🌊 Lakefront
121 Church Lake Dr · Interlachen, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lakefront property on Church Lake featuring approximately 77 feet of lake frontage . The property includes a 1985 Crescent Limited mobile home offering 847 square feet of living space with two bedrooms , two bathrooms and a wood burning fireplace . Also included is a large storage shed that could be used as a garage . Enjoy peaceful waterfront views with plenty of space for outdoor activities , fishing , swimming or relaxing by the lake . Ideal for a weekend retreat , investment opportunity or affordable full-time residence .
Key facts
- Lakefront property
- Waterfront views
- Lake frontage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.69 acres
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single wide mobile home; Residential use
- Exterior features: Lakefront property; Accessible approach with ramp
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1 total)
- Laundry & utility: Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity connected
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($703/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (16.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.1% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Robert H. Jenkins Jr Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 904 students, 64% FRL); Putnam Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #291 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 177 students, 75% FRL, charter); Interlachen Jr-Sr High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,097 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 760 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.93%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,770
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Church Lake Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 847 (+1%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $142 | 98 |
| 1111 Junior Lake Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (0%) | 14mo | $174,900 | $208 | 63 |
| 125 Ofarrell Ave | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 14mo | $114,000 | $123 | 57 |
| 104 Cindy Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $135 | 54 |
| 116 Guy Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 | 728 (-13%) | 19mo | $126,500 | $174 | 52 |
| 122 Arden Ave | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 720 (-14%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $167 | 42 |
| 1121 Junior Lake Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 22mo | $149,000 | $155 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-17,375
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-10,496
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32148
- Home prices YoY
- -5.8%
- Active inventory
- 760
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $798/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $95 | +0% $59 | +5% $22 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-27 | -5% $16 | +0% $59 | +5% $102 | +10% $145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $124 | -0.5pp $92 | base $59 | +0.5pp $25 | +1.0pp $-9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Cindy Ave Interlachen, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 784 | $1,000 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 123 Hayman Dr Interlachen, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $1,250 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 125 Hayman Dr Interlachen, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,250 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 707 Dawn Ave Interlachen, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $975 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-27$130,000 Active
-
2005-08-18soldstatus $65,000
-
1995-06-30soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $798 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,079 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$281/yr (+$23/mo · 35.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$798
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,526
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$366
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam
- NCES district ID
- 1201620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,350
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6361
- State rank
- #66 of 73 in FL
Livability — Interlachen
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #10162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,580
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,580
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,299 people
- By 2030
- 61,255 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 52,930 · -18.9%
- By 2050
- 45,051 · -31.0%
- By 2075
- 28,720 · -56.0%
- By 2100
- 15,852 · -75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.98%
- Current HPI
- 277.2763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+261.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $130,000 realMLS
- 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $798 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…