3450 S Ocean Blvd #121 · Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$287,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AIR COND. INCLUDED IN MAINTENANCE FEE. THIS UNIT HAS COVERED PARKING IN A CONVENIENT LOCATION. UNIT IS BEAUTIFULLY FURNISHED AND IN PERFECT CONDITION MAINT. INCLUDES REC LEASE.OWNER VERY ANXIOUS, BRING OFFER, ALL CONCIDERED.
Key facts
- Pool access
- Secure entry
- Oceanfront condo
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets not allowed
- Financial info: No land lease
- HOA & community: Association with monthly fee; Monthly HOA fee includes cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water, common areas, common real estate tax, elevator, hot water, and HVAC maintenance; Association amenities: beach access, elevators, fitness center, hot water, laundry, on-site management, parking, pool (heated), storage, manager on site, trash chute, community room
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Covered parking; Guest parking; Under-building parking; Total 1 parking space
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Attended lobby
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Condominium; One-level; Faces north; East of US-1
- Construction: CBS construction; Nine-story building
- Exterior features: Deeded beach access; Ocean access
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central building heating; Central building cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Walk-in closet(s); Closet cabinetry; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $288k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (7.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $288k).
- Recommended offer: $265k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#530 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lantana Elementary School (math 30% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 484 students, 79% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($270k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $288k implies a 379% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.32%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.12% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $63,157
- Equity at exit
- $164,933
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $208,513
- Equity at exit
- $286,328
Cash invested: $80,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33480
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 447
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,205 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,508
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$359 /mo · $4,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$1,491
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$883
- Net cashflow
- $-156
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $43 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-156 | +5% $-255 | +10% $-354 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-488 | -5% $-322 | +0% $-156 | +5% $11 | +10% $177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-11 | -0.5pp $-82 | base $-156 | +0.5pp $-230 | +1.0pp $-306 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,875
- Closing costs
- $8,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3456 S Ocean Blvd #105 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $12,000 | $8.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3456 S Ocean Blvd #6050 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $4,650 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3456 S Ocean Blvd Apt 705 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $3,500 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #3280 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,500 | $2.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #8120 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $3,500 | $3.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #4270 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,250 | $3.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #1050 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,950 | $3.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1236 | $2,750 | $2.22 | 8d | 9 | 0.07mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1236 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 3d | 10 | 0.07mi |
| 3460 S Ocean Blvd #4150 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $10,500 | $7.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $5,850 | $4.19 | 25d | 3 | 0.09mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #3020 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $5,000 | $3.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #6110 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 891 | $3,500 | $3.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #6150 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $8,750 | $6.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #3110 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 891 | $2,600 | $2.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #1030 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $5,500 | $3.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3440 S Ocean Blvd Unit 307N Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $8,500 | $5.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3500 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,950 | $3.36 | 2d | 3 | 0.14mi |
| 3520 S Ocean Blvd Unit H404 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $5,900 | $5.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $4,000 | $4.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #608 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $2,950 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #208 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $2,750 | $2.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #612 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $4,700 | $4.78 | 8d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #309 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 785 | $2,300 | $2.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #216 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $2,550 | $2.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #310 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 785 | $2,100 | $2.68 | 8d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #309 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 785 | $2,400 | $3.06 | 6d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3560 S Ocean Blvd #502 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $9,500 | $7.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3560 S Ocean Blvd #907 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $7,800 | $5.82 | 12d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3560 S Ocean Blvd #306 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $7,000 | $5.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3560 S Ocean Blvd #907 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $7,500 | $5.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3560 S Ocean Blvd #706 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $12,000 | $8.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3560 S Ocean Blvd #4 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $7,950 | $5.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3580 S Ocean Blvd Unit 6B Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1013 | $2,500 | $2.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3581 S Ocean Blvd Unit 2B Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 940 | $2,900 | $3.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3581 S Ocean Blvd Unit 9A Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,600 | $2.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3601 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $2,900 | $2.06 | 20d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 3601 S Ocean Blvd #308 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $3,250 | $2.31 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3610 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1490 | $4,195 | $2.81 | 25d | 4 | 0.54mi |
| 3250 S Ocean Blvd Unit 507N Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $11,000 | $7.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,491 · $17,892/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $287,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $287,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $287,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $287,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $287,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $287,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $287,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$287,500 Active 59 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,104
- − Property taxes
- −$4,312
- − Insurance
- −$1,438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,037
- − Management
- −$4,037
- − HOA
- −$17,892
- − Depreciation
- −$8,364
- Taxable loss
- −$5,719
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,373
- After-tax cash flow
- $-494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Beach
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #9896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 10,924
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,924
- Household income
- $150,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 213.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.12%
- Current HPI
- 464.2769
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+311.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $287,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-15 Listed $335,000 Beaches MLS
- 2001-02-22 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2001-01-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2000-08-01 Listed $69,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…