1085 Crenshaw Ave · Cottonwood, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully maintained 2022 home in On The Greens offering bright, modern, low-maintenance living in an active adult leased-land community. The open floor plan features a spacious living area, stylish kitchen with white cabinetry, stainless appliances, generous counter space, and comfortable flow. The primary suite includes dual sinks and a walk-in shower, with additional space for guests, office, or hobbies. Enjoy a welcoming front porch, covered parking, and easy-care outdoor spaces. On The Greens offers an active lifestyle with two pools, spa, fitness center, yoga room, firepits, golf course, pickleball courts, and year-round activities led by a full-time Lifestyle Director, including cl
Key facts
- 4 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 2022
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Current financing: Other
- HOA & community: No association fees; Land lease of $650 per month; Community pool; Community spa (heated); Golf; Pickleball courts; Fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile housing; Leasehold ownership; Desert and mountain views
- Construction: Cement siding; Steel frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Gravel/stone front yard; Gravel/stone back yard; Heated spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Built-in electric oven; Built-in microwave; Non-laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; 9+ flat ceilings; Full bath in primary bedroom; ENERGY STAR qualified windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.8% in Cottonwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AZ, #2,176 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, amenities F.
- Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487) (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #174 of 249 in AZ (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cottonwood Community School (math 8% / reading 13%, grade F, #993 of 1,109 statewide, top 91%, 500 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 22% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 266 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,316/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 894% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.54%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1065 Crenshaw Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $125 | 96 |
| 992 Trevino Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (-1%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $136 | 80 |
| 972 Trevino Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (-4%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $130 | 76 |
| 2050 W St Route 89a -- #273 | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $104 | 72 |
| 2050 W SR 89a -- #104 | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (+1%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $81 | 70 |
| 880 W On The Greens Blvd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+12%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $154 | 70 |
| 1024 Rankin Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,605 (+12%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $125 | 65 |
| 1216 Hogan Dr | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+11%) | 1mo | $248,000 | $155 | 63 |
| 2050 W State Route 89a -- #158 | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-7%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 2050 W State Route 89a -- #86 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $26 | 57 |
| 2050 W State Route 89-a -- #92 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 2050 W SR 89-a -- #96 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+9%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $99 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,476
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $34,191
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86326
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,316 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 992 Sterling Ln Cottonwood, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,395 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 255 S Cottonwood Ranch Rd Cottonwood, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1695 | $2,195 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1910 W Trail Blazer Dr Cottonwood, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,900 | $2.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 133 S 8th Pl Cottonwood, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$169,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,224
- − Management
- −$2,224
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $5,490
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,318
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2022 manufactured home in On The Greens is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a spacious floor plan, modern kitchen, and well-maintained exterior. The home is move-in ready and offers a good return on investment with minor updates that can further increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase resale value.
- Both Adding a smart home system — Enhances convenience and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase resale value. ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — Enhances convenience and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cottonwood-Oak Creek Elementary District (4487)
- NCES district ID
- 0402370
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,740
- Composite
- 19.16/100
- National rank
- #8822
- State rank
- #174 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Cottonwood
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2176
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cottonwood, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 190,406 people
- City population
- 24,852
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,852
- Household income
- $57,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 894.0
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -165.27%
- Current HPI
- 347.5058
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.22%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-17.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $169,900 ARMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $179,500 ARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $189,900 ARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $192,500 ARMLS
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-10-25 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-10-11 Price Changed $195,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $198,500 ARMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $205,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…