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602 Kentucky Ave
F Composite 27.16
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +1.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

602 Kentucky Ave · South Haven, MI 49090
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1974 0.51 ac lot $298/sqft · 7% above area Est $608k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1974

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Ranch style; Single-family residence; Built in 1974
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot; Paved road access; Lake Michigan nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 5
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Garage door opener; Replacement and insulated windows with window treatments; Five total rooms listed (not including bedrooms/bathrooms)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (70.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (66.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (70.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 0.5% in South Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#353 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, commute F.
  • South Haven Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #383 of 540 in MI (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 15 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $94,707 (70.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.34%
Cap rate
1.48%
Cash-on-cash
-17.19%
DSCR
0.24
GRM
24.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$608,209
List price
$325,000
Delta
-46.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
884 Wells St 0.37mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,124 (+3%) 4mo $544,900 $485 64
260 Brockway Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 988 (-10%) 9mo $400,000 $405 57
33 Blue Star Hwy 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,086 (-0%) 24mo $340,000 $313 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-50.4%
Equity multiple
-0.49×
Total profit
$-135,726
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.48×
Total profit
$-225,235
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49090

Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
24.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$326 /mo · $3,912/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$-1,304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,741
Max offer price $94,707
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
04939 Cecilia Dr South Haven, MI 2.0 1.0 884 $990 $1.12 44d 2 1.20mi
1000 6th Ave South Haven, MI 2.0 1.0 864 $1,209 $1.40 44d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

  2. 2026-05-04
    historical Active Under Contract 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

  3. 2026-05-04
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $325,000 Active 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

  5. 2026-04-30
    listed $325,000 Active 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

  6. 2026-04-30
    listed $325,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.

  7. 2016-11-27
    historical
  8. 2016-11-26
    historical
  9. 2016-05-27
    listed $249,900 Active
  10. 2016-05-26
    listed $249,900
  11. 2006-05-01
    soldstatus $189,000
  12. 2006-05-01
    soldstatus $189,000
  13. 2006-02-25
    listed $199,000
  14. 2006-02-25
    listed $199,000
  15. 2006-02-25
    historical
  16. 2006-02-25
    historical
  17. 2004-12-22
    listed $229,000
  18. 2004-12-22
    listed $229,000
  19. 2002-08-09
    soldstatus $161,400
  20. 2002-08-09
    soldstatus $161,400
  21. 2000-10-03
    listed $169,900
  22. 2000-10-03
    listed $169,900
  23. 1998-06-18
    listed $130,000
  24. 1998-06-18
    listed $130,000
  25. 1995-06-06
    soldstatus $109,000
  26. 1995-06-06
    soldstatus $109,000
  27. 1995-04-14
    listed $109,000
  28. 1995-04-14
    listed $109,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,912 · $326/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,459 · $372/mo
Expected delta
+$546/yr (+$46/mo · 14.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,095
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$3,912
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$22,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,327
After-tax cash flow
$-10,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Haven Public Schools
NCES district ID
2632300
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,080
Composite
24.33/100
National rank
#7703
State rank
#383 of 540 in MI

Livability — South Haven

Score
69/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#9003

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Haven, MI
Population (ZIP)
13,562

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,479 people
By 2030
68,693 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,093 · -13.1%
By 2050
55,232 · -22.7%
By 2075
40,786 · -42.9%
By 2100
27,785 · -61.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -286.78%
Current HPI
221.5371
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.8% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $330,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $330,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $330,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $325,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $325,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-11-27 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-11-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2016-05-27 Listed $249,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2016-05-26 Listed $249,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) $189,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) $189,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-02-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-02-25 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-02-25 Listed $199,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-02-25 Listed $199,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-12-22 Listed $229,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-22 Listed $229,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $161,400 REALCOMP
  • 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $161,400 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2000-10-03 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2000-10-03 Listed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1998-06-18 Listed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1998-06-18 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 1995-06-06 Sold (MLS) $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 1995-06-06 Sold (MLS) $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1995-04-14 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 1995-04-14 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,912 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…