15B County Road 109 · Tishomingo, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a fixer upper? Great investment potential if looking for a rental in the Tishomingo area. Property needs some TLC, but reflected in the list price.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1978
- Listed 3 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#151 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tishomingo County Sp Mun School District (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #49 of 130 in MS (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tishomingo Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #203 of 375 statewide, top 56%, 247 students, 99% FRL); Iuka Middle School (math 46% / reading 36%, grade F, #56 of 179 statewide, top 33%, 334 students, 99% FRL); Tishomingo County High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #68 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 603 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Tishomingo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Tishomingo County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.65%
- DSCR
- 2.94
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,578
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Morgan St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (+9%) | 20mo | $149,000 | $102 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $36,422
- Equity at exit
- $20,485
- IRR
- 48.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.26×
- Total profit
- $86,817
- Equity at exit
- $30,256
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38873
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $742/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $504
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $538 | -5% $521 | +0% $504 | +5% $487 | +10% $470 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $420 | -5% $462 | +0% $504 | +5% $546 | +10% $589 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $529 | -0.5pp $517 | base $504 | +0.5pp $491 | +1.0pp $478 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01remarks 159-char remark
-
2026-06-01$49,500 Pending 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$742
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,028
- − Management
- −$1,028
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $5,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,343
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tishomingo County Sp Mun School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804260
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,342
- Composite
- 31.24/100
- National rank
- #6032
- State rank
- #49 of 130 in MS
Livability — Tishomingo
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #15215
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,433
Population outlook (Tishomingo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,535 people
- By 2030
- 19,442 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 19,099 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 18,422 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 16,784 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 13,791 · -29.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Tishomingo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+78.9) · D 10.2% · R 89.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: -50.9pp · 2024: -78.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+78.9 2020: R+75.2 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+56.6 2008: R+50.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 136.0984
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — NEMSBD
- 2025-01-03 Listed $49,500 NEMSBD
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…