4420 Pleasant Valley Rd #105 · Diamond Springs, CA 95619

$239,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 5,204 sqft · Manufactured public records · 275 Days on market

Built 1986

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• DSCR +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.4/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to Lake Oaks Senior Community - Where Comfort Meets Lifestyle - Step into your dream home in the highly sought-after Lake Oaks Senior Community, designed exclusively for those 55 and better. This fully remodeled gem offers the perfect balance of modern living, privacy, and tranquility. Every detail has been thoughtfully upgraded to provide you with a home that's as beautiful as it is functional. Enjoy cooking in your brand-new kitchen, complete with sleek granite countertops, new appliances, and a fresh, contemporary design. Relax in one of two completely remodeled bathrooms, crafted with elegance and ease of use in mind. With fresh interior and exterior paint, this home feels like

Key facts

• Clubhouse
• Fully remodeled gem
• Swimming pool

Tags

• FULLY REMODELED GEM
• BRAND-NEW KITCHEN
• COMPLETELY REMODELED BATHROOMS
• SCENIC LAKE WALKING TRAILS
• CLUBHOUSE
• SWIMMING POOL

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Land lease: No (land lease amount listed separately)
• HOA & community: No homeowners association; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking; Attached (no garage)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Propane; Gas plumbed; 220V in kitchen
• Home design: Manufactured home in park (double wide); Built in 1986
• Construction: Composition roof; Vinyl skirting; Kaufman manufacturer — Canyon Crest 810 model
• Exterior features: Lake access; Landscaped front and back; Shed(s)

Interior

• Kitchen: Stone counters; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Free-standing electric oven and range
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (includes master bedroom)
• Flooring: Wood and simulated wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Covered deck and porch; Cathedral/vaulted great room with attached deck; Dining/family combo
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room with sink and hookups

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (9.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (20.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $190k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.3% in Diamond Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,239 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
• Mother Lode Union Elementary (rural): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #726 of 1,400 in CA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $189,677 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.50%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.85%
• DSCR: 0.87
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.27×
• Total profit: $-49,001
• Equity at exit: $35,770

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.17×
• Total profit: $-55,629
• Equity at exit: $20,742

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95619

• Active inventory: 30
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,897 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,258
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
• Insurance: −$100
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$398
• Net cashflow: $-159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099

Max offer price $216,828

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $59,975
• Closing costs: $7,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $239,900 Active 275 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $239,900 Active 274 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $239,900 Active 273 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $239,900 Active 272 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $239,900 Active 270 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $239,900 Active 269 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $239,900 Active 266 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $239,900 Active 265 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $239,900 Active 264 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,900 Active 260 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,900 Active 259 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 258 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 257 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥100°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,761
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,438
• − Property taxes: −$3,598
• − Insurance: −$1,200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,821
• − Management: −$1,821
• − Depreciation: −$6,979
• Taxable loss: −$6,096
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,463
• After-tax cash flow: $-450/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mother Lode Union Elementary
• NCES district ID: 0625980
• Math proficiency: 36% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $59,429
• Composite: 36.63/100
• National rank: #9251
• State rank: #726 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Diamond Springs

• Score: 47/100
• State rank: #1239
• US rank: #26264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Diamond Springs, CA
• City population: 6,362
• Population (ZIP): 6,362

Population outlook (El Dorado County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 191,666 people
• By 2030: 193,662 · +1.0%
• By 2040: 192,583 · +0.5%
• By 2050: 185,904 · -3.0%
• By 2075: 169,543 · -11.5%
• By 2100: 139,623 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22%
• Common ancestry: Italian 9% Slovak 4% Russian 4%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Korean 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Dorado

• 2024 margin: R (+12.0) · D 42.6% · R 54.6% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -12.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+12.0 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -137.93%
• Current HPI: 248.9804
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $289 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.