1416 Southwest Rd · Sanford, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Great investment property. Solid split plan 2/2. Would not take much to get it in good order. Would make a wonderful rental. Please refer to realtor only remarks prior to submitting an offer.
Key facts
- 4,778 sq ft lot
- Built 1935
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Property faces east
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.11-acre lot (approx. 69 x 68)
- Exterior features: Dog run; Private mailbox; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Solid wood cabinets; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 561 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $130k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.88%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $266,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1416 Southwest Rd | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,168 (0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $107 | 100 |
| 1502 W 16th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-1%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $228 | 79 |
| 136 Academy Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-1%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $200 | 76 |
| 135 Bob Thomas Cir | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (+6%) | 1mo | $266,000 | $215 | 66 |
| 1712 W 15th St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,014 (-13%) | 1mo | $181,900 | $179 | 64 |
| 1201 W 20th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-1%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $225 | 59 |
| 2207 Mccarthy Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,107 (-5%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $244 | 58 |
| 101 Country Club Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,028 (-12%) | 1mo | $292,000 | $284 | 49 |
| 2005 Hartwell Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,057 (-10%) | 0mo | $294,900 | $279 | 47 |
| 107 Academy Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,021 (-13%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $230 | 45 |
| 3032 Truman Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+9%) | 1mo | $237,500 | $187 | 45 |
| 115 Hays Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,038 (-11%) | 3mo | $296,000 | $285 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,309
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $22,889
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32771
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 561
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1935 W 14th St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1908 W 16th St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1320 S Oleander Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1515 S Oleander Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 106 Garrison Dr Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,895 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 107 Garrison Dr Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2735 Bungalow Blvd Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2015 Jones Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1291 | $1,895 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1001 W 8th St Unit 1 Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $2,250 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2008 William Clark Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,199 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2450 Hartwell Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 784 | $1,400 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2450 Hartwell Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 784 | $1,400 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2450 Hartwell Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 784 | $1,400 | $1.79 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 153 Cape Honeysuckle Pl Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $2,395 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2405 Chase Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,095 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2406 S Lake Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1505 W 25th St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,753 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1013 W 3rd St Unit B Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2511 Ridgewood Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2441 Marshall Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,235 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2420 S Lake Ave Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,545 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2420 S Lake Ave Unit B Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,545 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2437 Chase Ave Unit A Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,199 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2995 Railside Loop Sanford, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $1,926 | $2.00 | 5d | 21 | 1.07mi |
| 2539 Ridgewood Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,095 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 100 Windchase Blvd Sanford, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,459 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1704 Ridgewood Ln Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,350 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 365 Placid Lake Dr Unit Lo Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,900 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 832 W 25th St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 832 W 25th St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,475 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 828 W 25th St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 828 W 25th St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 816 W 25th St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,299 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2530 Georgia Ave Unit B Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 331 Placid Lake Dr Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,960 | $1.52 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1512 S Pine Ridge Cir Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,550 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1324 S Pine Ridge Cir Unit D2 Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,690 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 800 Marbella Ln Sanford, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 737 | $2,053 | $2.78 | 2d | 17 | 1.26mi |
| 1132 S Pine Ridge Cir Unit 108 Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,370 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1134 S Pine Ridge Cir Unit 1134 Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-20status Active
-
2026-04-16soldstatus $72,000
-
2026-04-10$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,639
- − Management
- −$1,639
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $3,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$853
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sanford
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #5359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanford, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 96,638
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,606
- Household income
- $77,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2645.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -281.27%
- Current HPI
- 299.2738
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.38%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-44.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2026-04-10 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $95 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…