🏗️ New Construction
Glacier Farmhouse Plan · Heber, UT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$869,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy coming home to The Glacier, with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, 2,901 finished square feet, and a total of 4,478 square feet. The Glacier floor plan features an open concept layout, open to below great room with plenty of windows for natural light, a kitchen with a large island and walk-in pantry, spacious owner's suite, and a walk-in shower within the owner's bathroom. An upstairs loft overlooking the family room creates an additional cozy space on the second level. Featuring an optional finished basement.
Key facts
- Upstairs loft
- Fishing ponds
- Walk in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $870k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-65k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $391k (55.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $342k (60.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $342k (60.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 0.8% vs local median 1.0% in Heber — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#68 in UT, #4,763 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
- Wasatch District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #23 of 80 in UT (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wasatch High (math 34% / reading 50%, grade F, #55 of 171 statewide, top 32%, 2,531 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 1764 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 835 units permitted in Wasatch County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $35k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wasatch County population projected at +87% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($766k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 61% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.29% ✗
- Cap rate
- 0.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -19.79%
- DSCR
- 0.12
- GRM
- 28.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,178,321
- List price
- $869,900
- Delta
- -26.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2752 E Hayloft Ln | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 4,394 (-2%) | 8mo | $1,049,900 | $239 | 86 |
| 2772 E Hayloft Ln | 0.06mi | 4/3.0 | 4,394 (-2%) | 10mo | $1,184,900 | $270 | 84 |
| 2879 E Hayloft Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 4,311 (-4%) | 6mo | $1,288,355 | $299 | 82 |
| 2941 E Hayloft Ln | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 | 4,311 (-4%) | 7mo | $1,156,475 | $268 | 80 |
| 2793 E Hayloft Ln | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 | 4,429 (-1%) | 20mo | $1,179,330 | $266 | 79 |
| 933 S Cloverfield Ct | 0.13mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 4,410 (-2%) | 7mo | $1,133,810 | $257 | 72 |
| 2909 E Hayloft Ln | 0.15mi | 4/3.5 | 3,975 (-11%) | 3mo | $1,141,220 | $287 | 68 |
| 2862 E Hayloft Ln | 0.13mi | 4/3.5 | 3,970 (-11%) | 6mo | $1,119,900 | $282 | 66 |
| 2832 E Hayloft Ln | 0.11mi | 4/3.5 | 3,975 (-11%) | 10mo | $1,230,310 | $310 | 64 |
| 2593 E Water Wheel Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 4,575 (+2%) | 20mo | $1,099,950 | $240 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -56.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.62×
- Total profit
- $-534,230
- Equity at exit
- $175,691
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.72×
- Total profit
- $-897,749
- Equity at exit
- $101,880
Cash invested: $329,930 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 63 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 189.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $999,900 ($252/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 125 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 84032
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 1764
- Price-to-rent
- 21.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,420 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,179
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,473 /mo · $17,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$491
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$718
- Net cashflow
- $-5,441
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-4,627 | -5% $-5,034 | +0% $-5,441 | +5% $-5,849 | +10% $-6,256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-5,712 | -5% $-5,577 | +0% $-5,441 | +5% $-5,306 | +10% $-5,171 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-4,848 | -0.5pp $-5,142 | base $-5,441 | +0.5pp $-5,747 | +1.0pp $-6,057 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $294,580
- Closing costs
- $35,350
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1314 S 2950 E Heber City, UT | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4700 | $8,495 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3171 E Horse Thief Dr Heber City, UT | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3500 | $3,700 | $1.06 | 110d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2285 E Red Knob Way Heber City, UT | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5578 | $14,900 | $2.67 | 119d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 140 Waterside Rd N Heber City, UT | 5.0 | 5.5 | 5842 | $14,000 | $2.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Listed as Active with list price $954,900
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design
- Single-family plan design: Glacier Farmhouse
- Construction
- New construction (plan inventory)
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 4,478 (plan)Located at E Hayloft Ln in Heber, UT
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Interior features
- Plan: Glacier Farmhouse (new construction plan)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $869,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $869,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $869,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $869,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $869,900 Active 156 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $869,900 Active 155 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $869,900 Active 154 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $869,900 Active 153 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $869,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $869,900 Active 151 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $869,900 Active 150 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $869,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $869,900 Active 148 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $869,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-09-05pricedays on market $869,900 Active 141 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $954,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $954,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $954,900 Active 136 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $954,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $954,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $954,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $954,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $954,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $954,900 Active 129 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $954,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $954,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $954,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $954,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $954,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $954,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $954,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $954,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $954,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $954,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $954,900 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $954,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $954,900 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $954,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $954,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $954,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $954,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $954,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $954,900 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $954,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $954,900 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $954,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $954,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $954,900 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $954,900 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $954,900 Active 99 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,037
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66,004
- − Property taxes
- −$17,675
- − Insurance
- −$5,892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,283
- − Management
- −$3,283
- − Depreciation
- −$34,278
- Taxable loss
- −$89,378
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$21,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $-43,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great layout and is move-in ready with potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in entryway — Improves first impression and adds value ↑
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wasatch District
- NCES district ID
- 4901110
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,315
- Composite
- 42.77/100
- National rank
- #3154
- State rank
- #23 of 80 in UT
Livability — Heber
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #4763
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wasatch County · 42,214 people
- Metro
- Heber, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,111
- Household income
- $103,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Wasatch County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,214 people
- By 2030
- 49,113 · +16.3%
- By 2040
- 63,675 · +50.8%
- By 2050
- 78,879 · +86.9%
- By 2075
- 116,912 · +177.0%
- By 2100
- 147,290 · +248.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wasatch
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.2% · R 62.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+25.2 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+29.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.10%
- Current HPI
- 298.4537
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- Heber, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…