −$860
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − Depreciation
- −$5,004
- Taxable income
- $5,815
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Park
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #719
- US rank
- #15407
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakewood Park, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,148
- Household income
- $63,122
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 140.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.06%
- Current HPI
- 343.1376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $174,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-21 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-05 Listed $175,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $182,500 Public Records
- 2023-12-01 Sold (MLS) $185,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-10-23 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2023-10-21 Listed $185,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,022 · -66.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…