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3509 Skyline Blvd
C Composite 55.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

3509 Skyline Blvd · Texarkana, TX 75503
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,532 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1983 3,920 sqft lot $77/sqft · 32% below area Est $286k · 32% under $105/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This two story Townhome has so much potential a and is ready for its next chapter. 4 bedrooms. 2.5 Baths. Extra-large Living area- perfect for gathering with a built in window seat. Enclosed private patio off the kitchen for added space. Community pool and workout room. Just a short distance from our small local lake. Established neighborhood full of charming homes. This home needs some work but that is where the opportunity comes in. Whether you are a first time home buyer or need more room this house is for you. A little TLC will go a long way here. Extra Large closet upstairs is almost the size of a bedroom!! Curious what this on could become? Check it out.

Key facts

  • Workout room
  • Community pool
  • 3,920 sq ft lot

Tags

EXTRA LARGE LIVING AREAENCLOSED PRIVATE PATIOCOMMUNITY POOLWORKOUT ROOMSHORT DISTANCE FROM LAKEESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Clear Creek Estates 1st
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $105 association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Courtyard; Rain gutters; Covered, enclosed, screened patio; Storm doors; Composition roof; In-ground private pool; Corner lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Double oven; Electric cooktop; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Master suite on main level; Blinds and drapes; Fireplace in family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($678/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
  • Pleasant Grove ISD (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #30 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,075 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,529
List price
$195,000
Delta
-31.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3108 Crestridge Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,346 (-7%) 4mo $212,000 $90 56
6005 Stoneridge Dr 0.43mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,788 (+10%) 3mo $420,000 $151 53
21 Holly Ridge Dr 0.58mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,686 (+6%) 10mo $290,000 $108 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-27,768
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-18,604
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75503

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,188 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$463 /mo · $5,559/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$105
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,117
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $167 -5% $112 +0% $56 +5% $1 +10% $-54
Rent -10% $-116 -5% $-30 +0% $56 +5% $143 +10% $229
Rate -1.0pp $155 -0.5pp $106 base $56 +0.5pp $6 +1.0pp $-45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3 Sidney Dr Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.0 1951 $1,950 $1.00 44d 1 0.70mi
3808 Moores Ln Texarkana, TX 4.0 2.0 2617 $2,400 $0.92 44d 1 0.73mi
3320 Robin Ln Unit 12 Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.5 2704 $1,599 $0.59 44d 1 1.00mi
7 Fernwood Dr Unit A Texarkana, TX 4.0 2.0 2087 $3,249 $1.56 44d 1 1.03mi
2 Fernwood Dr Unit A Texarkana, TX 4.0 3.5 2041 $2,200 $1.08 44d 1 1.09mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$105 · $1,260/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 668-char remark
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $195,000 Active 668-char remark
  3. 2000-04-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,559 · $463/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,559 · $463/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,257
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$5,559
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,101
− Management
−$2,101
− HOA
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$2,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$560
After-tax cash flow
$1,238/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Grove ISD
NCES district ID
4835130
Math proficiency
63% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$69,316
Composite
56.24/100
National rank
#1175
State rank
#30 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

Score
77/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Texarkana, TX
County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
City population
61,238
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
26,372
Household income
$72,159
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
773.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.09%
Current HPI
181.3052
Rent YoY
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending TBOR
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 TBOR
  • 2000-04-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,559 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…