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109 Key West Ln
B Composite 70.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$860,000

109 Key West Ln · Broad Creek, NC 28570
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,588 sqft · Other public records · 143 Days on market
Built 2008 0.44 ac lot $38/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention to detail throughout this stunning builder custom 3 BR/3.5 BA home with water view & owner's improvements makes it like new! Located in a waterfront community this home boasts quality throughout w/ hardwood flooring, crown molding, built-ins, plush carpeting & more. This home is perfect for family & entertaining w/ Great Room & Kitchen Bar & addl living space w/ kitchen/bar on lower level -perfect to watch the games or horse racing or relax after a day out fishing! Both living areas w/ Fireplaces. Lovely large Master BR w/ trey ceiling & private porch & WIC w/ garden tub & WI shower. Second Bedroom has its own private deck! Office, 3rd floor balcony living space, tackle/mud room, separate laundry room & this home was built to utilize all space/with closets galore! MORE. ..

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Private well
  • Fiber cement siding

Tags

COTTAGE POINTE SUBDIVISIONIRRIGATION SYSTEMPRIVATE WELLMETAL ROOFFIBER CEMENT SIDINGLARGE CONCRETE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tax amount not included per instructions
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with boat dock; Annual association fee of $450 (about $37.50/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car attached garage; Garage faces front; Concrete driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Well and public water available; Septic tank sewer; Natural gas connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential single-family home; Three or more levels; Accessible elevator installed
  • Construction: Fiber cement construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built year not provided
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Screened porch; Rear porch; Open lot; Irrigation equipment; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Ice maker; Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms details not provided
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Forced air; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Tray ceilings; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Elevator; Ceiling fans; Wet bar; Insulated windows; Gas log fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room; Gas water heater; Tankless water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $860k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($58k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $860k).
  • Recommended offer: $757k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 22.6% in Broad Creek — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#340 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bogue Sound Elementary (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #168 of 1,410 statewide, top 12%, 467 students, 99% FRL); Broad Creek Middle (math 63% / reading 68%, grade A-, #28 of 475 statewide, top 6%, 710 students, 100% FRL); Croatan High (math 82% / reading 78%, grade A, #73 of 535 statewide, top 13%, 974 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 39% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $12,531/mo this rent would consume 214% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $241k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($757k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $510k; list at $860k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $756,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
13.01%
Cash-on-cash
23.99%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$166,934
Equity at exit
$128,229
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$538,824
Equity at exit
$74,357

Cash invested: $240,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28570

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$12,531 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,510
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,149/yr
Insurance
$358
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,632
Net cashflow
$4,814

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,437
Max offer price $860,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$215,000
Closing costs
$25,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $860,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $860,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $860,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $860,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $860,000 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $860,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $860,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $875,000 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $875,000 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $875,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $875,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $875,000 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $875,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $875,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $875,000 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $875,000 Active 123 DOM
  17. 2026-01-27
    listed $925,000 Active
  18. 2019-12-18
    soldstatus $510,000 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Attention to detail throughout this stunning builder custom 3 BR/3.5 BA home with water view & owner's improvements makes it like new! Located in a waterfront community this home boasts quality throughout w/ hardwood flooring, crown molding, built-ins, plush carpeting & more. This home is perfect for family & entertaining w/ Great Room & Kitchen Bar & addl living space w/ kitchen/bar on lower level -perfect to watch the games or horse racing or relax after a day out fishing! Both living areas w/ Fireplaces. Lovely large Master BR w/ trey ceiling & private porch & WIC w/ garden tub & WI shower. Second Bedroom has its own private deck! Office, 3rd floor balcony living space, tackle/mud room, separate laundry room & this home was built to utilize all space/with closets galore! MORE. ..

  19. 2019-12-18
    soldstatus $510,000
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Attention to detail throughout this stunning builder custom 3 BR/3.5 BA home with water view & owner's improvements makes it like new! Located in a waterfront community this home boasts quality throughout w/ hardwood flooring, crown molding, built-ins, plush carpeting & more. This home is perfect for family & entertaining w/ Great Room & Kitchen Bar & addl living space w/ kitchen/bar on lower level -perfect to watch the games or horse racing or relax after a day out fishing! Both living areas w/ Fireplaces. Lovely large Master BR w/ trey ceiling & private porch & WIC w/ garden tub & WI shower. Second Bedroom has its own private deck! Office, 3rd floor balcony living space, tackle/mud room, separate laundry room & this home was built to utilize all space/with closets galore! MORE. ..

  20. 2019-07-01
    listed $533,000 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Attention to detail throughout this stunning builder custom 3 BR/3.5 BA home with water view & owner's improvements makes it like new! Located in a waterfront community this home boasts quality throughout w/ hardwood flooring, crown molding, built-ins, plush carpeting & more. This home is perfect for family & entertaining w/ Great Room & Kitchen Bar & addl living space w/ kitchen/bar on lower level -perfect to watch the games or horse racing or relax after a day out fishing! Both living areas w/ Fireplaces. Lovely large Master BR w/ trey ceiling & private porch & WIC w/ garden tub & WI shower. Second Bedroom has its own private deck! Office, 3rd floor balcony living space, tackle/mud room, separate laundry room & this home was built to utilize all space/with closets galore! MORE. ..

  21. 2017-06-13
    soldstatus $470,000 694-char remark
    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    Custom one owner builder's home with everything you can imagine! Modified ''Aruba Bay'' by Sater Homes with dramatic views and features throughout! Volume and vaulted ceilings, wood & tile floors, gourmet kitchen, elevator. Huge principal suite with private screen porch. Two more screen porches, sunning deck, workshop, LOW utility bills (avg under $150/mo!) Loft area, private office, second kitchen down-great plan for two generation living. Community dock for access to Creek and ICW. Croatan school district. Smaller community of well kept homes. Double garage, landscaped yard, many nice touches. Short trip to Cherry Point or Camp Lejeune. Less than 10 minutes to Emerald Isle beac

  22. 2017-06-13
    soldstatus $470,000
    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    Custom one owner builder's home with everything you can imagine! Modified ''Aruba Bay'' by Sater Homes with dramatic views and features throughout! Volume and vaulted ceilings, wood & tile floors, gourmet kitchen, elevator. Huge principal suite with private screen porch. Two more screen porches, sunning deck, workshop, LOW utility bills (avg under $150/mo!) Loft area, private office, second kitchen down-great plan for two generation living. Community dock for access to Creek and ICW. Croatan school district. Smaller community of well kept homes. Double garage, landscaped yard, many nice touches. Short trip to Cherry Point or Camp Lejeune. Less than 10 minutes to Emerald Isle beac

  23. 2017-01-16
    listed $489,900 694-char remark
    Show marketing remark (694 chars)

    Custom one owner builder's home with everything you can imagine! Modified ''Aruba Bay'' by Sater Homes with dramatic views and features throughout! Volume and vaulted ceilings, wood & tile floors, gourmet kitchen, elevator. Huge principal suite with private screen porch. Two more screen porches, sunning deck, workshop, LOW utility bills (avg under $150/mo!) Loft area, private office, second kitchen down-great plan for two generation living. Community dock for access to Creek and ICW. Croatan school district. Smaller community of well kept homes. Double garage, landscaped yard, many nice touches. Short trip to Cherry Point or Camp Lejeune. Less than 10 minutes to Emerald Isle beac

  24. 2016-10-31
    historical
  25. 2016-04-14
    listed $489,900
  26. 2016-03-31
    historical
  27. 2015-03-31
    listed $499,900
  28. 2009-04-15
    historical
  29. 2008-12-30
    listed $649,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,149 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,052 · $588/mo
Expected delta
+$4,903/yr (+$409/mo · 228.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$150,375
− Mortgage interest
−$48,173
− Property taxes
−$2,149
− Insurance
−$4,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$12,030
− Management
−$12,030
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$25,018
Taxable income
$46,219
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$11,092
After-tax cash flow
$46,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carteret County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3700630
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,330
Composite
50.92/100
National rank
#1786
State rank
#31 of 178 in NC

Livability — Broad Creek

Score
64/100
State rank
#340
US rank
#13718

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carteret County · 52,389 people
City population
15,253
Metro
Morehead City, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,197
Household income
$70,229
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
461.0

Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,443 people
By 2030
75,344 · +2.6%
By 2040
78,142 · +6.4%
By 2050
80,091 · +9.1%
By 2075
86,120 · +17.3%
By 2100
89,408 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carteret

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.54%
Current HPI
276.6589
Rent YoY
Metro
Morehead City, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $925,000 Hive MLS
  • 2019-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $510,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-18 Sold (MLS) $510,000 Hive MLS
  • 2019-07-01 Listed $533,000 Hive MLS
  • 2017-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $470,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-13 Sold (MLS) $470,000 Hive MLS
  • 2017-01-16 Listed $489,900 Hive MLS
  • 2016-10-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2016-04-14 Listed $489,900 Hive MLS
  • 2016-03-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2015-03-31 Listed $499,900 Hive MLS
  • 2009-04-15 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2008-12-30 Listed $649,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,149 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…