627 Wesbrook St · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$122,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity on this style home near downtown Pontiac. Home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in a practical single-story layout. The property provides straightforward residential living in Pontiac with a functional floor plan suited to first-time buyers and those seeking an efficient home.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1942
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage that faces the side (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level, ground-level entry; Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Block foundation; Built with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Paved road frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Unfinished basement with sump pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.23%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,296
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 635 E Tennyson Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,460 (-3%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $92 | 78 |
| 576 Markle Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,633 (+8%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $95 | 78 |
| 595 E Tennyson Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,552 (+3%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $116 | 76 |
| 715 E Tennyson Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,364 (-10%) | 1mo | $188,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 755 Scottwood St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,450 (-4%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $100 | 62 |
| 852 Melrose St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,569 (+4%) | 1mo | $214,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 731 1st Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,604 (+6%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $109 | 57 |
| 720 E Columbia Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (+4%) | 6mo | $111,500 | $71 | 51 |
| 790 Parkwood Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,305 (-14%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $96 | 49 |
| 683 Clara Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,386 (-8%) | 8mo | $138,660 | $100 | 49 |
| 630 Peacock Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,411 (-7%) | 2mo | $171,500 | $122 | 47 |
| 335 1st Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,713 (+13%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $108 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,179
- Equity at exit
- $18,191
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $39,975
- Equity at exit
- $10,548
Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48340
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,453 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$640
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,647/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $389 | -5% $354 | +0% $320 | +5% $285 | +10% $251 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $205 | -5% $262 | +0% $320 | +5% $377 | +10% $434 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $351 | base $320 | +0.5pp $288 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,500
- Closing costs
- $3,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,590 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 90 Marquette St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1886 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 863 Amanda Ln Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 505 Old Oak Ct Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,299 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $122,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $122,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $122,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $122,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $122,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $122,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 295-char remark
-
2026-06-07$122,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,647 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,763 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,432
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,834
- − Property taxes
- −$1,647
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,395
- − Management
- −$1,395
- − Depreciation
- −$3,549
- Taxable income
- $2,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,356/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,669
- Household income
- $47,891
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1460.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.80%
- Current HPI
- 177.961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+182.4% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $122,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $122,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-03 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-03 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-28 Listed $139,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-28 Listed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-09 Sold (MLS) $118,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-09 Sold (MLS) $118,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-06-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-06-06 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-06 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2021-06-02 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-01 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-05-27 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-05-27 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
- 2017-06-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-06-23 Sold (MLS) $74,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-06-23 Sold (MLS) $74,500 REALCOMP
- 2017-05-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-05-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-04-28 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-04-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-04-28 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2017-04-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-04-13 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-04-13 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2017-03-05 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-03-05 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $102,400 Public Records
- 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $102,400 REALCOMP
- 2005-04-11 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
- 2000-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 1990-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $43,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,647 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…