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33 Paulette Dr
D- Composite 38.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$222,000

33 Paulette Dr · Crawfordville, FL 32327
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 2006 9,147 sqft lot Est $203k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2006

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Fiber cement exterior
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Icemaker; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (11x10); Bedroom 3 (10x10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tray ceilings; High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $222k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-919/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (6.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.0% in Crawfordville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in FL, #2,943 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Wakulla (rural): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #18 of 73 in FL (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Shadeville Elementary School (math 63% / reading 60%, grade B, #634 of 2,144 statewide, top 30%, 640 students, 46% FRL); Wakulla Middle School (math 55% / reading 52%, grade C+, #205 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 486 students, 41% FRL); Wakulla High School (math 42% / reading 51%, grade D-, #216 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,418 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Wakulla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,945 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.48%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,448
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1687 Dr Mlk Jr Memorial Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,263 (+7%) 3mo $218,999 $173 81
75 Blackfoot Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,215 (+3%) 1mo $216,296 $178 73
71 W F Magers Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+10%) 1mo $236,000 $182 71
135 Catawba Trl 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,225 (+4%) 4mo $209,900 $171 65
1 Blackfoot Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+5%) 1mo $207,000 $168 63
17 Blackfoot Rd 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (+3%) 4mo $250,000 $207 61
7 Neeley Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-6%) 4mo $215,000 $195 59
27 Broken Bow Trl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,215 (+3%) 4mo $209,900 $173 59
115 Comanche Trl 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,271 (+8%) 1mo $232,000 $183 53
119 Spokan Trl 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,055 (-10%) 2mo $176,000 $167 52
46 Choctaw Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,288 (+10%) 2mo $209,900 $163 50
50 Choctaw Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+11%) 2mo $209,900 $161 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-40,576
Equity at exit
$33,101
10-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-40,474
Equity at exit
$19,195

Cash invested: $62,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32327

Home prices YoY
-1.5%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
346
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,719 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,164
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,139/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$-77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,816
Max offer price $208,466
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-14 +0% $-77 +5% $-139 +10% $-202
Rent -10% $-212 -5% $-145 +0% $-77 +5% $-9 +10% $59
Rate -1.0pp $35 -0.5pp $-20 base $-77 +0.5pp $-134 +1.0pp $-193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,500
Closing costs
$6,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
60 Susquehanna Trl Crawfordville, FL 3.0 2.0 1173 $1,500 $1.28 23d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $222,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 420-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $222,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $222,000 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $222,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $222,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $222,000 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $222,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $222,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $222,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $222,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $222,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $222,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $222,000 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $222,000 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $222,000 Active 66 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $222,000 Active 65 DOM
  18. 2026-03-26
    listed $222,000 Active
  19. 2025-08-07
    historical
  20. 2025-07-26
    price $225,000
  21. 2025-06-20
    listed $229,000 Active
  22. 2023-04-12
    soldstatus $215,000
  23. 2023-04-06
    soldstatus $215,000 Closed 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  24. 2023-04-06
    soldstatus $215,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  25. 2023-03-03
    status Pending 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  26. 2023-03-03
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  27. 2023-02-22
    status Active 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  28. 2023-02-22
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  29. 2023-02-10
    status Pending 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  30. 2023-02-10
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  31. 2023-02-02
    listed $205,000 Active 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  32. 2023-02-02
    listed $205,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    Cute 3 bedroom, 2 bath with one car garage on . 17 acre lot in Wakulla Gardens. This home features an open floor plan, with crown moulding, vaulted ceilings, kitchen w/ bar and pantry and inside laundry w/ sink, The home has been very well maintained and kitchen appliances were upgraded in 2022. This section of Wakulla gardens is scheduled for road paving and sewer connection. Please verify dates with county.

  33. 2010-12-28
    soldstatus $75,000
  34. 2006-05-25
    soldstatus $134,000
  35. 2005-09-20
    soldstatus $16,400
  36. 2005-08-11
    soldstatus $27,000
  37. 1989-04-27
    soldstatus $1,400
  38. 1987-07-01
    soldstatus $1,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,139 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,139 · $178/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,633
− Mortgage interest
−$12,435
− Property taxes
−$2,139
− Insurance
−$1,110
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,651
− Management
−$1,651
− Depreciation
−$6,458
Taxable loss
−$4,811
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,155
After-tax cash flow
$235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wakulla
NCES district ID
1201950
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$53,740
Composite
48.12/100
National rank
#2183
State rank
#18 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crawfordville

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wakulla County · 31,445 people
City population
31,445
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,445
Household income
$84,138
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
360.0

Population outlook (Wakulla County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,809 people
By 2030
33,165 · +1.1%
By 2040
33,245 · +1.3%
By 2050
32,539 · -0.8%
By 2075
29,676 · -9.5%
By 2100
22,931 · -30.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wakulla

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.4% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-19.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.4 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+24.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.59%
Current HPI
302.1883
Rent YoY
▲ 3.18%
Metro
Tallahassee, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12233.3% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $222,000 CATRS
  • 2025-08-07 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-07-26 Price Changed $225,000 CATRS
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $229,000 CATRS
  • 2023-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2023-04-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 CATRS
  • 2023-04-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-03 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-03 Contingent CATRS
  • 2023-02-22 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2023-02-22 Relisted CATRS
  • 2023-02-10 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2023-02-10 Contingent CATRS
  • 2023-02-02 Listed $205,000 CATRS
  • 2023-02-02 Listed $205,000 CPARMLS
  • 2010-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2006-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 2005-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $16,400 Public Records
  • 2005-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1989-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $1,400 Public Records
  • 1987-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,139 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…