1207 W Crawford · Connellsville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome Home to this well maintained 2 bedroom 1 bath 2 story offering 1152 sq ft of comfortable living space in the heart of Connellsville. This inviting home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Relax on the covered front porch and enjoy the quiet neighborhood setting. The full basement includes a dedicated workshop area-ideal for hobbies, storage or additional workspace. Situated on a manageable 0.2 acre lot, the property also includes a detached 1 car garage for added convenience. Located close to shopping, dining, and local amenities, this home offers both comfort and accessibility.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Covered front porch
- Manageable lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transportation access nearby
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot with approximate dimensions 56 x 218 x 57 x 215
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas hot water heating
- Interior features: Full unfinished walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Connellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#602 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime D-.
- Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.80%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,263
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -14.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 N 11th St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+0%) | 2mo | $190,100 | $164 | 80 |
| 147 S 9th St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,246 (+8%) | 10mo | $33,500 | $27 | 74 |
| 168 N 12th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,144 (-1%) | 16mo | $190,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 201 N 10th St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 8mo | $103,750 | $83 | 65 |
| 714 S 11th St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,073 (-7%) | 6mo | $146,900 | $137 | 62 |
| 143 S 9th St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,318 (+14%) | 16mo | $41,000 | $31 | 54 |
| 214 Dewitt Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,228 (+7%) | 19mo | $145,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 214 W Morton Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,272 (+10%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $94 | 43 |
| 1004 S Pittsburgh | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+12%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $97 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-6,721
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $8,397
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15425
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $236 | -5% $205 | +0% $174 | +5% $143 | +10% $112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $85 | -5% $130 | +0% $174 | +5% $219 | +10% $263 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $230 | -0.5pp $202 | base $174 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Meason St Connellsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1136 | $995 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 713 Ridge Blvd Connellsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$109,900 Active 658-char remark
-
2010-04-27soldstatus $49,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,119 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,428 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$309/yr (+$26/mo · 27.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,119
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Connellsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206660
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,315
- Composite
- 25.95/100
- National rank
- #7333
- State rank
- #440 of 539 in PA
Livability — Connellsville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #602
- US rank
- #5763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connellsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,752
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.63%
- Current HPI
- 193.6086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+122.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $109,900 West Penn MLS
- 2010-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,119 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…