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1531 Minnie Vada Ln
D- Composite 35.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0

$300,000

1531 Minnie Vada Ln · Stedman, NC 28391
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,920 sqft · Manufactured public records · 29 Days on market
Built 2017 3.11 ac lot Est $284k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Farmhouse kitchen
  • Large closets
  • 3.11 acre lot

Tags

FULLY FENCED PROPERTYMULTIPLE SHEDS FOR LIVESTOCKLARGE GARAGE WORKSHOPFARMHOUSE KITCHENLARGE CLOSETSSPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (26.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (39.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (39.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#107 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stedman Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,783 (39.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.33%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
13.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$284,160
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1531 Minnie Vada Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,920 (0%) 0mo $285,000 $148 96

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$135,069
Equity at exit
$270,264
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
6.00×
Total profit
$419,758
Equity at exit
$582,834

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28391

Home prices YoY
16.1%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
13.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,808 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,077/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$-443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,369
Max offer price $221,723
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-11
    listed $300,000 Active
  3. 2023-01-26
    soldstatus $275,000 Closed 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

  4. 2023-01-26
    soldstatus $275,000
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

  5. 2022-12-27
    status Pending 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

  6. 2022-12-03
    price $275,000
  7. 2022-12-01
    status Active 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

  8. 2022-12-01
    price $275,000 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

  9. 2022-10-22
    historical 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

  10. 2022-10-21
    listed $265,000 872-char remark
    Show marketing remark (872 chars)

    Get ready to be amazed! This 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home has been beautifully decorated AND has so many extra features. A large deep stainless steel sink in the kitchen island is a definite upgrade. Cabinets have great storage and organizational features to include a tiered cabinet for spices or anything else you need to see more clearly. The kitchen boasts a large pantry and granite countertops. The bedrooms are all good sized rooms and larger than normal closets. The 3.11 acre lot has a 1250 square foot building for workshop or garage that has high speed internet, sink and an air condition window unit to help with those really hot days. The owner upgraded the Spectrum internet service to have it run to the house and the out building. The foundation piers are also upgrades and should meet any lender requirements for manufactured homes. Schedule a showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,077 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,460 · $205/mo
Expected delta
+$383/yr (+$32/mo · 18.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,694
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$2,077
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,736
− Management
−$1,736
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$10,886
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,613
After-tax cash flow
$-2,705/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Stedman

Score
71/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#6799

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,956

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.06%
Current HPI
331.7099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $300,000 LPRMLS
  • 2023-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-26 Sold (MLS) $275,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-12-27 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2022-12-03 Price Changed $275,000 TMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Price Changed $275,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-10-22 Delisted LPRMLS
  • 2022-10-21 Listed $265,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+30.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,077 · +32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…