680 Grommet Dr · Harrisonburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 680 Grommet Drive & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; a beautifully maintained and move-in-ready home located in one of Harrisonburg & acirc; & euro; & trade; s fastest-growing and most desirable neighborhoods. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers the perfect combination of modern comfort, open-concept living, and everyday convenience. From the moment you walk in, you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll love the bright natural light, clean finishes, and thoughtfully designed layout that feels both warm and functional. The main level features an open kitchen with a large center island, abundant cabinet space, and seamless flow into the dining and livin
Key facts
- Large center island
- Large backyard
- Open kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $376k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (27.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $292k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Harrisonburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#24 in VA, #666 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Rockingham County Public School District (rural): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #77 of 131 in VA (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 53% FRL); Wilbur S. Pence Middle (math 46% / reading 64%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 668 students, 39% FRL); Turner Ashby High (math 78% / reading 82%, grade A, #60 of 319 statewide, top 19%, 994 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 683 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,917/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 2712% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockingham County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $406,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 Shoeshine Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (0%) | 8mo | $415,000 | $247 | 88 |
| 775 Wingtip Way | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (0%) | 12mo | $395,000 | $235 | 87 |
| 2020 Shoeshine Ave | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (0%) | 9mo | $419,300 | $250 | 86 |
| 2055 Tailor Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 | 1,680 (0%) | 19mo | $375,000 | $223 | 76 |
| 2020 Russell Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 1,686 (+0%) | 15mo | $398,600 | $236 | 70 |
| 785 Wingtip Way | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 1,903 (+13%) | 7mo | $415,000 | $218 | 68 |
| 570 Wingtip Way | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $257 | 60 |
| 730 Wingtip Way | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 13mo | $364,900 | $253 | 52 |
| 830 Wingtip Way | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 21mo | $369,000 | $256 | 49 |
| 715 Wingtip Way | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 23mo | $331,500 | $230 | 46 |
| 1813 Willow Hill Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,667 (-1%) | 23mo | $329,000 | $197 | 46 |
| 540 Wingtip Way | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 19mo | $349,000 | $242 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-63,005
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-19,981
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22801
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$613
- Net cashflow
- $-135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-248 | +10% $-361 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-365 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-20 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $66 | -0.5pp $-33 | base $-135 | +0.5pp $-239 | +1.0pp $-344 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 Buckle St , VA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1717 | $3,196 | $1.86 | 45d | 23 | 0.23mi |
| 207 Wakefield Pl Harrisonburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,150 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3039 John Wayland Hwy Dayton, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2248 | $2,750 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 474 Diana Ct Rockingham, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16status $400,000 Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $400,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $400,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $400,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $400,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $400,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $400,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $400,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $400,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $400,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $400,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $400,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $400,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$400,000 Active
-
2023-02-23$331,485
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,099 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,280 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,181/yr (+$98/mo · 56.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$2,099
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,800
- − Management
- −$2,800
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$8,741
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,098
- After-tax cash flow
- $477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockingham County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103390
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,178
- Composite
- 47.58/100
- National rank
- #2264
- State rank
- #77 of 131 in VA
Livability — Harrisonburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrisonburg City · 70,357 people
- City population
- 70,357
- Metro
- Harrisonburg, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,983
- Household income
- $72,067
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2712.0
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,435 people
- By 2030
- 85,223 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 87,667 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 88,550 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 90,331 · +8.3%
- By 2100
- 85,122 · +2.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 30.9% · R 68.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.0pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+36.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.01%
- Current HPI
- 166.3265
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Harrisonburg, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+20.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $400,000 FSBO.com
- 2023-02-23 Listed $331,485 HRAR
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,099 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…