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11 Barksdale Dr
B Composite 71.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,975

11 Barksdale Dr · Jacksonville, NC 28540
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1962 0.42 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ranch style home offers 3-beds and 1-bath. Covered front porch to welcome your guest or enjoy your morning coffee. Open concept for living room and dining room. Wood-burning fireplace featured in living area. Separate room that could be used for your office or as a family room. Entertain in the fenced backyard or watch your furry friends run and play. Home is located in the Northwoods Subdivision. ''This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). '' Property was built prior to 1978 and lead based paint potentially exists.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Open concept
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN CONCEPTWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEFENCED BACKYARDNORTHWOODS SUBDIVISION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RSF-7; Lot dimensions approximately 116 x 112 x 132 x 198 (0.42 acres)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $81k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 4.4% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#111 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Parkwood Elementary (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #179 of 1,410 statewide, top 14%, 503 students, 52% FRL); Northwoods Park Middle (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #222 of 475 statewide, top 49%, 688 students, 52% FRL); Jacksonville High (math 52% / reading 66%, grade C+, #233 of 535 statewide, top 44%, 1,423 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 380 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $560 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,975

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
15.05%
Cash-on-cash
31.26%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$233,536
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Bosco Dr 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,188 (-10%) 3mo $140,000 $118 76
721 Gardenview Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+1%) 2mo $238,000 $179 71
400 Seminole Trl 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,193 (-9%) 2mo $235,000 $197 69
412 Seminole Trl 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,150 (-12%) 3mo $205,000 $178 68
308 Woodhaven Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,335 (+2%) 3mo $124,900 $94 64
721 Vernon Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+5%) 1mo $219,900 $160 63
719 Page Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,365 (+4%) 4mo $240,000 $176 58
505 Maple St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 7mo $218,000 $168 58
408 Decatur Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,150 (-12%) 2mo $234,600 $204 57
608 Maple St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,158 (-12%) 2mo $205,000 $177 54
703 Christine Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,182 (-10%) 0mo $245,000 $207 54
801 Schoolfield Dr Lot 131 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+14%) 5mo $339,582 $226 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$26,787
Equity at exit
$12,074
10-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
4.59×
Total profit
$81,429
Equity at exit
$7,001

Cash invested: $22,673 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28540

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
380
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,495 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$425
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,586/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$591

Break-even live

Break-even rent $748
Max offer price $80,975
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,244
Closing costs
$2,429
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1030 Daniel Dr Jacksonville, NC 3.0 2.0 1872 $2,000 $1.07 21d 1 0.73mi
508 Henderson Dr Jacksonville, NC 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 21d 1 0.81mi
16 White Oak St Jacksonville, NC 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,650 $1.43 21d 1 1.21mi
113 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, NC 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,395 $1.24 21d 1 1.30mi
200 Carmen Ave Jacksonville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 871 $1,320 $1.52 13d 6 1.31mi
319 Bracken Pl Jacksonville, NC 2.0 3.0 992 $1,150 $1.16 21d 1 1.34mi
2322 Indian Dr Unit A-3 Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,150 $1.03 13d 1 1.46mi
2318 Indian Dr Unit B-7 Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.0 1120 $995 $0.89 21d 1 1.49mi
1 S Onsville Pl Jacksonville, NC 2.0 1.5 992 $1,395 $1.41 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $80,975 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,975 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,975 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,975 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,975 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,975 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,975 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-05-28
    listed $80,975 Active
  9. 1995-09-27
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,586 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,586 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,943
− Mortgage interest
−$4,536
− Property taxes
−$1,586
− Insurance
−$405
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,435
− Management
−$1,435
− Depreciation
−$2,356
Taxable income
$6,190
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,486
After-tax cash flow
$5,603/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onslow County Schools
NCES district ID
3703450
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,076
Composite
38.66/100
National rank
#4148
State rank
#84 of 178 in NC

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
71/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#6991

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, NC
County
Onslow County · 164,453 people
City population
96,397
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
49,141
Household income
$65,625
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1304.0

Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,789 people
By 2030
194,463 · +2.5%
By 2040
193,629 · +2.0%
By 2050
193,248 · +1.8%
By 2075
196,995 · +3.8%
By 2100
201,513 · +6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onslow

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.11%
Current HPI
219.5571
Rent YoY
▲ 4.47%
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $80,975 Hive MLS
  • 1995-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,586 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…