🏷️ Likely Rental
1306 S 25th St · Mount Vernon, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity to purchase a large 100' x 150' parcel consisting of two lots in a residential area of Mt. Vernon. Property includes an existing structure that is in significant disrepair and requires junk removal and demolition. Sold strictly as is with no repairs, warranties, or representations by seller. No interior access. Buyers are encouraged to conduct their own due diligence regarding zoning, future use, and redevelopment potential.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple; Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built before 1978 (property age estimated 71–80 years)
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 100 x 150; Lot between 0.25 and 0.49 acre; Directions: Wescott St to S 25th St, north to property
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level, approx. 12 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 9 x 10); Second bedroom on the main level (approx. 9 x 10); Third bedroom on the main level (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $873 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $2k).
- Cap rate 530.0% vs local median 5.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#413 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201 (town): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #532 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $560 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 56.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 529.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1870.34%
- DSCR
- 84.22
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $53,100
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 S 20th St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 926 (+3%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $43 | 63 |
| 1113 S 23rd St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-10%) | 20mo | $58,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 1006 S 26th St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,025 (+14%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 601 Nora Ln | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+4%) | 6mo | $106,500 | $114 | 50 |
| 1115 S 23rd St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-15%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $59 | 45 |
| 905 S 23rd St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+11%) | 19mo | $7,000 | $7 | 43 |
| 1511 Triangle St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 7mo | $17,100 | $17 | 42 |
| 2104 Logan St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-8%) | 23mo | $30,000 | $36 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 99.72×
- Total profit
- $55,284
- Equity at exit
- $298
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 214.91×
- Total profit
- $119,791
- Equity at exit
- $173
Cash invested: $560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62864
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,122 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2 /mo · $30/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $873
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $500
- Closing costs
- $60
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1407 S 34th St Mt Vernon, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,310 | $1.63 | 43d | 7 | 0.73mi |
| 4100 Willow Spgs Mount Vernon, IL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 847 | $855 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 440-char remark
-
2026-06-16$2,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$112
- − Property taxes
- −$30
- − Insurance
- −$10
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,077
- − Management
- −$1,077
- − Depreciation
- −$58
- Taxable income
- $11,103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,665
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,809/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1727360
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,188
- Composite
- 12.22/100
- National rank
- #9648
- State rank
- #532 of 620 in IL
Livability — Mount Vernon
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #8520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Vernon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,061
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,818 people
- By 2030
- 35,764 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 33,649 · -8.6%
- By 2050
- 31,557 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 26,055 · -29.2%
- By 2100
- 19,237 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.5% · R 73.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.64%
- Current HPI
- 134.2669
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $2,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…