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6 Edgebrook St
B+ Composite 75.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

6 Edgebrook St · Centralia, IL 62801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1976 0.29 ac lot Est $154k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers great bones and plenty of potential for its next owner. Situated on a generous corner lot with a fully fenced backyard, this property provides a solid foundation for updates and personalization. Recent improvements include a new roof installed in 2019, updated laminate flooring in several areas, and newer kitchen appliances, including a stove and dishwasher. The home features a one-car attached garage and is equipped with a Ruud furnace and central air system. With its functional layout, spacious yard, and key updates already completed, this property presents an excellent opportunity for homeowners or investors looking to add value and make it their own.

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Corner lot
  • New roof

Tags

CORNER LOTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDNEW ROOFUPDATED LAMINATE FLOORINGNEWER KITCHEN APPLIANCESATTACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fees (not required)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet in most bedrooms; Laminate in living and dining areas; Linoleum in laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.8% in Centralia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#481 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Centralia Hsd 200 (town): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #668 of 919 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Centralia High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 863 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.93%
Cash-on-cash
23.71%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,432
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Edgebrook 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,120 (-8%) 6mo $125,000 $112 75
28 N Edgebrook Ln 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-6%) 12mo $145,000 $127 70
24 Edgebrook Ln 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,144 (-6%) 19mo $102,500 $90 67
1440 Woods Ln 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-10%) 18mo $57,000 $52 43
503 Airport Rd 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (-13%) 3mo $168,000 $159 41
809 Chipwood Ln 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-7%) 22mo $160,000 $142 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$15,245
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$49,658
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62801

Home prices YoY
-13.9%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $705
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $80,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    remarks 697-char remark
  3. 2026-06-03
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,248 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$284/yr (+$24/mo · 22.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,181
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,248
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,215
− Management
−$1,215
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,031
After-tax cash flow
$4,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Centralia Hsd 200
NCES district ID
1709300
Math proficiency
21% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,555
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#13470
State rank
#668 of 919 in IL

Livability — Centralia

Score
68/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#9987

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
19,941
Population (ZIP)
19,941

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,071 people
By 2030
34,598 · -4.1%
By 2040
31,754 · -12.0%
By 2050
28,912 · -19.8%
By 2075
22,527 · -37.5%
By 2100
16,455 · -54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.5) · D 24.6% · R 74.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -49.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.5 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+44.9 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.12%
Current HPI
211.3835
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,248 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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