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1416 Southwest Rd
B- Composite 68.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

1416 Southwest Rd · Sanford, FL 32771
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,168 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1935 4,778 sqft lot ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Great investment property. Solid split plan 2/2. Would not take much to get it in good order. Would make a wonderful rental. Please refer to realtor only remarks prior to submitting an offer.

Key facts

  • 4,778 sq ft lot
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Property faces east
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.11-acre lot (approx. 69 x 68)
  • Exterior features: Dog run; Private mailbox; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Solid wood cabinets; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 561 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $130k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,951 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.88%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$266,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1416 Southwest Rd 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,168 (0%) 1mo $125,000 $107 100
1502 W 16th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (-1%) 0mo $265,000 $228 79
136 Academy Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-1%) 0mo $230,000 $200 76
135 Bob Thomas Cir 0.34mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,240 (+6%) 1mo $266,000 $215 66
1712 W 15th St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,014 (-13%) 1mo $181,900 $179 64
1201 W 20th St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-1%) 2mo $259,000 $225 59
2207 Mccarthy Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,107 (-5%) 1mo $270,000 $244 58
101 Country Club Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,028 (-12%) 1mo $292,000 $284 49
2005 Hartwell Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,057 (-10%) 0mo $294,900 $279 47
107 Academy Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,021 (-13%) 2mo $235,000 $230 45
3032 Truman Blvd 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,268 (+9%) 1mo $237,500 $187 45
115 Hays Dr 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,038 (-11%) 3mo $296,000 $285 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,309
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$22,889
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32771

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
561
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,707 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1935 W 14th St Sanford, FL 3.0 1.5 1112 $1,900 $1.71 3d 1 0.05mi
1908 W 16th St Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 20d 1 0.11mi
1320 S Oleander Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 0.30mi
1515 S Oleander Ave Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.34mi
106 Garrison Dr Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,895 $1.75 5d 1 0.59mi
107 Garrison Dr Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,800 $1.25 18d 1 0.61mi
2735 Bungalow Blvd Sanford, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 5d 1 0.75mi
2015 Jones Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 1.5 1291 $1,895 $1.47 13d 1 0.75mi
1001 W 8th St Unit 1 Sanford, FL 3.0 1.0 1075 $2,250 $2.09 22d 1 0.79mi
2008 William Clark Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1328 $2,199 $1.66 3d 1 0.81mi
2450 Hartwell Ave Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 784 $1,400 $1.79 24d 1 0.87mi
2450 Hartwell Ave Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 784 $1,400 $1.79 13d 1 0.87mi
2450 Hartwell Ave Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 784 $1,400 $1.79 18d 1 0.87mi
153 Cape Honeysuckle Pl Sanford, FL 3.0 2.5 1380 $2,395 $1.74 24d 1 0.90mi
2405 Chase Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,095 $1.75 15d 1 0.92mi
2406 S Lake Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 15d 1 0.95mi
1505 W 25th St Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,753 $1.52 13d 1 0.96mi
1013 W 3rd St Unit B Sanford, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,195 $1.49 15d 1 0.98mi
2511 Ridgewood Ave Sanford, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,395 $1.40 24d 1 0.99mi
2441 Marshall Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1462 $2,235 $1.53 5d 1 1.01mi
2420 S Lake Ave Sanford, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 15d 1 1.01mi
2420 S Lake Ave Unit B Sanford, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 18d 1 1.01mi
2437 Chase Ave Unit A Sanford, FL 2.0 1.0 875 $1,199 $1.37 24d 1 1.06mi
2995 Railside Loop Sanford, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 961 $1,926 $2.00 5d 21 1.07mi
2539 Ridgewood Ave Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 816 $1,095 $1.34 20d 1 1.08mi
100 Windchase Blvd Sanford, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 957 $1,459 $1.52 3d 1 1.09mi
1704 Ridgewood Ln Sanford, FL 2.0 1.0 837 $1,350 $1.61 24d 1 1.13mi
365 Placid Lake Dr Unit Lo Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1158 $1,900 $1.64 18d 1 1.14mi
832 W 25th St Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 1134 $1,500 $1.32 20d 1 1.15mi
832 W 25th St Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 1134 $1,475 $1.30 3d 1 1.15mi
828 W 25th St Sanford, FL 2.0 1.5 1134 $1,350 $1.19 16d 1 1.16mi
828 W 25th St Sanford, FL 2.0 1.5 1134 $1,350 $1.19 24d 1 1.16mi
816 W 25th St Sanford, FL 2.0 1.5 1134 $1,299 $1.15 3d 1 1.17mi
2530 Georgia Ave Unit B Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 24d 1 1.24mi
331 Placid Lake Dr Sanford, FL 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,960 $1.52 20d 1 1.24mi
1512 S Pine Ridge Cir Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,550 $1.51 24d 1 1.26mi
1324 S Pine Ridge Cir Unit D2 Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,690 $1.65 24d 1 1.26mi
800 Marbella Ln Sanford, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 737 $2,053 $2.78 2d 17 1.26mi
1132 S Pine Ridge Cir Unit 108 Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,370 $1.71 24d 1 1.29mi
1134 S Pine Ridge Cir Unit 1134 Sanford, FL 2.0 2.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 24d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-16
    soldstatus $72,000
  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,485
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,639
− Management
−$1,639
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$3,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$853
After-tax cash flow
$4,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seminole
NCES district ID
1201710
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,478
Composite
51.05/100
National rank
#1769
State rank
#13 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sanford

Score
73/100
State rank
#316
US rank
#5359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sanford, FL
County
Seminole County · 436,154 people
City population
96,638
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
62,606
Household income
$77,868
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
2645.0

Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
515,494 people
By 2030
545,713 · +5.9%
By 2040
598,068 · +16.0%
By 2050
640,663 · +24.3%
By 2075
724,461 · +40.5%
By 2100
755,530 · +46.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Seminole

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -281.27%
Current HPI
299.2738
Rent YoY
▲ 0.38%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-44.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $95 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…