24600 Mountain Ave #19 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Views, Views, Views, Charming Home in Desirable 55+ Community with Mountain Views! Discover comfort and convenience in this well kept 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in one of Hemet’s most desirable senior mobile home parks. The open floor plan offers a spacious living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The third bedroom adds flexibility ideal for a home office, hobby room, or guest space. You’ll love the ample storage throughout and the peaceful private backyard that offers beautiful mountain views, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or evening sunsets. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a low-maintenance home in a friendly and peaceful 55+ community. Schedule your private showing today.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Private backyard
- Mountain views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $999 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 15% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $115k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.22%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,170
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 26.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24600 Mountain Ave #63 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $39,000 | $29 | 99 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #66 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $97 | 95 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #20 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 86 |
| 881 N Lake St #204 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $56 | 86 |
| 880 N Lake St #49 | 0.17mi | 2/2.5 | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $77 | 84 |
| 24600 Mountain #58 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $56 | 84 |
| 880 Lake St N #81 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 8mo | $98,000 | $73 | 83 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #97 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 6mo | $89,000 | $62 | 83 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #103 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $63 | 82 |
| 881 Lake Street Space 253 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $67 | 72 |
| 24770 Wendell Dr | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $180 | 64 |
| 43334 Ballew | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $222 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $49,083
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 42.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $142,199
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92544
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $400/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $999
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 Rue Chenin Blanc San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1939 Hooper Dr San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 43435 Nola St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 43170 Wall St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,895 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 43816 C St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,250 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $115,000 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Views, Views, Views, Charming Home in Desirable 55+ Community with Mountain Views! Discover comfort and convenience in this well kept 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in one of Hemet’s most desirable senior mobile home parks. The open floor plan offers a spacious living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The third bedroom adds flexibility ideal for a home office, hobby room, or guest space. You’ll love the ample storage throughout and the peaceful private backyard that offers beautiful mountain views, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or evening sunsets. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a low-maintenance home in a friendly and peaceful 55+ community. Schedule your private showing today.
-
2026-04-03$99,900 Active 722-char remark
Show marketing remark (722 chars)
Views, Views, Views, Charming Home in Desirable 55+ Community with Mountain Views! Discover comfort and convenience in this well kept 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in one of Hemet’s most desirable senior mobile home parks. The open floor plan offers a spacious living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The third bedroom adds flexibility ideal for a home office, hobby room, or guest space. You’ll love the ample storage throughout and the peaceful private backyard that offers beautiful mountain views, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or evening sunsets. This is a fantastic opportunity to own a low-maintenance home in a friendly and peaceful 55+ community. Schedule your private showing today.
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-02-26$99,900 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-06-17$122,000 Active
-
2025-06-03historical
-
2020-05-21soldstatus $65,000 Closed Sale
-
2020-05-03status Pending Sale
-
2020-04-28$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $400 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $874 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$474/yr (+$39/mo · 118.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$400
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,045
- − Management
- −$2,045
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $10,712
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,413/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,751
- Household income
- $73,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1518.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 40% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.06%
- Current HPI
- 391.972
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+76.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $115,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $99,900 CRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $99,900 CRMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-17 Listed $122,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-03 Coming Soon — CRMLS
- 2020-05-21 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CRMLS
- 2020-05-03 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-04-28 Listed $65,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $400 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…