1308 SW 5th St · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
this is a 3 bedroom 1 bath home on a corner lot near downtown Ocala FL with many advantage like stores, restaurant post office the court house etc. , also many of these amenities are walking distant sold as is investor welcome
Key facts
- In-law suite
- Fenced areas
- Private entry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning (R2); Unfurnished; Living/building area approximately 1,591 square feet
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 100 x 100 corner lot (0.23 acres)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen and family room combo; Interior in-law suite with private entry; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $200k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.28%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,552
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- 6.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1708 SW 6th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 2mo | $233,000 | $166 | 61 |
| 2105 SW 7th Pl | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 | 1,652 (+4%) | 10mo | $87,500 | $53 | 46 |
| 218 NW 9th Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (-15%) | 16mo | $227,500 | $168 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-18,299
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-13,944
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34471
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,176/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1221 SE 5th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,350 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1683 SW 3rd St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 714 NW 1st St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 44 S Magnolia Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $2,850 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 346 NW 24th Ave Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 900 SE 3rd Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $2,325 | $2.00 | 14d | 4 | 1.00mi |
| 302 SE Broadway St #460 Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1421 SW 27th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1228 | $1,489 | $1.21 | 14d | 19 | 1.07mi |
| 1140 NW 20th Ave Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 241 NE Tuscawilla Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 339 NE Sanchez Ave Unit 111 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1422 | $1,649 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 710 NE 4th St Unit 101 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1422 | $1,575 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2656 SW 20th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $199,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $209,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-04-28$209,900 Active 861-char remark
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2025-10-16status Active
-
2025-10-16price $220,000
-
2025-09-15historical
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2025-07-13$250,000 Active
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2022-09-07soldstatus $85,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
this is a 3 bedroom 1 bath home on a corner lot near downtown Ocala FL with many advantage like stores, restaurant post office the court house etc. , also many of these amenities are walking distant sold as is investor welcome
-
2022-07-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
this is a 3 bedroom 1 bath home on a corner lot near downtown Ocala FL with many advantage like stores, restaurant post office the court house etc. , also many of these amenities are walking distant sold as is investor welcome
-
2022-07-08$82,500 Active
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
this is a 3 bedroom 1 bath home on a corner lot near downtown Ocala FL with many advantage like stores, restaurant post office the court house etc. , also many of these amenities are walking distant sold as is investor welcome
-
1984-08-01soldstatus $44,278
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,176 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,176 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,176
- − Insurance
- −$1,797
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,065
- − Management
- −$2,065
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$167
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,342
- Household income
- $65,789
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1494.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.55%
- Current HPI
- 224.1709
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.64%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+351.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $209,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-13 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-07 Sold (MLS) $85,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-08 Listed $82,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,278 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,176 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…