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680 Grommet Dr
D Composite 40.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

680 Grommet Dr · Harrisonburg, VA 22801
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 2023 Est $407k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 680 Grommet Drive & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; a beautifully maintained and move-in-ready home located in one of Harrisonburg & acirc; & euro; & trade; s fastest-growing and most desirable neighborhoods. This spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers the perfect combination of modern comfort, open-concept living, and everyday convenience. From the moment you walk in, you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll love the bright natural light, clean finishes, and thoughtfully designed layout that feels both warm and functional. The main level features an open kitchen with a large center island, abundant cabinet space, and seamless flow into the dining and livin

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Large backyard
  • Open kitchen

Tags

OPEN KITCHENLARGE CENTER ISLANDABUNDANT CABINET SPACELARGE BACKYARDQUIET COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $376k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (27.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $292k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Harrisonburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#24 in VA, #666 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
  • Rockingham County Public School District (rural): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #77 of 131 in VA (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 53% FRL); Wilbur S. Pence Middle (math 46% / reading 64%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 668 students, 39% FRL); Turner Ashby High (math 78% / reading 82%, grade A, #60 of 319 statewide, top 19%, 994 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 683 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,917/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 2712% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockingham County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $291,670 (27.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.45%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$406,560
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2015 Shoeshine Ave 0.09mi 4/2.5 1,680 (0%) 8mo $415,000 $247 88
775 Wingtip Way 0.04mi 4/2.5 1,680 (0%) 12mo $395,000 $235 87
2020 Shoeshine Ave 0.10mi 4/2.5 1,680 (0%) 9mo $419,300 $250 86
2055 Tailor Dr 0.14mi 4/2.5 1,680 (0%) 19mo $375,000 $223 76
2020 Russell Dr 0.31mi 4/2.5 1,686 (+0%) 15mo $398,600 $236 70
785 Wingtip Way 0.03mi 4/2.5 1,903 (+13%) 7mo $415,000 $218 68
570 Wingtip Way 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,440 (-14%) 2mo $370,000 $257 60
730 Wingtip Way 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-14%) 13mo $364,900 $253 52
830 Wingtip Way 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,440 (-14%) 21mo $369,000 $256 49
715 Wingtip Way 0.08mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,440 (-14%) 23mo $331,500 $230 46
1813 Willow Hill Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,667 (-1%) 23mo $329,000 $197 46
540 Wingtip Way 0.17mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,440 (-14%) 19mo $349,000 $242 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-63,005
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-19,981
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 22801

Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,099/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$613
Net cashflow
$-135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,088
Max offer price $376,143
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $91 -5% $-22 +0% $-135 +5% $-248 +10% $-361
Rent -10% $-365 -5% $-250 +0% $-135 +5% $-20 +10% $95
Rate -1.0pp $66 -0.5pp $-33 base $-135 +0.5pp $-239 +1.0pp $-344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2113 Buckle St , VA 2.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1717 $3,196 $1.86 45d 23 0.23mi
207 Wakefield Pl Harrisonburg, VA 3.0 2.0 1314 $2,150 $1.64 45d 1 1.07mi
3039 John Wayland Hwy Dayton, VA 5.0 2.0 2248 $2,750 $1.22 45d 1 1.12mi
474 Diana Ct Rockingham, VA 3.0 2.5 1549 $2,300 $1.48 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $400,000 Under Contract 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $400,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $400,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $400,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $400,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $400,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $400,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $400,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $400,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $400,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $400,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $400,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $400,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $400,000 Active
  16. 2023-02-23
    listed $331,485

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,099 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,280 · $273/mo
Expected delta
+$1,181/yr (+$98/mo · 56.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,000
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$2,099
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,800
− Management
−$2,800
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$8,741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,098
After-tax cash flow
$477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockingham County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103390
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$53,178
Composite
47.58/100
National rank
#2264
State rank
#77 of 131 in VA

Livability — Harrisonburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#666

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrisonburg City · 70,357 people
City population
70,357
Metro
Harrisonburg, VA
Population (ZIP)
39,983
Household income
$72,067
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
2712.0

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,435 people
By 2030
85,223 · +2.1%
By 2040
87,667 · +5.1%
By 2050
88,550 · +6.1%
By 2075
90,331 · +8.3%
By 2100
85,122 · +2.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 30.9% · R 68.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-1.0pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+40.6 2008: R+36.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.01%
Current HPI
166.3265
Rent YoY
▲ 6.48%
Metro
Harrisonburg, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $400,000 FSBO.com
  • 2023-02-23 Listed $331,485 HRAR

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,099 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…