2636 3rd St NW · Center Point, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home offers great potential for the right buyer! Featuring a functional floor place with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a spacious living area, this property is ready for someone to bring it back to life. Sold AS IS, it needs some updates and repairs but has solid bones and a great layout. Perfect for investors or buyers looking for a project. Don't miss this opportunity to add your personal touch and make it shine again.
Key facts
- Built 1972
- Listed 26 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 7.3% in Center Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#193 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, employment F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Erwin Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #233 of 257 statewide, top 91%, 617 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 49% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.79%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,712
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2809 2nd Pl NW | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,839 (+5%) | 15mo | $215,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 625 Sunhill Rd NW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,738 (-1%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $132 | 66 |
| 434 Westchester Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,740 (-1%) | 9mo | $174,000 | $100 | 63 |
| 113 Fox Hill Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,892 (+8%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $106 | 60 |
| 100 26th Ave NW | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,706 (-3%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $85 | 59 |
| 2240 3rd St NW | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (-0%) | 13mo | $174,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 2926 2nd Pl NW | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,818 (+4%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 2813 4th Pl NW | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,530 (-13%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 466 Westchester Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,800 (+3%) | 14mo | $186,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 530 24th Ave NW | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,872 (+7%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $76 | 52 |
| 340 Houston Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (-8%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $75 | 43 |
| 2313 4th St NW | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,591 (-9%) | 12mo | $218,000 | $137 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $23,906
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.92×
- Total profit
- $69,472
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $683/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $591
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $639 | -5% $615 | +0% $591 | +5% $567 | +10% $543 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $478 | -5% $534 | +0% $591 | +5% $647 | +10% $704 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $634 | -0.5pp $612 | base $591 | +0.5pp $569 | +1.0pp $546 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Sunhill Rd NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1290 | $1,355 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2416 4th St NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 532 26th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $1,250 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 127 Fox Hill Ct Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,545 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 202 Westchester Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,300 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 319 23rd Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2324 3rd St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3814 Mars Ave Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2063 | $1,890 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 424 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 457 Tupelo Way Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1658 | $995 | $0.60 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2655 6th St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,390 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 605 Country View Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $1,560 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5992 Princess Blvd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,661 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 607 Country View Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1905 2nd St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,395 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2708 7th St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1451 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 113 19th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 305 18th Ct NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1827 Carson Rd Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $1,125 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1827 Carson Rd Unit 7 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $950 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2249 4th Place Cir NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 212 Saint John Dr NW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,423 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 345 Saint John Rd NW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $1,731 | $0.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 340 40th Ave NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2007 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-12-18status Pending
-
2025-11-27status Active
-
2025-11-10status Pending
-
2025-11-05$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $683 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $683 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$683
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $6,062
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,455
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,635/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Center Point
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #15671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Center Point, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 43,903
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,903
- Household income
- $52,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1729.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.0607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-18 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-11-27 Relisted — VMLS
- 2025-11-10 Pending — VMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $85,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $683 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…