602 Kentucky Ave · South Haven, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Cash flow +1.3/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1974
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Ranch style; Single-family residence; Built in 1974
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Wooded lot; Paved road access; Lake Michigan nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 5
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Replacement and insulated windows with window treatments; Five total rooms listed (not including bedrooms/bathrooms)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (70.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (66.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $95k (70.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.5% vs local median 0.5% in South Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#353 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, commute F.
- South Haven Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #383 of 540 in MI (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.34% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.19%
- DSCR
- 0.24
- GRM
- 24.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $608,209
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- -46.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 884 Wells St | 0.37mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,124 (+3%) | 4mo | $544,900 | $485 | 64 |
| 260 Brockway Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-10%) | 9mo | $400,000 | $405 | 57 |
| 33 Blue Star Hwy | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,086 (-0%) | 24mo | $340,000 | $313 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -50.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-135,726
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.48×
- Total profit
- $-225,235
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49090
- Active inventory
- 215
- Price-to-rent
- 24.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$326 /mo · $3,912/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $-1,304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04939 Cecilia Dr South Haven, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $990 | $1.12 | 44d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 1000 6th Ave South Haven, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,209 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-04historical Accepting Backup Offers 792-char remark
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 792-char remark
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
-
2026-05-04historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
-
2026-04-30$325,000 Active 792-char remark
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
-
2026-04-30$325,000 Active 792-char remark
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
-
2026-04-30$325,000 Active
Show marketing remark (792 chars)
Located on the coveted north side of South Haven, this well-kept ranch home offers comfortable living on a spacious half-acre lot near the Black River marinas and the beautiful beaches of Lake Michigan. With two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, the home is ideal for easy everyday living, making it an excellent option for those looking to downsize or secure a low-maintenance second home. The partially finished lower level provides added versatility with an egress window, second full bathroom, and a third bedroom-perfect for guests, a home office, recreation space, or extended stays. Enjoy the rare combination of generous outdoor space, flexible interior living areas, and a prime north side location just moments from marinas, beaches, and all that South Haven has to offer.
-
2016-11-27historical
-
2016-11-26historical
-
2016-05-27$249,900 Active
-
2016-05-26$249,900
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $189,000
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $189,000
-
2006-02-25$199,000
-
2006-02-25$199,000
-
2006-02-25historical
-
2006-02-25historical
-
2004-12-22$229,000
-
2004-12-22$229,000
-
2002-08-09soldstatus $161,400
-
2002-08-09soldstatus $161,400
-
2000-10-03$169,900
-
2000-10-03$169,900
-
1998-06-18$130,000
-
1998-06-18$130,000
-
1995-06-06soldstatus $109,000
-
1995-06-06soldstatus $109,000
-
1995-04-14$109,000
-
1995-04-14$109,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,912 · $326/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,459 · $372/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$46/mo · 14.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$3,912
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$22,196
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,327
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Haven Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632300
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,080
- Composite
- 24.33/100
- National rank
- #7703
- State rank
- #383 of 540 in MI
Livability — South Haven
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #9003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Haven, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,562
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,479 people
- By 2030
- 68,693 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,093 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 55,232 · -22.7%
- By 2075
- 40,786 · -42.9%
- By 2100
- 27,785 · -61.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -286.78%
- Current HPI
- 221.5371
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+202.8% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $330,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $330,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $330,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $325,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $325,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $325,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-11-27 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2016-11-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-05-27 Listed $249,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2016-05-26 Listed $249,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) $189,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) $189,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-02-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-02-25 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-02-25 Listed $199,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-02-25 Listed $199,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2004-12-22 Listed $229,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-12-22 Listed $229,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $161,400 REALCOMP
- 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $161,400 SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-10-03 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-03 Listed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-06-18 Listed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-06-18 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 1995-06-06 Sold (MLS) $109,000 REALCOMP
- 1995-06-06 Sold (MLS) $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1995-04-14 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
- 1995-04-14 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,912 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…