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18335 Montezuma 48-Plex
B Composite 73.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$7,200,000

18335 Montezuma · Adelanto, CA 92301
2928 bd · 2304.0 ba · 13,944 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1986 2.22 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 48 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

A well kept 48 unit apartment complex in the growing city of Adelanto, California is now avaliable. The apartment consists of a unit mix of (14) 2bed/1bath, (33) 1bed/1bath, and (1) Studio. The building was constructed in 1986 and the overall building square footage is approx 27,888 according to public records. The tenant parking is gated and has covered parking with carports. The complex is one story and sits on a lot approx 96,702 square feet or 2.22 acres. This apartment is conveniently located within a five minute drive of a shopping center named "Adelanto Marketplace" that consists of stores such as Stater Bros Markets, Starbucks, US Bank, Del Taco, Bakin Robbins Ice Cream, D

Key facts

  • Tenant parking
  • One story
  • Covered parking

Tags

48 UNIT APARTMENT COMPLEXTENANT PARKINGGATED PARKINGCOVERED PARKINGCARPORTSONE STORY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Some unit mix and rent totals provided: one unit type (1 unit) with rent shown, 14 units of a 2-bed type, and 33 units of a 1-bed type (rental totals listed for each unit type)
  • Financial info: Gross scheduled income approximately $730,344; Net operating income approximately $442,907; Operating expenses approximately $288,119 (includes insurance and water/sewer and trash); Insurance expense approximately $40,800; Water and sewer expense approximately $36,000; Trash expense approximately $20,159; Property consists of 48 total units across 4 buildings; Total building area reported as 27,888
  • HOA & community: Community features include biking paths and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Separate gas and electric meters (48 each); One separate water meter
  • Home design: Community apartment (attached property); Single-story buildings (total of 4 buildings)
  • Construction: Built year per public records
  • Exterior features: No pool; Lot zoned for 2–5 units per acre; Additional parcel numbers recorded

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchens included in individual units
  • Bedrooms: Units include one-bedroom and two-bedroom layouts
  • Bathrooms: Units include full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Entry located on the first level; Attached units with 2+ common walls
  • Laundry & utility: On-site laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 48 × 61-bed/48.0-bath units multifamily listed at $7.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22k ($265k/yr) — positive. Per door: $459/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($91k rent vs $7.20M).
  • Recommended offer: $6.98M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.2% in Adelanto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,250 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Victor Valley Union High (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #407 of 517 in CA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $90,894/mo this rent would consume 1588% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1345% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $770k of equity ($50k loan paydown + $720k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $2.02M cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$1.24M cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($6.98M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 578213% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $800k; list at $7.20M implies a 801% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $6,984,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.12%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$5,483,182
Equity at exit
$6,486,330
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
8.63×
Total profit
$15,384,866
Equity at exit
$13,988,016

Cash invested: $2,016,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92301

Home prices YoY
10.0%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
615
Price-to-rent
316.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$90,894 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$37,758
Tax est. 1.5%
$9,000 /mo · $108,000/yr
Insurance
$3,000
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$19,088
Net cashflow
$22,049

Break-even live

Break-even rent $62,984
Max offer price $7,200,000
Occupancy floor 71%

48-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (48 units) $90,894

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,800,000
Closing costs
$216,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $7,200,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-16
    listed $1,245
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $1,545
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $7,200,000 Active
  17. 2026-04-22
    historical $1,545
  18. 2026-01-15
    historical $1,545
  19. 2025-12-03
    historical $1,545
  20. 2025-12-03
    price $1,545
  21. 2025-10-04
    listed $1,195
  22. 2025-09-26
    listed $1,195
  23. 2025-09-25
    historical $1,195
  24. 2025-09-13
    listed $1,195
  25. 2025-09-12
    historical $1,195
  26. 2025-09-12
    listed $1,195
  27. 2025-09-12
    historical $1,195
  28. 2025-09-05
    historical $1,195
  29. 2025-09-03
    listed $1,195
  30. 2025-09-03
    historical $1,495
  31. 2025-07-31
    listed $1,495
  32. 2025-07-30
    listed $1,195
  33. 2025-07-30
    listed $1,175
  34. 2025-02-11
    historical $1,195
  35. 2025-01-16
    listed $1,195
  36. 2025-01-16
    historical $1,195
  37. 2025-01-11
    listed $1,195
  38. 2023-10-11
    historical $1,295
  39. 2023-10-05
    listed $1,295
  40. 2001-10-16
    soldstatus $799,500
  41. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $500,000
  42. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $53,000
  43. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $53,000
  44. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $21,500
  45. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $50,000
  46. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $84,500
  47. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $29,000
  48. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $105,500
  49. 1997-01-31
    soldstatus $53,000
  50. 1995-01-03
    soldstatus $520,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$1,090,728
− Mortgage interest
−$403,312
− Property taxes
−$108,000
− Insurance
−$36,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$87,258
− Management
−$87,258
− Depreciation
−$209,455
Taxable income
$159,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$38,267
After-tax cash flow
$226,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Victor Valley Union High
NCES district ID
0636972
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,112
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8296
State rank
#407 of 517 in CA

Livability — Adelanto

Score
47/100
State rank
#1250
US rank
#26338

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adelanto, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
38,577
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,577
Household income
$68,676
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1345.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 34% Black 15% White 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 46%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.09%
Current HPI
453.6071
Rent YoY
▲ 4.68%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.8% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed for Rent $1,245 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-15 Listed for Rent $1,545 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $7,200,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Rental Removed $1,545 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-01-15 Rental Removed $1,545 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-03 Rental Removed $1,545 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $1,545 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-10-04 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-26 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-25 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-13 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-12 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-12 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-05 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-03 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-03 Rental Removed $1,495 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-31 Listed for Rent $1,495 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-30 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-30 Listed for Rent $1,175 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-02-11 Rental Removed $1,195 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-01-16 Listed for Rent $1,195 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-01-16 Rental Removed $1,195 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-01-11 Listed for Rent $1,195 TURBOTENANT
  • 2023-10-11 Rental Removed $1,295 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-05 Listed for Rent $1,295 APPFOLIO
  • 2001-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $799,500 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $105,500 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
  • 1995-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $520,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,468 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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