19201 Collins Ave · Sunny Isles Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PERFECT INVESTMENT IN SUNNY ISLES BEACH, FL Condo-hotel unit not currently in the hotel program. • Flexible rental options: rent daily, weekly, monthly, or up to 6 months & renew. Manage the property yourself or enroll it in the hotel program. Ideal for investors seeking strong income potential in the heart of Sunny Isles Beach. Enjoy resort-style hotel living just steps from the sand in this bright and spacious unit featuring an open layout, generous closet space, and a comfortable living area. Residents enjoy direct beach access, oceanfront pool, fitness center, valet parking, lobby security, on-site restaurant, and hotel-style amenities.
Key facts
- $1,273 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area listed as 410 (source: other)
- Financial info: Not a land lease property; Pets not allowed (per multi-family info)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with many amenities including fitness center, pool, playground, bar, cafe/restaurant, business center, bike storage, and maintenance; HOA fee paid monthly; includes electricity, HVAC maintenance, maintenance of structure and common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 covered parking space (total 1 parking space), on-street parking and valet available
- Security: Key card entry; Fire alarm; Smoke detector(s); Attended lobby
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Condominium; Updated/remodeled condition; 11-story building; Entry level 1; Faces north
- Construction: Built with other construction materials; Other roof type
- Exterior features: First-floor entry; Ocean access waterfront; Private above-ground pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms not specified
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Furnished; Accessible approach with ramp; Fire alarm, smoke detectors, key card entry, and attended lobby
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-209/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (1.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 64% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,345/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $732 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 27 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 5460% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $139k implies a 718% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 38% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.62%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,395
- Equity at exit
- $44,062
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,912
- Equity at exit
- $56,016
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1870
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,273
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$703
- Net cashflow
- $-17
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,273 · $15,276/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $139,000
-
2026-03-28historical $2,500
-
2026-03-25$2,500
-
2025-09-16historical $3,000
-
2025-09-16$3,000
-
2025-09-12historical $1,600
-
2025-09-04historical $1,600
-
2025-08-23$1,600
-
2025-08-15$1,700
-
2025-08-15historical $1,700
-
2025-08-07historical $1,700
-
2025-07-31historical
-
2025-07-30price $148,000
-
2025-07-30$1,700
-
2025-07-30$2,000
-
2025-06-27historical $1,700
-
2025-06-19$1,700
-
2025-06-15$155,000 Active
-
2025-04-17$134,000 Active
-
2025-01-17historical $2,500
-
2024-11-07historical $2,500
-
2024-11-04$2,500
-
2024-10-30historical $2,500
-
2024-10-28$2,500
-
2024-10-26historical $2,500
-
2024-10-24$2,500
-
2024-07-28historical $800
-
2024-07-26$800
-
2024-07-23$2,600
-
2024-06-29historical $5,400
-
2024-06-27$5,400
-
2024-01-22historical
-
2024-01-12$175,000 Active
-
2023-06-03historical
-
2022-11-29historical
-
2022-06-13historical
-
2022-06-13$3,300 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,143
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$5,814
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,211
- − Management
- −$3,211
- − HOA
- −$15,276
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable loss
- −$1,284
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$308
- After-tax cash flow
- $99/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sunny Isles Beach
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-83.6% since first listed57 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $139,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-28 Rental Removed $2,500 RENTALBEAST
- 2026-03-25 Listed for Rent $2,500 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-09-16 Rental Removed $3,000 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-09-16 Listed for Rent $3,000 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-09-12 Rental Removed $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-09-04 Rental Removed $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-08-23 Listed for Rent $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-08-15 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2025-08-15 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2025-08-07 Rental Removed $1,700 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $148,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-30 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2025-07-30 Listed for Rent $2,000 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-06-27 Rental Removed $1,700 REALLYO
- 2025-06-19 Listed for Rent $1,700 REALLYO
- 2025-06-15 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-17 Listed $134,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-01-17 Rental Removed $2,500 MARMLS
- 2024-11-07 Rental Removed $2,500 REALLYO
- 2024-11-04 Listed for Rent $2,500 REALLYO
- 2024-10-30 Rental Removed $2,500 REALLYO
- 2024-10-28 Listed for Rent $2,500 REALLYO
- 2024-10-26 Rental Removed $2,500 REALLYO
- 2024-10-24 Listed for Rent $2,500 REALLYO
- 2024-07-28 Rental Removed $800 REALLYO
- 2024-07-26 Listed for Rent $800 REALLYO
- 2024-07-23 Listed for Rent $2,600 MARMLS
- 2024-06-29 Rental Removed $5,400 RENTLY
- 2024-06-27 Listed for Rent $5,400 RENTLY
- 2024-01-22 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-01-12 Listed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2023-06-03 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2022-11-29 Rental Removed — RMLSFL
- 2022-06-13 Listed $3,300 MARMLS
- 2022-06-13 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-05-15 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-01-07 Listed $460,000 MARMLS
- 2021-12-17 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2021-12-17 Listed $237,777 MARMLS
- 2021-12-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-12-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-02-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-02-28 Listed $115 MARMLS
- 2019-11-22 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MARMLS
- 2019-08-21 Listed $19,999 MARMLS
- 2018-01-24 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-12-26 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-12-18 Listed $149,999 MARMLS
- 2017-11-08 Listed $112,000 MARMLS
- 2017-10-18 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-08-25 Listed $86,000 MARMLS
- 2017-03-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-01-14 Listed $1,200 MARMLS
- 2013-10-10 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2013-01-10 Listed $849,900 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…