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121 Church Lake Dr 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 50.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

121 Church Lake Dr · Interlachen, FL 32148
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1985 0.69 ac lot Est $176k · 26% under · waterfront

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lakefront property on Church Lake featuring approximately 77 feet of lake frontage . The property includes a 1985 Crescent Limited mobile home offering 847 square feet of living space with two bedrooms , two bathrooms and a wood burning fireplace . Also included is a large storage shed that could be used as a garage . Enjoy peaceful waterfront views with plenty of space for outdoor activities , fishing , swimming or relaxing by the lake . Ideal for a weekend retreat , investment opportunity or affordable full-time residence .

Key facts

  • Lakefront property
  • Waterfront views
  • Lake frontage

Tags

LAKEFRONT PROPERTYLAKE FRONTAGEWOOD BURNING FIREPLACELARGE STORAGE SHEDWATERFRONT VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.69 acres
  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single wide mobile home; Residential use
  • Exterior features: Lakefront property; Accessible approach with ramp

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas cooktop
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1 total)
  • Laundry & utility: Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity connected

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($703/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (16.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.1% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robert H. Jenkins Jr Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 904 students, 64% FRL); Putnam Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #291 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 177 students, 75% FRL, charter); Interlachen Jr-Sr High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,097 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 760 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,990 (16.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.93%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,770
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Church Lake Dr 0.00mi 2/2.0 847 (+1%) 1mo $120,000 $142 98
1111 Junior Lake Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 840 (0%) 14mo $174,900 $208 63
125 Ofarrell Ave 0.31mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 14mo $114,000 $123 57
104 Cindy Ave 0.43mi 2/2.0 924 (+10%) 11mo $125,000 $135 54
116 Guy Ave 0.18mi 2/1.5 728 (-13%) 19mo $126,500 $174 52
122 Arden Ave 0.42mi 3/3.0 (+1) 720 (-14%) 6mo $120,000 $167 42
1121 Junior Lake Dr 0.61mi 2/2.0 960 (+14%) 22mo $149,000 $155 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-17,375
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,496
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32148

Home prices YoY
-5.8%
Active inventory
760
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $798/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,016
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $132 -5% $95 +0% $59 +5% $22 +10% $-15
Rent -10% $-27 -5% $16 +0% $59 +5% $102 +10% $145
Rate -1.0pp $124 -0.5pp $92 base $59 +0.5pp $25 +1.0pp $-9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
112 Cindy Ave Interlachen, FL 2.0 2.0 784 $1,000 $1.28 23d 1 0.51mi
123 Hayman Dr Interlachen, FL 2.0 1.0 598 $1,250 $2.09 25d 1 0.96mi
125 Hayman Dr Interlachen, FL 2.0 1.0 642 $1,250 $1.95 25d 1 0.97mi
707 Dawn Ave Interlachen, FL 2.0 1.0 676 $975 $1.44 23d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $130,000 Active
  3. 2005-08-18
    soldstatus $65,000
  4. 1995-06-30
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$798 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,079 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$281/yr (+$23/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,079
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$798
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,046
− Management
−$1,046
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$366
After-tax cash flow
$1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam
NCES district ID
1201620
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,350
Composite
29.99/100
National rank
#6361
State rank
#66 of 73 in FL

Livability — Interlachen

Score
67/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#10162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
11,580
Population (ZIP)
11,580

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,299 people
By 2030
61,255 · -6.2%
By 2040
52,930 · -18.9%
By 2050
45,051 · -31.0%
By 2075
28,720 · -56.0%
By 2100
15,852 · -75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.98%
Current HPI
277.2763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+261.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $130,000 realMLS
  • 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1995-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $798 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…