1905 Sage Ln · Worland, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Deck with doggy door
- Completely fenced
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 6,325 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.1% in Worland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#16 in WY, #4,423 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Washakie County School District #1 (town): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 41 in WY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Washakie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washakie County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.04%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,460
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $19,650
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82401
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,141 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $252/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $320 | -5% $289 | +0% $258 | +5% $227 | +10% $196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $168 | -5% $213 | +0% $258 | +5% $303 | +10% $348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $313 | -0.5pp $286 | base $258 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-11soldstatus
-
2026-03-06historical Under Contract
-
2026-02-21$110,000 Active
-
2021-06-04soldstatus
-
2021-06-04soldstatus
-
2021-05-10$72,000
-
2008-11-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $252 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $671 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$419/yr (+$35/mo · 166.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,694
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$252
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,095
- − Management
- −$1,095
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$321
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washakie County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5606240
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,118
- Composite
- 52.13/100
- National rank
- #1617
- State rank
- #10 of 41 in WY
Livability — Worland
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #4423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Worland, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,053
Population outlook (Washakie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,947 people
- By 2030
- 7,658 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 6,969 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 6,237 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 4,611 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 2,994 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Washakie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.1% · R 81.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+64.7 2016: R+64.0 2012: R+56.7 2008: R+46.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.46%
- Current HPI
- 186.0211
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+52.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-03-06 Contingent — ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2026-02-21 Listed $110,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2021-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-06-04 Sold (MLS) — WMLS
- 2021-05-10 Listed $72,000 WMLS
- 2008-11-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $252 · -14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…