3412 Farwood Ct · Lake, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful prow front Chalet on full finished basement at end of cul-de-sac with extra large lot. Just remodeled with ceramic tile, berber carpet, new vanities and toilets, new range & dishwasher, new deck, freshly painted. A Must See!, SqFt Fin - Main: 910.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 700.00, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 700.00
Key facts
- Exposed wood beams
- Sliding glass doors
- Soaring ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Hideout
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (annual fee); Annual association fee: $2,330; Association fee covers security and snow removal; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, tennis courts, golf, lake, restaurant, recreation facilities, picnic area, beach access/rights, and gated access
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: 24-hour security; Gated community; Security service and security guard; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence (house); Two levels; Built in 1984; Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Year built 1984
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Storage (shed); Located on a cul-de-sac; Level lot; Private paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with granite countertops; Built-in electric range; Electric oven; Exhaust fan; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom with large double closet (approx. 25.4 x 11.11); Bedroom 2 with great closet space (approx. 12.5 x 11.11); Bedroom 3 with closet (approx. 11.9 x 11.3)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wood heating (wood-burning fireplace); Fireplace(s) present; Ceiling fans; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Smart cameras with recording; Natural woodwork; Granite countertops; High ceilings; His and hers closets; Eat-in kitchen; Ceiling fans; Storage in attic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level with sink; Washer and dryer included; Laundry area with utility storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-709 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (32.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (33.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Evergreen El Sch (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Western Wayne Ms (math 21% / reading 61%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 411 students, 57% FRL); Western Wayne Hs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 545 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 341 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $192k; list at $315k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.65%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $326,939
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -3.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336 N Gate Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 2,171 (-6%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $115 | 85 |
| 157 Boulder Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 2,094 (-9%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $115 | 74 |
| 3767 (53) Thornwood Ter | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,422 (+5%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 57 (lot 2990) Wedge Drive Dr | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 | 2,300 (-0%) | 2mo | $455,000 | $198 | 64 |
| 10 Sandy Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 2,420 (+5%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $101 | 57 |
| 55 Northwood Ter | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,028 (-12%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 6 Wedge Rd | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,454 (+6%) | 3mo | $373,150 | $152 | 49 |
| 85 Cliffwood Rd | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 | 2,135 (-8%) | 6mo | $390,000 | $183 | 48 |
| 11 Boulder Ct | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,112 (-9%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 2941 S Fairway Dr | 0.38mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,993 (-14%) | 4mo | $549,900 | $276 | 45 |
| 115 Hidden Lake Dr | 0.73mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,094 (-9%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $179 | 40 |
| 66 Boulder Rd | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,640 (+14%) | 8mo | $390,000 | $148 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $126,552
- Equity at exit
- $283,777
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.63×
- Total profit
- $408,486
- Equity at exit
- $611,976
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18436
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$194
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $-709
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-491 | -5% $-600 | +0% $-709 | +5% $-818 | +10% $-927 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-875 | -5% $-792 | +0% $-709 | +5% $-626 | +10% $-543 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-550 | -0.5pp $-629 | base $-709 | +0.5pp $-791 | +1.0pp $-874 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $194 · $2,328/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $315,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $315,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $315,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$315,000 Active 1494-char remark
-
2006-06-22soldstatus $192,000
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Beautiful prow front Chalet on full finished basement at end of cul-de-sac with extra large lot. Just remodeled with ceramic tile, berber carpet, new vanities and toilets, new range & dishwasher, new deck, freshly painted. A Must See!, SqFt Fin - Main: 910.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 700.00, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 700.00
-
2004-08-16$144,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$4,725
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,020
- − Management
- −$2,020
- − HOA
- −$2,328
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$14,232
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,416
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,092/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Wayne SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226070
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,358
- Composite
- 43.65/100
- National rank
- #2964
- State rank
- #165 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Hideout, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,225
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.95%
- Current HPI
- 331.9645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+117.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $315,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2006-06-22 Sold (MLS) $192,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2004-08-16 Listed $144,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…