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18960 Hamburg St
B+ Composite 75.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,950

18960 Hamburg St · Detroit, MI 48205
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,359 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1929 3,920 sqft lot $41/sqft · 20% below area Est $70k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 bedroom, 2 bathroom large brick bungalow on Detroit's east side. The home features 2 bedrooms on the first level with a full bathroom. The upper levels has 2 bedrooms with a bathroom. Home in need of repairs.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1929
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 35 x 109 (0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $56k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $54,271 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.28%
Cap rate
19.64%
Cash-on-cash
47.67%
DSCR
3.12
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,649
List price
$55,950
Delta
-19.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19394 Barlow St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (-1%) 9mo $55,000 $41 73
19360 Strasburg St 0.26mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,340 (-1%) 8mo $105,000 $78 72
18903 Westphalia St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,250 (-8%) 8mo $130,000 $104 61
18946 Beland St 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,306 (-4%) 4mo $43,000 $33 60
19965 Barlow St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,342 (-1%) 9mo $55,000 $41 54
18631 Fairport St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,173 (-14%) 6mo $9,000 $8 51
17613 Rowe St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,391 (+2%) 6mo $71,000 $51 49
13351 Tacoma St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,521 (+12%) 2mo $95,000 $62 46
18939 Teppert St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,468 (+8%) 9mo $50,000 $34 43
19376 Pelkey St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (-12%) 9mo $69,900 $58 37
11935 E State Fair St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,179 (-13%) 8mo $115,000 $98 37
19230 Mapleview St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,160 (-15%) 7mo $65,000 $56 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$28,480
Equity at exit
$8,342
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$67,543
Equity at exit
$4,838

Cash invested: $15,666 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,277 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$293
Tax est. 1.5%
$70 /mo · $839/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$622

Break-even live

Break-even rent $489
Max offer price $55,950
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $661 -5% $642 +0% $622 +5% $603 +10% $584
Rent -10% $521 -5% $572 +0% $622 +5% $673 +10% $723
Rate -1.0pp $651 -0.5pp $637 base $622 +0.5pp $608 +1.0pp $593

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,988
Closing costs
$1,678
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 25d 1 0.13mi
18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 0.14mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 18d 1 0.30mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 25d 1 0.36mi
19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1293 $1,325 $1.02 18d 1 0.36mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 0.46mi
19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 18d 1 0.48mi
18947 Runyon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1614 $1,100 $0.68 44d 1 0.53mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 18d 1 0.54mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 44d 1 0.62mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 0.62mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 18d 1 0.73mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 18d 1 0.76mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 18d 1 0.82mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 18d 1 0.86mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 18d 1 0.90mi
20290 Annott St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 18d 1 0.92mi
20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,300 $1.21 4d 1 0.98mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 18d 1 0.99mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.01mi
13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1269 $1,550 $1.22 12d 1 1.13mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 4d 1 1.13mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 25d 1 1.14mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 1.14mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 18d 1 1.17mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 25d 1 1.17mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 18d 1 1.19mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 1.20mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 1.21mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 1.22mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 18d 1 1.23mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 25d 1 1.25mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.33mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 25d 1 1.37mi
14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 44d 1 1.37mi
11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 25d 1 1.41mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 13d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,950 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,950 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,950 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,950 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,950 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,950 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,950 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,950 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,950 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,950 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,950 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,950 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,950 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    listed $55,950 Active 210-char remark
    Show marketing remark (210 chars)

    4 bedroom, 2 bathroom large brick bungalow on Detroit's east side. The home features 2 bedrooms on the first level with a full bathroom. The upper levels has 2 bedrooms with a bathroom. Home in need of repairs.

  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $55,950 Active 210-char remark
    Show marketing remark (210 chars)

    4 bedroom, 2 bathroom large brick bungalow on Detroit's east side. The home features 2 bedrooms on the first level with a full bathroom. The upper levels has 2 bedrooms with a bathroom. Home in need of repairs.

  16. 2021-12-31
    price $1,100
  17. 2021-02-27
    soldstatus $25,000
  18. 2021-02-27
    listed $25,000
  19. 2021-02-27
    listed $25,000
  20. 2017-10-19
    soldstatus $17,000 Sold
  21. 2017-10-14
    status Pending
  22. 2017-10-14
    status Pending
  23. 2017-10-10
    status Active
  24. 2017-10-10
    status Active
  25. 2017-10-09
    historical
  26. 2017-09-25
    status Pending
  27. 2017-09-25
    status Pending
  28. 2017-08-28
    listed $15,000 Active
  29. 2017-08-28
    listed $15,000 Active
  30. 2016-01-03
    historical
  31. 2015-11-13
    historical
  32. 2015-09-01
    price $12,500
  33. 2015-08-11
    price $12,900
  34. 2015-07-21
    price $13,500
  35. 2015-07-01
    listed $13,900 Active
  36. 2015-06-30
    listed $12,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,327
− Mortgage interest
−$3,134
− Property taxes
−$839
− Insurance
−$280
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,226
− Management
−$1,226
− Depreciation
−$1,628
Taxable income
$6,994
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,679
After-tax cash flow
$5,790/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+347.6% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $55,950 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $55,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-31 Price Changed $1,100 RENT.
  • 2021-02-27 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-02-27 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-27 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-10-19 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-10-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-10-10 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-10 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2017-10-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-09-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-08-28 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-08-28 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-01-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-11-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-09-01 Price Changed $12,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-11 Price Changed $12,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-21 Price Changed $13,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-01 Listed $13,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-06-30 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,234 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…