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1207 W Crawford
C Composite 59.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

1207 W Crawford · Connellsville, PA 15425
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1890 9,147 sqft lot $95/sqft · 15% below area Est $129k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home to this well maintained 2 bedroom 1 bath 2 story offering 1152 sq ft of comfortable living space in the heart of Connellsville. This inviting home features beautiful hardwood flooring throughout and a functional layout perfect for everyday living. Relax on the covered front porch and enjoy the quiet neighborhood setting. The full basement includes a dedicated workshop area-ideal for hobbies, storage or additional workspace. Situated on a manageable 0.2 acre lot, the property also includes a detached 1 car garage for added convenience. Located close to shopping, dining, and local amenities, this home offers both comfort and accessibility.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Covered front porch
  • Manageable lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGCOVERED FRONT PORCHDEDICATED WORKSHOP AREADETACHED GARAGEMANAGEABLE LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Public transportation access nearby

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Lot with approximate dimensions 56 x 218 x 57 x 215

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas hot water heating
  • Interior features: Full unfinished walk-out basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Connellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#602 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime D-.
  • Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.80%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,263
List price
$109,900
Delta
-14.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 N 11th St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (+0%) 2mo $190,100 $164 80
147 S 9th St 0.08mi 2/1.0 1,246 (+8%) 10mo $33,500 $27 74
168 N 12th St 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,144 (-1%) 16mo $190,000 $166 66
201 N 10th St 0.20mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,250 (+8%) 8mo $103,750 $83 65
714 S 11th St 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,073 (-7%) 6mo $146,900 $137 62
143 S 9th St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,318 (+14%) 16mo $41,000 $31 54
214 Dewitt Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (+7%) 19mo $145,000 $118 44
214 W Morton Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,272 (+10%) 14mo $120,000 $94 43
1004 S Pittsburgh 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+12%) 15mo $125,000 $97 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-6,721
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$8,397
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15425

Home prices YoY
-15.9%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $906
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $236 -5% $205 +0% $174 +5% $143 +10% $112
Rent -10% $85 -5% $130 +0% $174 +5% $219 +10% $263
Rate -1.0pp $230 -0.5pp $202 base $174 +0.5pp $146 +1.0pp $117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
204 Meason St Connellsville, PA 2.0 1.5 1136 $995 $0.88 44d 1 0.38mi
713 Ridge Blvd Connellsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,500 $1.46 44d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-04-24
    listed $109,900 Active 658-char remark
  10. 2010-04-27
    soldstatus $49,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,119 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$309/yr (+$26/mo · 27.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,514
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,119
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$79
After-tax cash flow
$2,012/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Connellsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4206660
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,315
Composite
25.95/100
National rank
#7333
State rank
#440 of 539 in PA

Livability — Connellsville

Score
72/100
State rank
#602
US rank
#5763

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Connellsville, PA
Population (ZIP)
17,752

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.63%
Current HPI
193.6086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $109,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2010-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,119 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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