3107 Henry St · Inkster, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 3 bedroom bungalow featuring new carpet and fresh paint and fresh paint throughout. The home also features updated light fixtures, 100 amp electrical panel, newer interior doors and a newer roof. This home is ready for its new owner.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1944
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#406 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $140k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.14%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,843
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- 77.57%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27233 New York St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $118 | 78 |
| 27045 Yale St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $111 | 74 |
| 27304 New York St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $76 | 73 |
| 27053 Norfolk St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 4mo | $71,500 | $99 | 72 |
| 3512 Hickory St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 782 (+8%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $58 | 67 |
| 3155 Walnut St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 804 (+11%) | 5mo | $116,000 | $144 | 62 |
| 3616 Spring Hill Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 750 (+4%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $100 | 61 |
| 26641 New York St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 5mo | $66,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 3887 Moore Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 736 (+2%) | 10mo | $73,000 | $99 | 59 |
| 3567 Spruce St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 648 (-10%) | 15mo | $79,500 | $123 | 53 |
| 1601 Helen St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 740 (+2%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $176 | 52 |
| 3414 John Daly St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-0%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $125 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-10,002
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $7,395
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48141
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,413 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,483/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $280 | -5% $240 | +0% $200 | +5% $161 | +10% $121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $145 | +0% $200 | +5% $256 | +10% $312 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $271 | -0.5pp $236 | base $200 | +0.5pp $164 | +1.0pp $127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $140,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$150,000 Active 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
Cozy 3 bedroom bungalow featuring new carpet and fresh paint and fresh paint throughout. The home also features updated light fixtures, 100 amp electrical panel, newer interior doors and a newer roof. This home is ready for its new owner.
-
2026-04-17$150,000 Active 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
Cozy 3 bedroom bungalow featuring new carpet and fresh paint and fresh paint throughout. The home also features updated light fixtures, 100 amp electrical panel, newer interior doors and a newer roof. This home is ready for its new owner.
-
2024-03-16historical $1,300
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2024-03-13$1,300
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2024-03-13historical
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2024-03-13historical
-
2024-02-14price $104,900
-
2024-02-13price $104,900
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2024-01-09price $109,900
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2024-01-08price $109,900
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2023-12-01$119,900 Active
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2023-12-01$119,900 Active
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2022-11-20historical
-
2022-11-04soldstatus $73,000 Sold
-
2022-11-04soldstatus $73,000 Closed
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2022-10-24status Pending
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2022-10-24status Pending
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2022-10-19$79,900 Active
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2022-10-19$79,900 Active
-
2018-09-19soldstatus $74,460
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,820 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$336/yr (+$28/mo · 22.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,483
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,357
- − Management
- −$1,357
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylor School District
- NCES district ID
- 2633540
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,062
- Composite
- 17.62/100
- National rank
- #9034
- State rank
- #462 of 540 in MI
Livability — Inkster
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #406
- US rank
- #11087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Inkster, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 25,428
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,428
- Household income
- $39,252
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1558.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.74%
- Current HPI
- 390.2139
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+101.5% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-16 Rental Removed $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-02-14 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-13 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-01-09 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-08 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-01 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-01 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-11-20 Rental Removed — REALSOURCE
- 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $73,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-19 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-19 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $74,460 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,483 · -20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…