Multi-family
227 N 3rd St · Columbia, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this move-in-ready Colombia Boro home! You will feel welcomed by the open and airy living area. This home offers 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Entertaining is made easy with the privacy of a fenced yard! Come check out this well maintained home before it's gone!
Key facts
- Updated baths
- Front porch
- Oversized lr
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $245k).
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#538 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D, schools D-.
- Columbia Borough SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #482 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,702/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 647% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.90%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $258,382
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 N 5th St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,961 (+4%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $163 | 73 |
| 16 N 5th St | 0.27mi | 4/— | 1,935 (+3%) | 17mo | $314,900 | $163 | 69 |
| 333 Cherry St | 0.31mi | 4/— | 2,052 (+9%) | 12mo | $200,001 | $97 | 61 |
| 134 S 4th St | 0.38mi | 4/— | 1,680 (-11%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 336 Cherry St | 0.33mi | 4/— | 2,118 (+12%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $109 | 58 |
| 20 N 7th St | 0.45mi | 3/— (-1) | 2,108 (+12%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $109 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $95,708
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $320,611
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17512
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 17.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,702 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$448 /mo · $5,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$987
- Net cashflow
- $1,814
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.5 | $4,700 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,175 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,175 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,175 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,175 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,702 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 Locust St Columbia, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1768 | $2,550 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 362 S 3rd St Columbia, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 824 Apache Ln Wrightsville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,500 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-04soldstatus $245,000
-
2026-04-05status Pending
-
2026-03-31$244,900 Active
-
2022-05-12soldstatus $225,000
-
2022-05-06soldstatus $225,000 Closed 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Welcome to this move-in-ready Colombia Boro home! You will feel welcomed by the open and airy living area. This home offers 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Entertaining is made easy with the privacy of a fenced yard! Come check out this well maintained home before it's gone!
-
2022-04-01status Pending 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Welcome to this move-in-ready Colombia Boro home! You will feel welcomed by the open and airy living area. This home offers 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Entertaining is made easy with the privacy of a fenced yard! Come check out this well maintained home before it's gone!
-
2022-03-28price $225,000 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Welcome to this move-in-ready Colombia Boro home! You will feel welcomed by the open and airy living area. This home offers 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Entertaining is made easy with the privacy of a fenced yard! Come check out this well maintained home before it's gone!
-
2022-03-17$230,000 Active 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Welcome to this move-in-ready Colombia Boro home! You will feel welcomed by the open and airy living area. This home offers 4 large bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. Entertaining is made easy with the privacy of a fenced yard! Come check out this well maintained home before it's gone!
-
2021-09-20historical
-
2021-08-20$225,000 Active
-
2021-08-20historical
-
2021-07-31$224,900 Active
-
2019-05-28soldstatus $160,000
-
2019-05-24soldstatus $160,000 Closed
-
2019-04-10status Pending
-
2019-04-03$159,900 Active
-
2018-10-01historical
-
2018-03-21$59,900
-
1995-09-12soldstatus $59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,378 · $448/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,378 · $448/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$5,378
- − Insurance
- −$2,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,514
- − Management
- −$4,514
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable income
- $19,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,597
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia Borough SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206360
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,162
- Composite
- 19.3/100
- National rank
- #8799
- State rank
- #482 of 539 in PA
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #538
- US rank
- #5040
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, PA
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 18,148
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,148
- Household income
- $66,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 647.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.48%
- Current HPI
- 278.1465
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.00%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+315.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2026-04-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $244,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-28 Price Changed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-17 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-20 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-07-31 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-24 Sold (MLS) $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-03 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-10-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-21 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $5,378 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…