18960 Hamburg St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bedroom, 2 bathroom large brick bungalow on Detroit's east side. The home features 2 bedrooms on the first level with a full bathroom. The upper levels has 2 bedrooms with a bathroom. Home in need of repairs.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1929
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 35 x 109 (0.09 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $386 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $56k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.67%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $69,649
- List price
- $55,950
- Delta
- -19.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19394 Barlow St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-1%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $41 | 73 |
| 19360 Strasburg St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,340 (-1%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $78 | 72 |
| 18903 Westphalia St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-8%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 18946 Beland St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,306 (-4%) | 4mo | $43,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 19965 Barlow St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,342 (-1%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $41 | 54 |
| 18631 Fairport St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,173 (-14%) | 6mo | $9,000 | $8 | 51 |
| 17613 Rowe St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,391 (+2%) | 6mo | $71,000 | $51 | 49 |
| 13351 Tacoma St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,521 (+12%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $62 | 46 |
| 18939 Teppert St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,468 (+8%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $34 | 43 |
| 19376 Pelkey St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 9mo | $69,900 | $58 | 37 |
| 11935 E State Fair St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,179 (-13%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $98 | 37 |
| 19230 Mapleview St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-15%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $56 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $28,480
- Equity at exit
- $8,342
- IRR
- 48.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.31×
- Total profit
- $67,543
- Equity at exit
- $4,838
Cash invested: $15,666 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$293
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $839/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $622
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $661 | -5% $642 | +0% $622 | +5% $603 | +10% $584 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $521 | -5% $572 | +0% $622 | +5% $673 | +10% $723 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $651 | -0.5pp $637 | base $622 | +0.5pp $608 | +1.0pp $593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,988
- Closing costs
- $1,678
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1293 | $1,325 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 18947 Runyon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20290 Annott St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1269 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 14504 Coram St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,950 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,950 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,950 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,950 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,950 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,950 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,950 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,950 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,950 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,950 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,950 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,950 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$55,950 Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
4 bedroom, 2 bathroom large brick bungalow on Detroit's east side. The home features 2 bedrooms on the first level with a full bathroom. The upper levels has 2 bedrooms with a bathroom. Home in need of repairs.
-
2026-05-04$55,950 Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
4 bedroom, 2 bathroom large brick bungalow on Detroit's east side. The home features 2 bedrooms on the first level with a full bathroom. The upper levels has 2 bedrooms with a bathroom. Home in need of repairs.
-
2021-12-31price $1,100
-
2021-02-27soldstatus $25,000
-
2021-02-27$25,000
-
2021-02-27$25,000
-
2017-10-19soldstatus $17,000 Sold
-
2017-10-14status Pending
-
2017-10-14status Pending
-
2017-10-10status Active
-
2017-10-10status Active
-
2017-10-09historical
-
2017-09-25status Pending
-
2017-09-25status Pending
-
2017-08-28$15,000 Active
-
2017-08-28$15,000 Active
-
2016-01-03historical
-
2015-11-13historical
-
2015-09-01price $12,500
-
2015-08-11price $12,900
-
2015-07-21price $13,500
-
2015-07-01$13,900 Active
-
2015-06-30$12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,134
- − Property taxes
- −$839
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − Depreciation
- −$1,628
- Taxable income
- $6,994
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,679
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,790/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+347.6% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $55,950 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $55,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-31 Price Changed $1,100 RENT.
- 2021-02-27 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-27 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-02-27 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-19 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-10-10 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-10 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2017-10-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-09-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-08-28 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-08-28 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-01-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-09-01 Price Changed $12,500 REALCOMP
- 2015-08-11 Price Changed $12,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-07-21 Price Changed $13,500 REALCOMP
- 2015-07-01 Listed $13,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-06-30 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,234 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…