3037 Duskshine Dr · Brookshire, TX 77423

$255,990

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,015 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition 2-car garage $100/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 20% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.5/30.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• 1% rule +2.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.

Key facts

• Central game room
• Attached bathroom
• Walk-in closet

Tags

• FIRST FLOOR LAYOUT
• OWNER'S SUITE
• ATTACHED BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• CENTRAL GAME ROOM

🏗️ New construction. The $255,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $341,990.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $256k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-574 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (6.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $239k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#960 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Royal ISD (rural): math 23% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #744 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Royal El (math 27% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,247 of 4,322 statewide, top 76%, 762 students, 78% FRL); Royal J H (math 22% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,341 of 1,662 statewide, top 82%, 593 students, 73% FRL); Royal H S (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 842 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1235 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 483 units permitted in Waller County in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Waller County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($248k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $239,176 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.70% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.28%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.19%
• DSCR: 0.68
• GRM: 11.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $341,990
• List price: $255,990
• Delta: -1.46%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3053 Helios Haven Dr	0.10mi	4/2.0	2,035 (+1%)	0mo	$322,670	$159	92
3032 Helios Haven Dr	0.09mi	5/2.0 (+1)	1,942 (-4%)	1mo	$279,990	$144	82
3048 Helios Haven Dr	0.07mi	4/3.0	2,170 (+8%)	2mo	$324,990	$150	81
1040 Star Skye Dr	0.29mi	4/3.0	1,912 (-5%)	1mo	$341,040	$178	75
1084 Sunlit Cir	0.51mi	4/2.0	2,012 (-0%)	1mo	$309,900	$154	73
3101 Duskshine Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,880 (-7%)	0mo	$296,990	$158	63
3093 Duskshine Dr	0.40mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,876 (-7%)	1mo	$325,990	$174	62
3092 Duskshine Dr	0.37mi	4/2.5	2,263 (+12%)	0mo	$275,990	$122	62
1020 Star Skye Dr	0.25mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,769 (-12%)	0mo	$307,040	$174	61
1012 Sunlit Cir	0.38mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,769 (-12%)	1mo	$303,490	$172	54
3081 Duskshine Dr	0.42mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,792 (-11%)	2mo	$338,990	$189	54
1104 Sunlit Cir	0.54mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,786 (-11%)	1mo	$299,900	$168	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -32.3%
• Equity multiple: -0.03×
• Total profit: $-98,882
• Equity at exit: $50,992

10-year hold

• IRR: -60.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.67×
• Total profit: $-159,866
• Equity at exit: $29,569

Cash invested: $95,757 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 121 active · 42 under contract
• Months of supply: 14.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $329,790 ($163/sqft)
• Median days on market: 156 d
• This list price: 7% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +3.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 77423

• Rents YoY: -1.0%
• Active inventory: 1235
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,392 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,793
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$427 /mo · $5,130/yr
• Insurance: −$142
• HOA: −$100
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$502
• Net cashflow: $-574

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,118

Max offer price $258,942

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-338	-5% $-456	+0% $-574	+5% $-692	+10% $-810
Rent	-10% $-763	-5% $-668	+0% $-574	+5% $-479	+10% $-385
Rate	-1.0pp $-402	-0.5pp $-487	base $-574	+0.5pp $-663	+1.0pp $-753

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $85,498
• Closing costs: $10,260
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Sunterra Lakes Property Owners AssociationAssociation fee $1,200 annually

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: New construction residential homeUnder constructionSlab foundationComposition roof
• Construction: Built in 2026Brick construction
• Exterior features: Back yard fenceSubdivision lot

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric ovenElectric rangeGas ovenGas range
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (13 x 15)Bedroom on second floor (10 x 11)Bedroom on second floor (10 x 10)Bedroom on second floor (10 x 10)Total of 6 rooms (includes game room and family room)
• Flooring: CarpetVinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas)Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
• Interior features: Breakfast barKitchen/family room comboKitchen/dining comboBath in primary bedroomSeparate showerTub/shower
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup

Listing history 49 events

1. 2026-08-08
   pricedays on market $255,990 Active 38 DOM
2. 2026-08-06
   days on market $258,990 Active 36 DOM
3. 2026-08-05
   days on market $258,990 Active 35 DOM
4. 2026-08-04
   days on market $258,990 Active 34 DOM
5. 2026-08-03
   days on market $258,990 Active 33 DOM
6. 2026-07-31
   days on market $258,990 Active 30 DOM
7. 2026-07-30
   days on market $258,990 Active 28 DOM
8. 2026-07-28
   days on market $258,990 Active 27 DOM
9. 2026-07-26
   days on market $258,990 Active 25 DOM
10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $258,990 Active 23 DOM
11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $258,990 Active 22 DOM
12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $258,990 Active 21 DOM
13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $258,990 Active 20 DOM
14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $258,990 Active 19 DOM
15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $258,990 Active 17 DOM
16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $258,990 Active 16 DOM
17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $258,990 Active 15 DOM
18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $258,990 Active 14 DOM
19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $258,990 Active 13 DOM
20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $258,990 Active 12 DOM
21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $258,990 Active 11 DOM
22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $258,990 Active 10 DOM
23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $258,990 Active 9 DOM
24. 2026-07-09
    pricedays on market $258,990 Active 8 DOM
25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $268,990 Active 6 DOM
26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $268,990 Active 5 DOM
27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $268,990 Active 4 DOM
28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $268,990 Active 3 DOM
29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $268,990 Active 2 DOM
30. 2026-07-02
    remarks 652-char remark
31. 2026-07-02
    days on marketlisting id $268,990 Active 1 DOM
32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $268,990 Active 103 DOM
33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $268,990 Active 102 DOM
34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $268,990 Active 101 DOM
35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $268,990 Active 100 DOM
36. 2026-06-27
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $268,990 Active 99 DOM
37. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 537-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.

38. 2026-05-13
    price $336,990 537-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.

39. 2026-04-27
    price $260,990 537-char remark
40. 2026-04-09
    price $275,990 537-char remark
41. 2026-02-10
    price $265,640 537-char remark
42. 2026-02-03
    price $277,040 537-char remark
43. 2026-01-26
    price $282,740 537-char remark
44. 2026-01-21
    price $288,490 537-char remark
45. 2025-12-16
    price $299,990 537-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.

46. 2025-12-11
    price $324,690 537-char remark
47. 2025-12-09
    price $330,340 537-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.

48. 2025-11-30
    price $335,990 537-char remark

    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    On the first floor of this spacious two-story home is a convenient and modern layout seamlessly connecting the kitchen, dining room and family room together. In a private corner is the tranquil owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet. Upstairs is a sprawling central game room made for gatherings of all sizes, along with three secondary bedrooms to provide sleeping accommodations to family members and guests.

49. 2025-11-26
    listed $336,990 Active 537-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,701
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,157
• − Property taxes: −$5,130
• − Insurance: −$1,710
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,296
• − Management: −$2,296
• − HOA: −$1,200
• − Depreciation: −$9,949
• Taxable loss: −$13,036
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,129
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $10,075–$30,225 screening

This home is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It has a good layout and is ready for a new owner to move in. Some updates could further enhance its value and appeal to potential buyers.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting ↑
• Resale Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and make it more appealing to potential buyers ↑
• Resale Add a backsplash in the kitchen — A backsplash can add a pop of color and make the kitchen more functional ↑
• Resale Install new lighting fixtures — New lighting can make the home more inviting and energy-efficient ↑
• Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value and make it more convenient for potential buyers ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 22/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Royal El F TX #3,247/4,322 Nat'l #31,549/41,679 Middle Royal J H F TX #1,341/1,662 Nat'l #11,105/14,009 High Royal H S F TX #1,377/1,632 Nat'l #13,899/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Royal ISD
• NCES district ID: 4838190
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 23% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $41,059
• Composite: 19.55/100
• National rank: #8760
• State rank: #744 of 826 in TX

C Composite livability gradescore 62/100

Livability — Brookshire

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #960
• US rank: #17059

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Waller County · 60,772 people
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 18,767
• Household income: $84,490
• Rent vs Own: 20.6% rent · 79.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 10% of renters

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Population outlook (Waller County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 60,772 people
• By 2030: 67,616 · +11.3%
• By 2040: 82,283 · +35.4%
• By 2050: 98,276 · +61.7%
• By 2075: 142,860 · +135.1%
• By 2100: 175,596 · +188.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 30% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Waller

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.0% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -25.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -125.28%
• Current HPI: 204.8709
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.01%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Sunterra Lakes Property Owners AssociationAssociation fee $1,200 annually

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public waterPublic sewer
• Home design: New construction residential homeUnder constructionSlab foundationComposition roof
• Construction: Built in 2026Brick construction
• Exterior features: Back yard fenceSubdivision lot

Interior

• Kitchen: DishwasherElectric ovenElectric rangeGas ovenGas range
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (13 x 15)Bedroom on second floor (10 x 11)Bedroom on second floor (10 x 10)Bedroom on second floor (10 x 10)Total of 6 rooms (includes game room and family room)
• Flooring: CarpetVinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas)Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
• Interior features: Breakfast barKitchen/family room comboKitchen/dining comboBath in primary bedroomSeparate showerTub/shower
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup

Price history

-20.2% since first listed

27 events — show timeline

• 2026-07-01 Listed $268,990 HARMLS
• 2026-06-26 Relisted — Zillow
• 2026-06-26 Price Changed $268,990 Zillow
• 2026-05-13 Delisted — Zillow
• 2026-05-13 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-05-13 Price Changed $336,990 HARMLS
• 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-05-12 Relisted — Zillow
• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $260,990 Zillow
• 2026-04-27 Price Changed $260,990 HARMLS
• 2026-04-09 Price Changed $275,990 HARMLS
• 2026-03-02 Delisted — Zillow
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $265,640 Zillow
• 2026-02-10 Price Changed $265,640 HARMLS
• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $277,040 HARMLS
• 2026-01-26 Price Changed $282,740 HARMLS
• 2026-01-21 Price Changed $288,490 HARMLS
• 2025-12-16 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
• 2025-12-16 Price Changed $299,990 HARMLS
• 2025-12-12 Price Changed $324,690 Zillow
• 2025-12-11 Price Changed $324,690 HARMLS
• 2025-12-09 Price Changed $330,340 Zillow
• 2025-12-09 Price Changed $330,340 HARMLS
• 2025-11-30 Price Changed $335,990 HARMLS
• 2025-11-30 Price Changed $335,990 Zillow
• 2025-11-26 Listed $336,990 HARMLS
• 2025-11-25 Listed $336,990 Zillow