Laurel Plan · Charleston, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$489,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Parking
- Listed 953 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee approximately $33.35
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space
- Utilities: Electric heating and power; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Laurel plan; New construction (Plan)
- Construction: Built as part of the Laurel plan
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan (Laurel plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $489k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $489k).
- Recommended offer: $430k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.4% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#22 in SC, #3,336 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Berkeley 01 (suburban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #30 of 80 in SC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3,183 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (580 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berkeley County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $115k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 953 days — a 12% lower offer ($430k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 953 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.97%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $408,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 448 Sablewood Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 | 1,838 (-4%) | 3mo | $392,000 | $213 | 84 |
| 447 Sablewood Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,828 (-5%) | 5mo | $367,000 | $201 | 77 |
| 420 Sablewood Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,083 (+8%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $187 | 77 |
| 168 Brightwood Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (+9%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $186 | 72 |
| 121 Brightwood Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,840 (-4%) | 22mo | $403,000 | $219 | 72 |
| 149 Brightwood Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,850 (-4%) | 20mo | $425,000 | $230 | 67 |
| 104 Brightwood Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 2,200 (+15%) | 10mo | $489,000 | $222 | 66 |
| 434 Sablewood Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 2,100 (+9%) | 23mo | $345,000 | $164 | 62 |
| 153 Brightwood Dr | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,816 (-5%) | 16mo | $350,000 | $193 | 62 |
| 427 Sablewood Dr | 0.08mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,718 (-10%) | 16mo | $375,000 | $218 | 60 |
| 436 Sablewood Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (-11%) | 23mo | $391,000 | $230 | 56 |
| 454 Sablewood Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 2,200 (+15%) | 20mo | $439,000 | $200 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $58,144
- Equity at exit
- $96,441
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $199,306
- Equity at exit
- $99,342
Cash invested: $114,509 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29450
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,145
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$511 /mo · $6,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$170
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,140
- Net cashflow
- $1,428
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $102,240
- Closing costs
- $12,269
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $489,000 Active 953 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $489,000 Active 952 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $489,000 Active 951 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $489,000 Active 950 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $489,000 Active 948 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $489,000 Active 947 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $489,000 Active 945 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $489,000 Active 944 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $489,000 Active 943 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $489,000 Active 942 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $489,000 Active 939 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $489,000 Active 938 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $489,000 Active 937 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $489,000 Active 936 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $489,000 Active 935 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,908
- − Property taxes
- −$6,134
- − Insurance
- −$2,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,210
- − Management
- −$5,210
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$11,897
- Taxable income
- $11,328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,719
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkeley 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501170
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,724
- Composite
- 35.95/100
- National rank
- #4799
- State rank
- #30 of 80 in SC
Livability — Charleston
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #3336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 200,573
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,124
Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 254,184 people
- By 2030
- 279,677 · +10.0%
- By 2040
- 329,379 · +29.6%
- By 2050
- 375,557 · +47.8%
- By 2075
- 476,740 · +87.6%
- By 2100
- 535,945 · +110.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 7% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.3) · D 41.1% · R 57.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -16.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.3 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+18.9 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.12%
- Current HPI
- 462.4619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…