508 N Bright Dr · Devine, TX 78016

$49,999

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market

Built 1975 0.30 ac lot $61/sqft · 71% below area

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special in the heart of Devine, TX! This distressed property offers a prime opportunity for those looking to renovate, flip, or build long-term rental income. Situated on a spacious lot, the home features a flexible floor plan with solid bones ready for your vision and updates. Property will require significant repairs and is being sold as-is, where-is. Ideal for cash buyers or experienced investors seeking their next project in a growing area just minutes from IH-35 with easy access to San Antonio. Bring your contractor and imagination, opportunities like this don't last long!

Key facts

• Solid bones
• Easy access
• Flexible floor plan

Tags

• SPACIOUS LOT
• FLEXIBLE FLOOR PLAN
• SOLID BONES
• GROWING AREA
• EASY ACCESS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 2.1% in Devine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#954 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, housing D, amenities F.
• Devine ISD (town): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #420 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 102 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Medina County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $48,499 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.68% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 52.87%
• DSCR: 3.35
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $169,628
• List price: $49,999
• Delta: -70.52%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 16 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
111 Fernandez	0.12mi	3/1.0	917 (+12%)	9mo	$114,000	$124	66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 51.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.23×
• Total profit: $31,261
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 56.4%
• Equity multiple: 6.58×
• Total profit: $78,127
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78016

• Home prices YoY: -13.1%
• Active inventory: 147
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,339 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$281
• Net cashflow: $617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $558

Max offer price $49,999

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $645	-5% $631	+0% $617	+5% $603	+10% $588
Rent	-10% $511	-5% $564	+0% $617	+5% $670	+10% $723
Rate	-1.0pp $642	-0.5pp $630	base $617	+0.5pp $604	+1.0pp $591

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
100 Lc Martin Dr Devine, TX	2.0	1.0	862	$1,339	$1.55	44d	1	0.90mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $49,999 Active 59 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $49,999 Active 57 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $49,999 Active 56 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $49,999 Active 55 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $49,999 Active 54 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $49,999 Active 52 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $49,999 Active 51 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $49,999 Active 48 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $49,999 Active 47 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,999 Active 46 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,999 Active 44 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,999 Active 42 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,999 Active 41 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,999 Active 40 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,999 Active 39 DOM
16. 2026-04-22
    listed $49,999 New 593-char remark

    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Investor special in the heart of Devine, TX! This distressed property offers a prime opportunity for those looking to renovate, flip, or build long-term rental income. Situated on a spacious lot, the home features a flexible floor plan with solid bones ready for your vision and updates. Property will require significant repairs and is being sold as-is, where-is. Ideal for cash buyers or experienced investors seeking their next project in a growing area just minutes from IH-35 with easy access to San Antonio. Bring your contractor and imagination, opportunities like this don't last long!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,896 · $158/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,896 · $158/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,068
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$1,896
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,285
• − Management: −$1,285
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $7,096
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,703
• After-tax cash flow: $5,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Devine ISD
• NCES district ID: 4816950
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,550
• Composite: 34.0/100
• National rank: #5318
• State rank: #420 of 826 in TX

Livability — Devine

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #954
• US rank: #16978

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing D Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Devine, TX
• Population (ZIP): 11,302

Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 54,332 people
• By 2030: 57,250 · +5.4%
• By 2040: 62,563 · +15.1%
• By 2050: 67,386 · +24.0%
• By 2075: 79,538 · +46.4%
• By 2100: 84,624 · +55.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (53%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 53% White 44% Two or more races 24% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 49%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 77% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Medina

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.8) · D 28.2% · R 71.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.9pp · 2024: -42.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.8 2020: R+39.2 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+39.2 2008: R+33.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -33.45%
• Current HPI: 222.0587
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-22 Listed $49,999 LERA

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,896 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.