1464 Laconia St · Sebastian, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Water heater
- New drainfield
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage (covered parking for two)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water and well available; Three-phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; East-facing
- Construction: CBS construction; Built as resale
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 80 ft x 125 ft; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Cathedral and vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-757/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (3.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.4% in Sebastian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pelican Island Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 343 students, 70% FRL); Sebastian River Middle School (math 46% / reading 44%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 862 students, 65% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $300k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.90%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $273,288
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1451 Laconia St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,187 (+2%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $232 | 79 |
| 772 Breakwater Ter | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-9%) | 8mo | $242,000 | $229 | 74 |
| 1566 Picasso St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,106 (-4%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $267 | 71 |
| 973 Starflower Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,146 (-1%) | 4mo | $269,000 | $235 | 71 |
| 649 Benedictine Ter | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-6%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $192 | 62 |
| 686 Bayharbor Ter | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 9mo | $289,900 | $264 | 60 |
| 561 Carnival Ter | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (+11%) | 6mo | $327,500 | $255 | 54 |
| 950 Starflower Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+14%) | 9mo | $312,000 | $236 | 52 |
| 1566 Damask Ln | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 11mo | $237,900 | $216 | 44 |
| 1574 Damask Ln | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 10mo | $289,000 | $263 | 43 |
| 555 Benedictine Ter | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+14%) | 8mo | $312,000 | $237 | 40 |
| 1141 Persian Ln | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,292 (+12%) | 12mo | $304,000 | $235 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-44,824
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-10,028
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32958
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 411
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,347 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $-63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $22 | +0% $-63 | +5% $-148 | +10% $-233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-249 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-63 | +5% $30 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $88 | -0.5pp $13 | base $-63 | +0.5pp $-141 | +1.0pp $-220 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742 Capon Ter Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 722 Carnival Ter Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1565 Glentry Ln Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $2,500 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1198 Breezy Way Unit 7A Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,900 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1110 Barber St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,200 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1421 Thornhill Ln Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,800 | $2.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 426 Tulip Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,100 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 117 Acorn Ter Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $299,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $285,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $290,000
-
2026-05-09price $296,999
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2026-04-20price $297,000
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2026-03-31price $297,500
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2026-03-06price $299,999
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2026-02-05price $304,999
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2025-12-17price $305,000
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2025-11-14price $309,999
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2025-11-04price $317,500
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2025-10-21price $325,000
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2025-10-07$333,000 Active
-
2019-12-27soldstatus $175,000
-
2018-06-26soldstatus $170,000
-
2018-06-22soldstatus $170,000 Sold 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-05-29historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-05-29historical Contingent 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-05-21price $174,900 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-05-21price $174,900
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-05-01price $179,900
-
2018-04-30price $179,900 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-04-11price $184,900
-
2018-04-10price $184,900 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-04-03$189,900 Active 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-04-03$174,900
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
Priced to sell. This 3BD/2BA/2 Car garage CBS home has a New Roof 2018, A/C 2016, Drain field 2014, HWH 2013, Ceiling fans in all rooms. Storm panels for all windows, large screen patio for relaxing outdoor living, on county water but also has a well for irrigation. Close to shopping, beaches and river. Sizes are approx. /subj. to error.
-
2018-04-02$189,900 Active
-
2002-11-07soldstatus $91,000
-
1996-11-26soldstatus $21,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,639 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,639 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$2,639
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,254
- − Management
- −$2,254
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$5,999
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,440
- After-tax cash flow
- $683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebastian
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #1421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sebastian, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 30,023
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,023
- Household income
- $66,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 646.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.85%
- Current HPI
- 330.1691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.22%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1267.9% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $290,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $296,999 Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $297,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $297,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $299,999 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $304,999 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $305,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $309,999 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $317,500 Beaches MLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $325,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $333,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-22 Sold (MLS) $170,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2018-05-29 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2018-05-29 Contingent — RAIRCMLS
- 2018-05-21 Price Changed $174,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2018-05-21 Price Changed $174,900 Beaches MLS
- 2018-05-01 Price Changed $179,900 Beaches MLS
- 2018-04-30 Price Changed $179,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2018-04-11 Price Changed $184,900 Beaches MLS
- 2018-04-10 Price Changed $184,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2018-04-03 Listed $189,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2018-04-03 Listed $174,900 SCMLS
- 2018-04-02 Listed $189,900 Beaches MLS
- 2002-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 1996-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $21,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,639 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…