3509 Skyline Blvd · Texarkana, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This two story Townhome has so much potential a and is ready for its next chapter. 4 bedrooms. 2.5 Baths. Extra-large Living area- perfect for gathering with a built in window seat. Enclosed private patio off the kitchen for added space. Community pool and workout room. Just a short distance from our small local lake. Established neighborhood full of charming homes. This home needs some work but that is where the opportunity comes in. Whether you are a first time home buyer or need more room this house is for you. A little TLC will go a long way here. Extra Large closet upstairs is almost the size of a bedroom!! Curious what this on could become? Check it out.
Key facts
- Workout room
- Community pool
- 3,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Clear Creek Estates 1st
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $105 association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Courtyard; Rain gutters; Covered, enclosed, screened patio; Storm doors; Composition roof; In-ground private pool; Corner lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Double oven; Electric cooktop; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Master suite on main level; Blinds and drapes; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($678/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $192k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
- Pleasant Grove ISD (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #30 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.24%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,529
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -31.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3108 Crestridge Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,346 (-7%) | 4mo | $212,000 | $90 | 56 |
| 6005 Stoneridge Dr | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,788 (+10%) | 3mo | $420,000 | $151 | 53 |
| 21 Holly Ridge Dr | 0.58mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,686 (+6%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $108 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-27,768
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-18,604
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 298
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$463 /mo · $5,559/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$105
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $167 | -5% $112 | +0% $56 | +5% $1 | +10% $-54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-116 | -5% $-30 | +0% $56 | +5% $143 | +10% $229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $155 | -0.5pp $106 | base $56 | +0.5pp $6 | +1.0pp $-45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sidney Dr Texarkana, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1951 | $1,950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3808 Moores Ln Texarkana, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2617 | $2,400 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3320 Robin Ln Unit 12 Texarkana, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2704 | $1,599 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7 Fernwood Dr Unit A Texarkana, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2087 | $3,249 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2 Fernwood Dr Unit A Texarkana, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2041 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $105 · $1,260/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 668-char remark
-
2026-04-23$195,000 Active 668-char remark
-
2000-04-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,559 · $463/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,559 · $463/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,257
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$5,559
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,101
- − Management
- −$2,101
- − HOA
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$2,334
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasant Grove ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835130
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,316
- Composite
- 56.24/100
- National rank
- #1175
- State rank
- #30 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texarkana
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #3241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texarkana, TX
- County
- Bowie County · 61,238 people
- City population
- 61,238
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,372
- Household income
- $72,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 773.0
Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,699 people
- By 2030
- 94,824 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 94,870 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 93,686 · -1.1%
- By 2075
- 90,082 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 76,579 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bowie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.09%
- Current HPI
- 181.3052
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Texarkana, TX-AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — TBOR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $195,000 TBOR
- 2000-04-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,559 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…