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338 Kensington Rd
C+ Composite 61.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

338 Kensington Rd · Lansing, MI 48910
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1945 6,970 sqft lot Est $210k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully updated Cape Cod located on a quiet tree lined street in Lansing featuring fantastic curb appeal with vinyl siding, a welcoming covered front porch, and an attached 2 car garage. This charming home sits on a spacious corner lot with mature trees and offers an abundance of natural light throughout. Inside, you'll find warm hardwood floors, spacious living and dining areas, and a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The updated kitchen features modern cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, updated countertops, and ample storage including a large pantry. A bright and inviting sunporch adds additional living space filled with natural light. The spacious upper level primary bedroom features hardwood flooring, multiple closets including a walk in closet, and a skylight installed in 2022. The partially finished lower level family room offers a second fireplace, built in shelving, and excellent storage space. Additional updates include renovated bathrooms, updated flooring, repaired front porch roof, new front door, newer fence, and garage improvements. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates. BATVAI!

Key facts

  • Sunporch
  • Built in shelving
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENSUNPORCHMULTIPLE CLOSETSSKYLIGHTPARTIALLY FINISHED LOWER LEVELBUILT IN SHELVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Lot approximately 55 x 125.4 (0.16 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.19%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$209,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 E Greenlawn Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,670 (-2%) 7mo $178,000 $107 73
2418 Forest Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,556 (-9%) 3mo $145,000 $93 66
2107 Teel Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (-5%) 6mo $210,000 $129 62
1917 Teel Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,598 (-6%) 3mo $162,000 $101 61
3115 Palmer St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,584 (-7%) 3mo $160,000 $101 61
528 Riley St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,596 (-6%) 1mo $198,000 $124 57
2118 Roberts Ln 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,639 (-4%) 3mo $150,000 $92 54
408 Smith Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,564 (-8%) 7mo $190,000 $121 54
114 W Berry Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,540 (-10%) 2mo $190,000 $123 52
619 W Barnes Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,607 (-6%) 7mo $205,000 $128 51
535 Riley St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,530 (-10%) 5mo $189,500 $124 46
1208 Gordon Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,451 (-15%) 0mo $179,900 $124 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-8,019
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$25,503
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48910

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,784 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$274 /mo · $3,282/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,492
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2528 Forest Ave Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1175 $1,699 $1.45 43d 1 0.24mi
605 S Grand Ave Unit 2 Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1244 chars)

    Beautifully updated Cape Cod located on a quiet tree lined street in Lansing featuring fantastic curb appeal with vinyl siding, a welcoming covered front porch, and an attached 2 car garage. This charming home sits on a spacious corner lot with mature trees and offers an abundance of natural light throughout. Inside, you'll find warm hardwood floors, spacious living and dining areas, and a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The updated kitchen features modern cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, updated countertops, and ample storage including a large pantry. A bright and inviting sunporch adds additional living space filled with natural light. The spacious upper level primary bedroom features hardwood flooring, multiple closets including a walk in closet, and a skylight installed in 2022. The partially finished lower level family room offers a second fireplace, built in shelving, and excellent storage space. Additional updates include renovated bathrooms, updated flooring, repaired front porch roof, new front door, newer fence, and garage improvements. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates. BATVAI!

  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $159,900 Active 1244-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1244 chars)

    Beautifully updated Cape Cod located on a quiet tree lined street in Lansing featuring fantastic curb appeal with vinyl siding, a welcoming covered front porch, and an attached 2 car garage. This charming home sits on a spacious corner lot with mature trees and offers an abundance of natural light throughout. Inside, you'll find warm hardwood floors, spacious living and dining areas, and a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The updated kitchen features modern cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, updated countertops, and ample storage including a large pantry. A bright and inviting sunporch adds additional living space filled with natural light. The spacious upper level primary bedroom features hardwood flooring, multiple closets including a walk in closet, and a skylight installed in 2022. The partially finished lower level family room offers a second fireplace, built in shelving, and excellent storage space. Additional updates include renovated bathrooms, updated flooring, repaired front porch roof, new front door, newer fence, and garage improvements. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major highways, this home offers the perfect blend of classic character and modern updates. BATVAI!

  3. 2006-08-24
    soldstatus $118,000
  4. 2006-08-10
    soldstatus $118,000 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    VINYL CAPE COD ON A QUIET TREE LINED STREET. LIVING ROOM WITH A GAS FIREPLACE. BIG KITCHEN. MASTER BEDROOM WITH HARDWOOD FLOOR & SKYLIGHT. FINISHED LL FAMILY RM WITH FP, 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE.

  5. 2006-06-23
    listed $124,500 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    VINYL CAPE COD ON A QUIET TREE LINED STREET. LIVING ROOM WITH A GAS FIREPLACE. BIG KITCHEN. MASTER BEDROOM WITH HARDWOOD FLOOR & SKYLIGHT. FINISHED LL FAMILY RM WITH FP, 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE.

  6. 2006-06-21
    historical
  7. 2006-02-22
    listed $128,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,282 · $274/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,282 · $274/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,410
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$3,282
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,713
− Management
−$1,713
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$70
After-tax cash flow
$2,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,800
Household income
$54,712
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.82%
Current HPI
196.8087
Rent YoY
▲ 4.71%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+24.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-10 Sold (MLS) $118,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-23 Listed $124,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-02-22 Listed $128,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,282 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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