🔨 Auction
1134 Shields Pl · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/15/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/17/2026 @ 12:20 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Upton neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities such as the University of Maryland Medical Center Midtown Campus and Upton Metro Station. This property is vacant. The area provides easy access to the nearest major traffic artery, W Franklin St, connecting to other parts of Baltimore.
Key facts
- Upton metro station
- Two story townhouse
- Upton neighborhood
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 61 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.01%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,163
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -84.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 702 Tessier St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (0%) | 23mo | $160,000 | $208 | 65 |
| 14 E Mount Vernon Pl | 0.75mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 798 (+4%) | 15mo | $240,000 | $301 | 42 |
| 105 Carrollton Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+14%) | 10mo | $72,000 | $82 | 39 |
| 512 Cathedral St #3 | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 672 (-13%) | 7mo | $168,500 | $251 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-15,505
- Equity at exit
- $23,583
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-10,875
- Equity at exit
- $13,675
Cash invested: $44,286 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21201
- Home prices YoY
- -3.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,476 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$829
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $587/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,541
- Closing costs
- $4,745
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1110 Shields Pl Unit 1129 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 910 N Arlington Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $999 | $1.81 | 17d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1306 McCulloh St #1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1409 McCulloh St Unit McCulloh UA Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1315 Harlem Ave Unit C Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,425 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1315 Harlem Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,425 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1719 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,200 | $2.22 | 17d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1310 Eutaw Pl Unit 4 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1339 W Lafayette Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 12d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1123 N Eutaw St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,582 | $1.50 | 4d | 4 | 0.50mi |
| 1524 Madison Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 628 N Eutaw St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $1,605 | $1.95 | 1d | 6 | 0.50mi |
| 1410 Eutaw Pl Unit 6 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 422 W Franklin St Apt 1B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,500 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 307 Dolphin St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,624 | $2.22 | 17d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 318 N Paca St Unit 10 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 318 N Paca St Unit 9 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,481 | $2.39 | 2d | 12 | 0.55mi |
| 305 W Monument St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 4d | 4 | 0.55mi |
| 617 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $2,200 | $2.26 | 10d | 4 | 0.57mi |
| 600 N Howard St Unit 102 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,465 | $2.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 600 N Howard St Unit 402 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,565 | $2.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 600 N Howard St Unit 502 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,650 | $3.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 319 W Franklin St Unit 301-0303 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,550 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 319 W Franklin St Unit 301-0503 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,550 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 319 W Franklin St Unit 301-0506 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,350 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 306 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 733 | $1,822 | $2.48 | 2d | 5 | 0.60mi |
| 226 W Monument St Unit 1R Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1202 Bolton St #1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1200 Bolton St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,850 | $3.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 857 N Howard St Unit 1R Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,199 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 319 W Mulberry St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 301 W Franklin St Unit 301-0101 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,600 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 301 W Franklin St Unit SJ-0101 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,650 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 301 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 586 | $1,600 | $2.73 | 12d | 5 | 0.62mi |
| 301 W Franklin St Unit SJ-0506 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,500 | $2.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 301 W Franklin St Unit SJ-0411 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,450 | $2.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1847 Druid Hill Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 301 McMechen St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 462 | $1,201 | $2.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 416 N Howard St Unit 3A Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-03-24$25,000 Active 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/15/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/17/2026 @ 12:20 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Upton neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities such as the University of Maryland Medical Center Midtown Campus and Upton Metro Station. This property is vacant. The area provides easy access to the nearest major traffic artery, W Franklin St, connecting to other parts of Baltimore.
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2025-12-31historical
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2025-11-25price $45,000
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2025-11-14price $25,000
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2025-09-11$30,000 Active
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2025-03-12soldstatus $45,000
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2025-02-10soldstatus $45,000 Closed
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2025-01-14status Pending
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2024-11-26$30,000 Active
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2021-10-30historical
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2021-09-14Active Under Contract
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2021-09-14$40,000
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2020-08-31soldstatus $38,000 Closed
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2020-08-13status Pending
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2020-07-30$30,000 Active
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1989-09-29soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $587 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $587 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,860
- − Property taxes
- −$587
- − Insurance
- −$791
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,417
- − Management
- −$1,417
- − Depreciation
- −$4,601
- Taxable income
- $40
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,307
- Household income
- $45,640
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2648.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.03%
- Current HPI
- 257.3988
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.28%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-27.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-10 Sold (MLS) $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-26 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-10-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-14 Listed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-14 Listed $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-31 Sold (MLS) $38,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-30 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1989-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $587 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…