CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
627 Wesbrook St
B- Composite 67.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,000

627 Wesbrook St · Pontiac, MI 48340
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1942 5,227 sqft lot Est $163k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity on this style home near downtown Pontiac. Home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom in a practical single-story layout. The property provides straightforward residential living in Pontiac with a functional floor plan suited to first-time buyers and those seeking an efficient home.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1942

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage that faces the side (2 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level, ground-level entry; Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Paved road frontage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Unfinished basement with sump pump

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $122,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.23%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,296
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
635 E Tennyson Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,460 (-3%) 0mo $135,000 $92 78
576 Markle Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,633 (+8%) 1mo $155,000 $95 78
595 E Tennyson Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,552 (+3%) 4mo $180,000 $116 76
715 E Tennyson Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,364 (-10%) 1mo $188,000 $138 69
755 Scottwood St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,450 (-4%) 6mo $145,000 $100 62
852 Melrose St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,569 (+4%) 1mo $214,000 $136 57
731 1st Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,604 (+6%) 7mo $175,000 $109 57
720 E Columbia Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,565 (+4%) 6mo $111,500 $71 51
790 Parkwood Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,305 (-14%) 6mo $125,000 $96 49
683 Clara Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,386 (-8%) 8mo $138,660 $100 49
630 Peacock Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,411 (-7%) 2mo $171,500 $122 47
335 1st Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,713 (+13%) 7mo $185,000 $108 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,179
Equity at exit
$18,191
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$39,975
Equity at exit
$10,548

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48340

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,453 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,647/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,048
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $389 -5% $354 +0% $320 +5% $285 +10% $251
Rent -10% $205 -5% $262 +0% $320 +5% $377 +10% $434
Rate -1.0pp $381 -0.5pp $351 base $320 +0.5pp $288 +1.0pp $256

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1478 $1,590 $1.08 44d 1 0.66mi
188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 25d 1 0.72mi
90 Marquette St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1886 $1,800 $0.95 44d 1 0.82mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 25d 1 1.05mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1118 $1,150 $1.03 44d 1 1.05mi
863 Amanda Ln Pontiac, MI 3.0 2.0 1434 $1,800 $1.26 21d 1 1.09mi
49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,575 $1.31 25d 1 1.27mi
505 Old Oak Ct Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,299 $1.18 44d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $122,000 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 295-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $122,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,647 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,763 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$116/yr (+$10/mo · 7.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,432
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$1,647
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,395
− Management
−$1,395
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable income
$2,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$481
After-tax cash flow
$3,356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,669
Household income
$47,891
Rent vs Own
54.3% rent · 45.7% own
Severe rent burden
1460.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -295.80%
Current HPI
177.961
Rent YoY
▲ 4.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.4% since first listed
41 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $122,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $122,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-28 Listed $139,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-28 Listed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-09 Sold (MLS) $118,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-09 Sold (MLS) $118,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-06 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-06 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-02 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-01 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-27 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-27 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
  • 2017-06-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-06-23 Sold (MLS) $74,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-06-23 Sold (MLS) $74,500 REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-04-28 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-04-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-04-28 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2017-04-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-04-13 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-04-13 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2017-03-05 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-03-05 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $102,400 Public Records
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $102,400 REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-11 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
  • 2000-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 1990-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $43,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,647 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…