2403 N Groveland Cir · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206

$119,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,300 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market

Built 1959 0.33 ac lot $92/sqft · 14% above area Est $104k · 14% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.6/30.0
• DSCR +8.5/10.0
• 1% rule +5.9/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +1.2/15.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Recently Updated 4 Bedroom Home in South Macon, a perfect blend of comfort and style. This home boasts an open concept design that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a spacious and inviting atmosphere. With four generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for relaxation and personal comfort. The recent updates add a modern touch to the home, enhancing its appeal and functionality. This property is perfect for a first time home owner or an investor looking to add their rental portfolio.

Key facts

• Solid construction
• Recently updated
• Fenced in backyard

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT DESIGN
• FENCED IN BACKYARD
• RECENTLY UPDATED
• SOLID CONSTRUCTION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
• Recommended offer: $108k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,292/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $48k; list at $119k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $108,290 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.09% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.14%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.15%
• DSCR: 1.45
• GRM: 7.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $104,304
• List price: $119,000
• Delta: 14.09%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4525 Clover Pl	0.09mi	3/2.0	1,291 (-1%)	1mo	$130,000	$101	92
2455 Rosen Ave	0.14mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,344 (+3%)	4mo	$135,000	$100	77
2315 Silver Pines Dr	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,377 (+6%)	2mo	$169,000	$123	75
4685 Pinedale Dr	0.40mi	3/1.5	1,404 (+8%)	2mo	$92,000	$66	66
2325 Silver Pines Dr	0.22mi	3/1.5	1,440 (+11%)	10mo	$162,000	$113	63
5810 Bloomfield Rd	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,329 (+2%)	12mo	$100,000	$75	61
2260 Lyn Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,412 (+9%)	8mo	$108,000	$76	59
4775 Elkan Ave	0.49mi	3/1.5	1,215 (-6%)	14mo	$50,000	$41	54
4255 Vinson Ave	0.29mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,108 (-15%)	7mo	$80,000	$72	49
2489 Locksley Dr	0.75mi	3/2.0	1,381 (+6%)	4mo	$169,900	$123	49
4416 Thrasher Cir	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,120 (-14%)	14mo	$145,000	$129	41
2366 Lancelot Pl	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,409 (+8%)	13mo	$134,000	$95	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.04×
• Total profit: $1,331
• Equity at exit: $17,743

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.07×
• Total profit: $35,662
• Equity at exit: $10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31206

• Rents YoY: 5.0%
• Active inventory: 207
• Price-to-rent: 7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,292 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$624
• Tax from tax record: −$65 /mo · $778/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$271
• Net cashflow: $282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $935

Max offer price $119,000

Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,750
• Closing costs: $3,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 19 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4455 Fairfax Dr Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1352	$1,225	$0.91	43d	1	0.07mi
4471 Elkan Ave Macon, GA	4.0	2.0	1128	$1,495	$1.33	43d	1	0.22mi
2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	1056	$725	$0.69	43d	1	0.24mi
4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA	4.0	2.0	1104	$1,550	$1.40	20d	1	0.27mi
2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	960	$825	$0.86	13d	1	0.31mi
2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA	4.0	1.0	1365	$1,500	$1.10	43d	1	0.32mi
4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA	4.0	1.5	1246	$1,450	$1.16	20d	1	0.34mi
4685 Pinedale Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.5	1404	$1,450	$1.03	13d	1	0.39mi
2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA	4.0	1.0	1056	$1,150	$1.09	43d	1	0.40mi
4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,400	$1.25	43d	1	0.40mi
5962 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA	4.0	1.5	1159	$1,300	$1.12	13d	1	0.50mi
5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	888	$1,250	$1.41	43d	1	0.63mi
2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA	3.0	1.5	1056	$1,175	$1.11	43d	1	0.67mi
5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	925	$1,275	$1.38	43d	1	0.85mi
5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,200	$1.14	20d	1	0.85mi
2916 Walmar Dr Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,275	$0.98	43d	1	1.05mi
2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,000	$1.00	43d	1	1.09mi
3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA	3.0	1.0	1352	$1,125	$0.83	20d	1	1.32mi
3733 Lindsey Dr Macon, GA	3.0	2.0	1645	$1,350	$0.82	13d	1	1.41mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
2. 2026-05-30
   days on market $119,000 Active 106 DOM
3. 2026-03-09
   historical $1,195
4. 2026-02-14
   listed $119,000 Active 568-char remark

   Show marketing remark (568 chars)

   Welcome to the Recently Updated 4 Bedroom Home in South Macon, a perfect blend of comfort and style. This home boasts an open concept design that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a spacious and inviting atmosphere. With four generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for relaxation and personal comfort. The recent updates add a modern touch to the home, enhancing its appeal and functionality. This property is perfect for a first time home owner or an investor looking to add their rental portfolio.

5. 2026-02-13
   listed $119,000 New 568-char remark

   Show marketing remark (568 chars)

   Welcome to the Recently Updated 4 Bedroom Home in South Macon, a perfect blend of comfort and style. This home boasts an open concept design that seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas, creating a spacious and inviting atmosphere. With four generously sized bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home offers ample space for relaxation and personal comfort. The recent updates add a modern touch to the home, enhancing its appeal and functionality. This property is perfect for a first time home owner or an investor looking to add their rental portfolio.

6. 2026-01-23
   listed $1,195
7. 2026-01-23
   historical $1,195
8. 2026-01-16
   listed $1,195
9. 2021-06-10
   soldstatus $48,000
10. 2021-06-09
    soldstatus $48,000 Sold
11. 2021-06-09
    soldstatus $48,000
12. 2021-06-09
    soldstatus $48,000
13. 2021-03-15
    status Under Contract
14. 2021-01-22
    listed $58,000 Active
15. 2021-01-22
    listed $58,000
16. 2021-01-22
    listed $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $778 · $65/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,095 · $91/mo
• Expected delta: +$317/yr (+$26/mo · 40.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,500
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,666
• − Property taxes: −$778
• − Insurance: −$595
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,240
• − Management: −$1,240
• − Depreciation: −$3,462
• Taxable income: $1,519
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$365
• After-tax cash flow: $3,018/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bibb County
• NCES district ID: 1300420
• Math proficiency: 11% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $37,426
• Composite: 12.13/100
• National rank: #9654
• State rank: #161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Macon-Bibb County, GA
• County: Bibb County · 164,332 people
• City population: 143,186
• Metro: Macon-Bibb County, GA
• Population (ZIP): 24,310
• Household income: $30,042
• Rent vs Own: 56.5% rent · 43.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 148,772 people
• By 2030: 145,904 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 139,404 · -6.3%
• By 2050: 131,603 · -11.5%
• By 2075: 111,050 · -25.4%
• By 2100: 83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -80.17%
• Current HPI: 148.6765
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.03%
• Metro: Macon-Bibb County, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-97.9% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-09 Rental Removed $1,195 RentEngineListings
• 2026-02-14 Listed $119,000 MGMLS
• 2026-02-13 Listed $119,000 GAMLS
• 2026-01-23 Listed for Rent $1,195 RentEngineListings
• 2026-01-23 Rental Removed $1,195 SHOWMOJO
• 2026-01-16 Listed for Rent $1,195 SHOWMOJO
• 2021-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
• 2021-06-09 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MGMLS
• 2021-06-09 Sold (MLS) $48,000 CGMLS
• 2021-06-09 Sold (MLS) $48,000 GAMLS
• 2021-03-15 Pending — GAMLS
• 2021-01-22 Listed $58,000 MGMLS
• 2021-01-22 Listed $58,000 CGMLS
• 2021-01-22 Listed $58,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $778 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.